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I went with the avs yesterday and I hadn't done that in a while and i'm doing something else I haven't done in a while....
Carolina - 119 to win 1 unit over NJ The devils were already without 2nd leading scorer Gionta who has missed 11 games and only has 3 fewer goals than leading scorer Parise. During that 11 game stretch the team has gone 6-5 which is far below the level they had played at this year. The Devils played last night and were blanked by Pitt but shouldn't be overly fatigued as they had a 3 day layoff prior yesterdays game but they lost leading point getter Elias to a groin injury and also lost Madden in that game. The devils are so up against the cap the devils boards are saying they won't be bringing people up, so they're playing this one with a limited bench. The devils we all know play a defensive brand of hockey and I imagine with these guys out it'll get even tighter but a team still needs to score, the devils have the 6th lowest goal total in the nhl and 7th worst on the road, you can't remove 54 goals (30% of team goals) from that line up and not have it take a major offensive hit. The Madden loss removes a key checker and on a pk that's slipped since the first half, it's definately an important loss. All 3 of these guys averaged in the 18-19 minute range a night, and all brought something important to the team that can't be repaced by someone stepping up. The devils pp hasn't been great all year and Gionta was the 2nd leading goal scorer on the pp and Elias leading point getter and 3rd most goals on the pp. Carolina has a good pk which should be aided by the weakened pp of the devils. The canes pp has been brutal tho so that's good news for the devils pk without Madden. Carolina hasn't impressed me all season long and they've burnt me a few times too many but they are the defending champs and clinging to 8th having played more games than the teams trying to catch them. They need to take advantage of an undermanned team. The canes haven't had any success vs the devils over the last couple years but the devils played last night and these 2 meet up again but in nj on Saturday where it'll be 3 in 4 for the devils. The canes need them both but i'll double this up if the canes lose here as they'll come to play both nights they can't afford not to. The devils I don't believe have the horses to win them both. The only question for me is Grahame and he played great against the panthers, if he's feeling confident the canes can be dangerous. Bottom lining it, i'm backing the rested home team with its back up against the wall against the depleted road team off a game last night. |
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