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What do you think about Pitts O 2.5 goals? Same idea with Montreal and Phili just played today.
I also like Cal O 2.5 or the game over 5.5. Colorado has been shaking but then against Kipper could have a stiller game after 11 goals against the canucks. Sooooooooo.... I guess I'll look again tomorrow! |
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I have hit 4 of the 5 Over2 1/2's i have played this year and i noticed that towards the end of last year. I don't think they are always a good play but in certain circumstances the value is there. There really isn't much value in playing a team at Over3 with a 5 1/2 total because they have to score 4 goals to win the bet and at that point the game is probably going over. The only time i like that is if i think that it's going to be a blowout one way or another and don't want to risk playing the game over and having one team not do its work. IE a total at 5 1/2 and you think it's a 4-1 type game. But with a total of 6, playing a team at 3 is a pretty good value. If you think that the game is going over, it's a safer play to take a team over3 rather than the game over6. Rarely do games go over 6 and each of the teams don't score 3 goals. Also if you get an underdog at 2 1/2 and you think it's going to be a shootout, i would rather have the over2 1/2 -120 or so than i would risk losing with a +120 dog. But that's just me. I think there are instances also where an Over2 1/2 is the best play on the board for a game. I took WAS Over2 1/2 yesterday and felt much more comfortable aout that total than i would have had if i had been on the Caps. Plus the juice was less on a 2 1/2 Over than it was on WAS ML. My Over2 1/2 was -135 and i had -140 on the game ML on WAS. We'll see. I am trying some things out and the new things seem to be working well and the old "pick a side ****" doesn't. Im about done with picking sides in the NHL. Too hard. I think there is more value in finding good totals.
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I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan ! Last edited by FlyersFan; 10-14-2008 at 12:06 AM.. |
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Angelus- THX!......if you like COL then i think playing COL Over2 1/2 would be the best play on the board. I was actually debating that play still. But i agree on CAL. And as long as Keenan is there, they will continue to be a mess. Tough game to pick a side honestly....2 teams that are 0-2 on the year and both really need a win. I honestly as i said like the Over more than anything and lean to COL Over2 1/2 as the best play in that game.
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I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan ! |
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HAHAHA! Your right FF!
Makes sence, guess I should have pieced the puzzle to together and someone had to be a team goal 3 if the line is 5.5. I think I will just take the game over 5.5 goals then! GL! And I do take your point in team goals. It is similar to 1st half in football games. Sometimes they cover, sometimes they don't. Sometimes they don't cover first half, and cover the game. It really goes both ways. |
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1-0 tonight....i am loving these 2 1/2 overs on some of these teams....i thought the LAK play was the best on the board
couldn't get either lean in today in the CAL Over or the PIT over in as i was working, but they split so i guess it didn't really matter in the end. GL to everyone!
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I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan ! Last edited by FlyersFan; 10-14-2008 at 11:49 PM.. |
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