JoePa's BMW CHAMPIONSHIP Picks

[joepa66]

BMW CHAMPIONSHIP AT COG HILL

My card looks somewhat similar to last week's but why not ride the horse while he's still running hard!


STEVE STRICKER 12/1 TO WIN OUTRIGHT - His birdie, birdie finish last week propelled him to his 3rd win on the season and his 10th Top10 finish. Sticker ranks 1st in the FedEx standings, 1st in putting average, 1st in GIR, 1st in scrambling, 2nd in scoring average and 3rd in proximity to the hole on approaches. What's not to like about those numbers!

PADRAIG HARRINGTON 12/1 TO WIN OUTRIGHT - Paddy Power finished in a T4th last week after a one-hole meltdown similar to the one he had at Firestone. However, he's got Top10 finishes in his last 4 consecutive starts on tour after starting the season 0-14 in Top10s. In his first 8 FedEx playoff rounds he has 5 rounds of 67 and 1 round of 68. He's 4th on the list of highest FedEx cup points earned in the last 4 starts with 470. I'd back him for Top5 or Top10 finishes if the odds were better, but their not at 2/1 and 4/7 respectively....coincidentally the same odds for Stricker.

DUSTIN JOHNSON 13/2 TO FINISH TOP 5 - Johnson's average finish in his last 4 starts is 12.8! He's also 8th in FedEx cup points earned in his last 4 starts with 247. His last four starts are T22nd at the WGC-Bridgestone, T10th at the PGA Championship, T15th at the Barclays, and T4th at the Deutsche Bank. He's 10th in the FedEx standings, earned over $2.7 ML on tour this season, 1st in birdie average, 3rd in driving distance, 11th in putting average, 1st in par breakers, 6th in all-around ranking, 2nd in Par 4 birdie or better average, 6th in Par 5 birdie or better average, and 1st in average distance to the hole after a tee shot. He's no flash in the pan either, still flying under lots of radars all season although he won the AT&T Pro-am, T4th at the Byron Nelson and T10th at the Northern Trust.

BILL HAAS 9/1 TO FINISH TOP 10 - Ought to make a small play on him to win outright with the 110/1 odds and 22/1 to finish in the Top5. He T15th last week and moved up 14 spots to 47th in the FedEx standings. He has 4 Top25, 3 Top20, 2 Top15 in his last 4 starts. 10 of his last 16 rounds have been in the 60s with the highest of the remaining 6 rounds being a 72!

[joepa66]

BILL HAAS 9/1 TO FINISH TOP 10 - WINNER!