xHeroOfTheDayx -- Road To $20,000

[xHeroOfTheDayx]

56-12
+$16,874.12

Jeez, the World Cup ended today, and it already seems a distant memory. I'm already looking ahead to qualifying groups and licking my chops for 2014. There is no way i'm missing the WC in Brazil!

Anyways, back to business. This route to my goal should be a bit easier since of the sneaky lines I will be able to get. Everything in the World Cup was much more difficult to find high probable winners.

This will be a multi-month grind. Smaller leagues in Europe have already started up, Europa/Champions League qualifications are in full swing, as are hundreds of other leagues around the world. Soon there will be a regular catalog of 100+ games per day to choose from.

My goal is quite simple. To record a net profit of $200-$400+ range per day for the next few months. Obviously red days will occur, but no doubt they will be few and far between.

STARTING BANKROLL: $5,000
BANKROLL GOAL: $25,000 (+$20,000 Profit)

Unlike the World Cup, if I reach the goal, I will continue regardless of reaching my goal. Most likely just setting a new milestone. I have a bag full of new betting philosophies, and trends I will be watching, and following. Hopefully this run will be a monumental success. But at the end of the day, I will be content with at least finishing +EV.

Most, if not all plays with be played at Sportsbook, or Bookmaker.

__________________________________________________ ____________________

Alright, so let's do it!

0-0
+$0.00

First play coming soon.

[xHeroOfTheDayx]

SINGAPORE S-LEAGUE

Albirex Niigata vs. Home United Under 2.5 Goals (+110)
$300 to win $330

It was a short 2 years ago, before all the non-Singapore teams were introduced in the S-League. The S-League used to be a goal fest, and an exciting league. Etoile joining the league really forced all the teams to change their style of play to compete. 3.5 would be the standard goal line for this league, with the over being juiced. They now are at 2.5, with the over ALWAYS juiced.

Some teams refuse to change their style of play. Home United, Singapore Armed Forces, and Tampines were the former juggernauts of this league. You could always count on +3 goals from each of them, regardless of opponent, or venue. Home United seems to be the ones taking the most serious approach to the new style of soccer.

Home United sits in 3rd place, only 4 points out of 1st place. They face a team in Niigata who are one of the worst offensive teams in the league. Being a satellite team of the REAL Albirex Niigata, their players are being groomed not to win games, but be ANTI-mistake prone. Combine that, with Home United's willingness to further polish their skills on controlling a game... and you have an under.

This should be around -225 IMO, as you will not break Albirex Niigata of their game plan if they concede. Nor do they EVER open the game up, or lose interest... as all players hope to eventually climb within the ranks, and eventually play in the J-League.


Prediction: Albirex Niigata 0-1 Home United

[Canyonero]

Albirex scores 1-0 with '22 in the clock, fingers crossed for no further scoring.

[xHeroOfTheDayx]

You want to talk about a ******* moose? 2 goals scored in the 90'+
LMAO.. unreal!!!!

-$300
0-1

[xHeroOfTheDayx]

0-1
-$300

ICELAND: Cup

KR Reykjavik vs. Throttur Reykjavik Over 2.5 Goals (-250)
$500 to win $200

Tried to get more on it, but an over the limit wager was declined. Obviously because they don't have much money on this.

Would of liked to start this campaign off win a win, but oh well. Value was too good in the S-League game to pass up. On to this game:

The line should really be at -500 or so. KR should net at least 3 of their own, while Throttur should grab a goal or 2 as well.

Both teams play wiiiiiide open, and while neither team has the class to net shots from distance, neither of them play the offside trap, so the ball is ALWAYS being penetrated deep into each's zone, which leads to close chances galore.

These cup games hold even less of a significance, so an even more open game is expected.

It would be nice for this to be wrapped up at HT, but an early/mid 2H mark should be the end of this one.

Prediction: KR Reykjavik 3-1 Throttur Reykjavik

[xHeroOfTheDayx]

*Note: In the last 6 H2H matches between these 2 (Last 2yrs), KR Reykjavik has scored under 5 goals just once.

[xHeroOfTheDayx]

KR Reykjavik 2-0 Throttur Reykjavik HT

2-0 down, and Throttur has a red card. Hopefully they can save a little face, and not let this score balloon over 5 goals again like the other times.

Regardless, everything is going as scripted. 2 more goals are almost sure to follow, although I doubt Throttur gets one now. Just need one more!

[xHeroOfTheDayx]

KR Reykjavik 3-0 Throttur Reykjavik 80'

Wow, it took THIS long after 2 quick goals. I really thought something terrible was going to happen again.

[xHeroOfTheDayx]

KR Reykjavik 3-2 Throttur Reykjavik FT +$200

Very, VERY weird last 10 minutes. A winner though.

1-1
-$100

[xHeroOfTheDayx]

Don't have a lot of time for write ups:


WORLD CUP: Women's World Cup U20

Germany vs. Costa Rica Over 1.5 Goals 1H (+100)
$500 to win $500

I don't know what the hell is up with this line. Obviously a mistake. Both of these teams can score (Germany x10). Germany should EASILY be able to net 2 in the first half, and there is about a 50% chance CR gets one in.

Prediction: Germany 2-0 Costa Rica

EUROPEAN CUPS: Champions League - Qualification

Levadia Tallinn vs. Debreceni VSC Under 2.5 Goals (-153)
$500 to win $325

Two teams who score goals in bunches in league play, but tighten up to the max in tournaments. I love Estonian teams for unders in competitions like these. They are extremely underrated, and Debreceni cannot score against solid non-Hungarian teams.

Prediction: Levadia Tallinn 1-0 Debreceni VSC

EUROPEAN CUPS: Champions League - Qualification

Salzburg vs. HB Torshavn Over 2.5 Goals (-333)
$1,000 to win $300

Crack your knuckles, and do work Salzburg. A scoring juggernaut from Austria vs a team from the Faroe Islands who like to play WIIIDE open. Torshavn will hope to fight fire with fire here, and then try to make a go of it back at home.

Prediction: Salzburg 4-2 HB Torshavn

[Canyonero]

Good call yesterday on the Iceland cup game! Following with you through your journey, first time I'm betting big money outside NFL and MLB...now that I have more knowledge of European and Asian leagues as well as you I can finally look to make some more serious money off of soccer! GL

[Canyonero]

Germany vs Costa Rica 2-0 '17

+$500

EDIT: Haha, what a bummer. Went with over 2.5 HT ($100) in live betting, cashed in at '44 (got $70 back) and then see Costa Rica scoring with '45+2 in the clock.

[xHeroOfTheDayx]

Originally Posted by Canyonero

Good call yesterday on the Iceland cup game! Following with you through your journey, first time I'm betting big money outside NFL and MLB...now that I have more knowledge of European and Asian leagues as well as you I can finally look to make some more serious money off of soccer! GL

Welcome to the forums!

Glad to have you her with me. Let's make some serious $$$!

[xHeroOfTheDayx]

Germany 4-1 (2-1HT) Costa Rica 58' +$500

Everything went exactly to plan. Bet was won 16 minutes into the game. +100 really should of been -200 IMO.

I must confess though, I don't know anything of womens soccer. Especially the Under 20 group. But the trends, and wacky form guide were too insane not to consider this.

2-1
+$400

[xHeroOfTheDayx]

Salzburg 0-0 HB Torshavn 13'

This could be 3-0 already. It's about as wide open as a High School game.