Deutsche Bank Championship Picks - Odds

Deutsche Bank Championship
Dates: September 2nd–5th, 2011
Course: TPC Boston – Norton, MA
TV: The Golf Channel/NBC
by Evergreen, PGA Handicapper, Predictem.com

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Week two of the PGA Tour’s year-end playoff is on tap this week as the players head to Massachusetts for the 2011 Deutsche Bank Championship. A Friday start at the TPC Boston leads to a Labor Day finish with the top-99 on the FedEx Points list teeing it up in hopes of making it to next week’s BMW Championship. The top-70 after this event will be exempt and all will be looking to get inside the top-30 for the final week to get a shot at the top prize of ten million. Those on the outside looking in as of today including Ian Poulter, Padraig Harrington and Ernie Els are in absolute need of a strong finish and others like Jim Furyk and Anothony Kim, ranked 60th and 66th respectively, cannot afford a slip up if they hope to see another week. Catch all the early round action on The Golf Channel with NBC picking up the weekend broadcasts.

The TPC Boston has been the only host for the Deutsche Bank Championship and the par-71 course will measure 7,304 yards this week. The players will be challenged to fit shots into the fairways to avoid bunkers and mounding complexes and will also face the same type of hazards with their approaches. Well executed shots do lead to quality birdie chances and several players have gone low in the past years. Charley Hoffman carded a final round 62 on the way to a 22-under winning total in 2010 and the course record of 61 has been shot twice since 2006. The layout features several risk/reward opportunities including a driveable par-4 and there should be drama late on Sunday as the par-5 finishing hole is short by Tour standards at just 528 yards.

Each week we take a look at the online betting sites and highlight a few players that we think can win it all. We give you a short, middle and long odds pick to win and breakdown a couple of head to head matches that you would find at any golf sportsbook. Here are our picks to win the 2011 Deutsche Bank Championship with odds to win and matches courtesy of the board at Bodog.

Short Favorite: Jason Day (16 to 1 odds to win)
Day is emerging as a week to week threat to win and he is among the group that can put themselves in the running for the outright FedEx Playoffs win with a good week here. Jason has eight top-10’s in eighteen starts overall and has two top-20 Deutsche finishes in the last two years, including a T2 in 2010. Day has the rare combo of top-20 ranks in both driving distance and strokes gained with the putter and the rest of his stat sheet is good for the 8th best all-around mark. 11th in both birdie and scoring average, Day leads the Tour in par-3 performance.

Middle of the Road: Vijay Singh (28 to 1 odds to win)
It has been a while since the former World’s best has been in contention, but Vijay has been hot of late with consecutive top-5 finishes and has a good track record at TPC Boston. Singh won the event in 2008, finished T11 last year and his solo 2nd in 2006 included a Saturday 61. Vijay is still plenty long at 295 yards off the tee and his GIR% is solid as usual, ranking 32nd entering the week. The putter has always been the issue for Singh but when he’s right with the blade, he’s a good bet to be a factor.

Longshot: Charley Hoffman (66 to 1 odds to win)
You can’t expect more potential bang for your buck from a defending champion than the 66 to 1 that Hoffman will bring with a successful title defense. Charley had just one top-10 entering the Playoffs, but managed a T10 at the Barclays and proved he can go low in last year’s action. Hoffman comes in 18th in total driving so he should be set up to attack the greens and he’s done well in hitting the putting surface all year with the 38th best GIR percentage. Charley has racked up the 10th most birdies in 2010 play and is a good week with the putter away from another Deutsche win.

Head to Head Matches *match picks based on entire event. Check with your favorite online bookie for single round matches and a variety of prop bets.

Adam Scott (-115) v. Dustin Johnson (-115) (our pick to win: Johnson)
With neither player a top-tier putter, the smart money is on the hotter putter and Johnson proved he is rolling it well with a win last week. Despite hitting fewer fairways, Johnson owns a greens hit edge and has the 2nd best birdie average on Tour.

Matt Kuchar (-115) v. Nick Watney (-115) (our pick to win: Watney)
It’s no surprise to see Kuchar hit more fairways as the shorter player in this match, but Watney manages to hit just as many greens . With a better putting and ballstriking average, Watney will be set up to make more birdies and should outpace Kuch as the week goes on.

Good Luck!

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