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2008 Kentucky Derby Entries, Post Positions, Morning Line Odds and Overlays

2008 Kentucky Derby Entries, Post Positions, Morning Line Odds and Overlays
by Kenneth Strong, Professional Horse Racing Analyst

2008 Kentucky Derby favorite Big Brown (3-1) overcame post 12 to win the Florida Derby but he’ll have to overcome much more than that to win the 134th Kentucky Derby – he’ll be breaking from post 20 this time against much tougher competition.

Big Brown will have to use some speed early to gain position, which he can do – but will he have enough left in the drive to hold off Colonel John (4-1), who should get a decent trip from post 10? While horses have won the Kentucky Derby from wide posts, no horse has ever done it from a post this wide. Big Brown will also have to deal with fit and game California speedsters Gayego (15-1) in post 19 and Bob Black Jack (20-1) in post 13.

Third choice on the morning line, Pyro (6-1) drew post 9. The lone filly entered for the race, Eight Belles (20-1), drew post 5. She was also entered in the Kentucky Oaks, where she drew post 12. Her chances in the Oaks would be much better.

The 10th race on the Saturday. May 3, Churchill Downs card, the Kentucky Derby is slated to be run at 6:04 p.m. EST.

Below are the Kentucky Derby entries with post positions, Churchill Downs morning line odds and our comments regarding whether we consider the odds fair (no comment), overlaid (good betting value), or underlaid (poor betting value.)

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2008 Kentucky Derby Entries, Post Positions, Churchill Downs Morning Line Odds
(Post, Horse, Morning Line Odds, Overlay/Underlay)

1. Cool Coal Man (20-1)
2. Tale of Ekati (15-1)
3. Anak Nakal (30-1)
4. Court Vision (20-1) – Overlay at these odds
5. Eight Belles (20-1) – Underlay at these odds
6. Z Fortune (15-1)
7. Big Truck (50-1) - Overlay
8. Visionaire (20-1) - Underlay
9. Pyro (6-1) - Underlay
10. Colonel John (4-1) - Overlay
11. Z Humor (30-1)
12. Smooth Air (20-1) - Overlay
13. Bob Black Jack (20-1)
14. Monba (15-1) - Underlay
15. Adriano (30-1) - Overlay
16. Denis of Cork (20-1) - Overlay
17. Cowboy Cal (20-1)
18. Recapturetheglory (20-1) - Underlay
19. Gayego (15-1) – Overlay – Would love to get these odds!
20. Big Brown (3-1) - Underlay

Good luck!

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