Other Sports: NFL College Football NBA Basketball College Basketball Baseball NHL Hockey Soccer MMA Boxing Nascar Golf Online Casinos

How to Bet

Handicapping

Other Great Sites

Gotham Stakes Picks

2017 Gotham Stakes Picks and Analysis

El Areeb the play if the price is right, but others enticing

2017 Gotham Stakes-G3, Race 8, Aqueduct, Saturday, March 4, 2017
3-Year-Olds, 1 1/16-miles, Dirt, Purse: $300,000

Gotham Stakes Picks

1. El Areeb
2. So Conflated
3. True Timber
3. J Boys Echo. Bet YOUR 2017 Gotham Stakes predictions using your credit card and get a 50% extra bonus added to your account at one of the web's biggest, oldest and most trusted horse betting sites: Bovada!

Gotham Stakes Analysis

El Areeb is the win play in the 2017 Gotham Stakes if you can get a decent price on him, but if he's overbet there are a few others in here that could be worth a play.

El Areeb has won four in a row including three stakes and has looked good doing it. And he has a versatile running style suitable to any pace scenario. Two starts ago he pressed the pace in the Jerome-G3 in the mud at Aqueduct and drew off to win by 11 1/4-lengths. In his last start in the Withers-G3 going 1 1/16-miles at Aqueduct, he rated just off the pace and again ran away from his field in the stretch to win by 4 1/4-lengths. Listed at 6/5 on the morning line that's probably more than a fair price if you can get it at post time.

There are three interesting horses with angles in the Gotham but they would have to be exceptional odds to warrant a win play. If El Areeb gets bet down to even money that would likely make the following more enticing.

True Timber actually ran a decent race in the Withers after stumbling at the break. He was rushed to take the lead under mild pressure and held well until El Areeb went by him approaching the eighth pole. He was no match for El Areeb when the running started on Withers day, but he did fight on for second, and he might have made it a lot closer without the stumble at the start. In that case he would have been three lengths in front and coasting. There's a reasonable chance True Timber could clear to the lead if he can outfoot Action Everyday early in the Gotham, and if he does he would at least be tougher to catch late. If you're a lone speed player he's your horse.

So Conflated looked good winning the $100,000 California Derby over the synthetic track at Golden Gate in his most recent start and he could be underestimated in here at morning-line odds of 8-1, especially if he handles the Aqueduct dirt. He tracked the pacesetters from the inside in the California Derby but was forced to wait for everyone to go by in early stretch before shifting out and showing some fight to take over late. Prior to his California Derby win he was beaten only a head in a seven-furlong Maiden Special Weight at Santa Anita and he looks like he has some upside. He's moving up in class here but he's probably one of the fittest horses in the race and any kind of move forward would put him at least in the exactor.

Cloud Computing looks like he has some talent but he's another who is moving up in class and he has only one sprint start under his girth. He broke slowly in his lifetime debut going six furlongs at Aqueduct on February 11 and came running late to grind out the win at even money, but you just have to think he'll need at least one race on the stretch out while moving up in class. The last horse we'll mention is J Boys Echo, who seemed to be the wise guy horse in his first start off the layoff in the Withers. He stalked wide in that race behind El Areeb and couldn't stay with that one from late turn. He makes his second start off the layoff and could improve enough for a piece.

Both So Conflated and True Timber are possible plays at the right price, but El Areeb is the horse to beat. We'll take El Areeb over those two in the exacta and reverse it for a lesser amount. We'll also box all three in a smaller saver exacta and play all three in the trifectas and superfectas in first and second and first and third.

Good luck!

Free Picks

Belmont Picks - (Currently Covering) Free daily Belmont Park predictions from the winningest horse handicapper on the net!

Santa Anita Picks - (Currently Covering) Free daily picks from one of North American's most popular race tracks!

Saratoga Picks - (Currently Out of Season) Get free daily predictions each day of the racing season from the best pro horse handicapper on the planet!

Del Mar Picks - (Currently Out of Season) Kenneth gives his award winning race day predictions for all the races at Del Mar!

Aqueduct Picks - (Currently out of Season) Bet like a Pro! Take Kenny's picks to the track with you and increase your odds of winning!

Los Alamitos Picks - (Currently Not Covering) Professional horse racing handicapper Ken Strong gives Predictem readers his take on the races at Los Alamitos!

Betting

Bovada - Bet on horse races using your Credit Card and get a 50% bonus up to $250 in free money!

Weekly Rebates - Find out where you can get weekly rebates of up to 5% on your action! Not net losses, we're talking 5% back on your total risked amount!

Kentucky Derby Futures - Take long odds on your favorite horse way before the Derby starts and get paid HUGE for correctly selecting the winning horse!

Horse Racing

Kentucky Derby Betting - K. Strong dives deep into the betting and handicapping aspects of the Kentucky Derby.

Preakness Stakes Betting - The second jewel of the Triple Crown!

Belmont Stakes Betting - The 3rd jewel of the Triple Crown and logest of the trio at 1.5 miles long.

Understanding Betting on Horses - How does it work? We cover the bases plus explain exotic bets.

About Kenneth Strong - Get tips, advice and award winning information from one of the nation's best horse handicappers!