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Handicapping Bullpens

Capping the Bases: Handicapping Bullpens
by Predictem.com Staff

Bullpens are tough to handicap but are a "must do" for the serious sports bettor. You pretty much have to know a team very well in order to cap their bullpen, as certain managers run certain pitchers out to the mound very sparsely/often. Rubber arm pitchers such as Jesse Orosco who we believe could have pitched 7 days a week or closers which only pitch once or twice every few days must be labeled as such. You also need to take a gander at the past couple days box scores to see which relievers were used and for how many innings. This will help you form an opinion on whether or not they may or may not be available for use in the game your looking to bet.

We like to keep track of who has been used recently, who we think is available, what the ERA and WHIP are for these pitchers, what their season stats are and how hot/cold they've been over the last week to ten days.. We don't really get much deeper than that such as digging into bullpen pitcher vs. hitter stats because there are only so many hours in the day and we'd need a team of cappers in order to accurately assess that situation.

Another scenario to keep an eye on is team bullpen ERA over the past handful of games. While the past is no indication of how the future will play out, it's one more variable of supporting evidence to use to help you form a hypothesis on who will win the game. The info will indeed work for you more times than it will work against you. Keep in mind that even the best handicappers only hit 60% of the time so you need every bullet in the gun to grind out profits and win long term.

While this information takes a lot of time to gather up, it can provide huge rewards for your bankroll!

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How to Bet Baseball

Moneylines - The most common of baseball bets. Beautiful too, as they create a situation where you can win less than 50% of your bets and profit by betting underdogs!

Totals - The easiest wager to beat in all of sports betting. There's a reason why sportsbooks have lower limits on over/under bets!

Runlines - A wager that creates a point spread where a team is either -1.5 runs or +1.5 runs. Underdog run lines are a great bet for game in which you predict a slim margin. Favorite moneylines pay well and are great bets for potential blowouts.

Alternative Runlines - Turn a favorite into a +2.5 underdog! Turn an underdog into a -2.5 run favorite. You better know what you're doing before betting these lines or your bankroll will resemble the action of a craps table.

Parlays - This type of bet is the reason many bookies drive cadillacs. Big risk; big payouts!

Prop Bets - Similar to totals, these are easy to beat if you do your homework. Avoid the ones that look easy though as they're surely sucker bets.

Futures - A great bet for recreational bettors who only want to spend a few bucks and have something to root for all season. There's a big payout if you're right!

Season Wins - Bet on teams to go over or under the posted total. Fading public opinion can make you money with this type of wager. Especially with public teams.

FAQ

What is Whip in Baseball? - Ever seen the world WHIP associated with baseball stats? It's one of the most important factors in handicapping. Increase your winning percentage today by reading this article!

How do you Calculate ERA? - We've got the answer to a stat question asked by many.

How to Calculate Batting Average - We all know what it is but but how do you calculate it? Click and learn.

What is... - Answers to MANY questions regarding America's pastime and from around the diamond.

FOR THE DIEHARD FAN

Famous Baseball Quotes - From Yogi Berra to Casey Stengel, we list some of the greatest words ever spoken on the diamond.