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Handicapping

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden State Warriors Game 6 Pick

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden State Warriors
Time: Saturday, April 28th, 2018 – 10:30 PM EDT
Where: Oracle Arena – Oakland, CA
TV: TNT
by Keith, Professional NBA Handicapper, Predictem

Odds New Orleans +400, Golden State -530
Point Spread: Golden State -9
Total Line: 224

The New Orleans Pelicans and the Golden State Warriors will meet for Western Conference Semifinal Game One set to take place at the “O” or also known as the Oracle Arena in Oakland, California. The game is set for a tip-off of 10:35 PM EDT and will be televised for national audiences on TNT. Both teams enter off dominant performances in the Quarterfinals as the Pelicans swept the Portland Trailblazers whilst the Warriors defeated the Spurs in five games with a 4-1 series win. The last time the two teams met in the regular season New Orleans defeated Golden State on their own court to break a Golden State winning streak. The win for New Orleans signaled a turn in the tide in this series as Golden State seemingly had New Orleans number over and over again.

Dating back to the last meeting between the two sides, New Orleans has since won seven games straight and appears to enter the post-season at their peak. The combination of Demarcus Cousins and Anthony Davis has been a tough riddle for teams to solve. Golden State will be without the services of their point man Stephen Curry, such an absence has prompted analysts to believe that Golden State may be upset in this series.

Betting Trends

There are several trends worth looking at in this fixture. First off, Golden State is 3-2 ATS against New Orleans in the previous five meetings. Moreover, the Over is 8-3 ATS in the last eleven meetings in this series. New Orleans is 26-17 SU away from home whilst Golden State is 32-12 SU at home. The narrative of home court advantage seems to be nullified in this contest as New Orleans has won their last five contests away from The Big Easy. In the seven wins compiled against Golden State since their last encounter, New Orleans has been a cash cow as they are 7-0 ATS.

Handicapping Analysis

The Pelicans feature advantages in the rebounding and turnover department. This can be thanked to the presence of Anthony Davis and Demarcus Cousins in the frontcourt. In addition, the Pelicans are riding a hot hand at the moment and their appeal is at maximum levels.

As a defending champion, the Warriors know how to win at this highest level. New Orleans whilst they have the experience of qualifying for the playoffs lack the big game experience that some of the personnel on Golden State possess.

Public Money

From the start, we have seen a lean take shape on the Warriors. This is reflected in the Warriors’ price rising by 1.5 points to where the market currently stands. However, presently 72% of the cash and 68% of the ticket action is currently with the Pelicans in this market. 100% of the consensus like the Warriors in this market from a forum perspective. In Over/Under markets, we have seen the market remain stagnant. Compared to the regular season meeting between the two most recently, the line is offered at an identical number. 56% of the cash and 81% of the ticket action is in on the Over.

Team vs Team Pick ATS

This game has plenty of upset potential in it. The good news is we get to take advantage of an inflated number that the Pelicans can certainly come in under given the fact this team has plenty of mojo with a recent win against Golden State and their own successes as of recent. Pelicans point man Jrue Holiday shut down Damian Lillard in the first round of the playoffs, he will have an easier assignment in this contest. We’ll take the points here.

KEITH’s PICK: New Orleans +9 at 5Dimes to get the best line on this game and guys if you don't have an account here, now is the time to save money during the NBA playoffs and all season long in MLB!

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