Make Your Super Bowl Sunday a Super One
Tips on Betting on the Super Bowl
by Badger of Predictem.com
Ah, the Super Bowl. The only time of the year when you hear someone at the party brag about having 50-bucks riding on the coin flip, and … yes, I had heads. And the betting madness begins.
With a smorgasbord of bets to choose from, sometimes finding the right combination of props, first-half/second-half bets and bets against the point spread gets lost in the chaos of the event. Here’s a few tips to remember as you try and not blow your bankroll on one last hurrah during football’s biggest show, Super Bowl 43.
Don’t Change a Working Strategy
I’ve seen it and heard the same scenario played out a million times, bettor A has had a nice betting season and is up money, only to get careless and chase away the profits with thoughtless 50/50 bets like the coin-flip, which team gets the first penalty, first team to call a timeout, or first team to call for a challenge.
Don’t waste your money chasing exotic proposition bets. Playing a few prop bets is fun, but only risk small amounts chasing the big payouts.
If you normally bet just a side and/or a total, then stay with what has been working. And don’t risk more units than normal just because it’s the final week of NFL action. Treat it like just another regular season week, because there’s no sense putting extra pressure to win on just one game, a game the oddsmakers have had two whole weeks to handicap no less. Take a winning season and put it in the bank.
If you Want to Play…
Now that I’ve warned you not to play too many risky prop bets, here’s a list of a few “valuable” prop bets I would consider worthy of wagering on Sunday in Super Bowl 43.
Will at least one quarter be scoreless? Yes +260
With the Steelers defense, every quarter has the potential to be
scoreless. Arizona’s defense has stepped up thus far. I like those odds.
Total successful field goals by both teams – Over 3.5 -155
This is a chalk play on the prop board, but I like it anyway. Put $15
bucks on it and wish you had bet more when it covers before halftime.
Shortest Touchdown – Over 1.5 yards +130
With underdog odds like +130, I’ll place a small pittance on the
chance nobody scores on a short plunge or QB sneak in the game. Why not?
Distance of first successful field goal – Over 34.5 yards -110
Again, I think this is going to be a field goal game, so even though
it’s a standard straight-bet odds (-110 to win 100), I’m taking this
bet as easy money when it cashes … from 39-yards (by Rackers) I predict.
Team to Score First – Arizona +135
I just told you how, a 39-yarder by Rackers on the opening drive,
will put the Cards in front 3-0 early in the first quarter.
Will the game be tied after 0-0? – Yes +130
This is another strong percentage play, with valuable underdogs odds
at +130. This is another wager that will probably hit before halftime.
Will there be overtime? – Yes +1000
This is the ultimate prop for this year’s festivities. Dump the
change out of your pocket and take a shot, why not?
Super Bowl 43 Prediction
Pittsburgh Steelers (14-4, 11-7 ATS) -7, 46.5 O/U versus Arizona Cardinals (12-7, 12-7 ATS) +7, 46.5 O/U, Raymond James Stadium,
Tampa, Fla., 6:15 PM Eastern, Sunday, NBC
by Badger of Predictem.com
By now you’ve scene or heard every angle analyzed by experts and film study, so there’s not too much left to discuss really. Here’s my take on how the game plays out.
Badger’s Pick: Pittsburgh’s defense gives up a few big plays to Arizona’s fleet of receivers early in the game and the Cards take advantage by going up 10-3 early. Pitt will rally and tie it at 10-10 just before halftime, then come out in the second half with both guns blazing. A couple of quick Roethlisberger touchdown throws turns it into a game of catch-up for Warner and the Cards. The Pitt defense then makes Warner pay for having to throw every down. Pittsburgh wins and covers, 31-13, and the game comes in under the total of 46.5.
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