Arizona Cardinals (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) vs. Washington Redskins (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS), 1:00 p.m. EST, Sunday, September 18, 2011, FedEx Field, Landover, Md. TV: FOX
by Ryno, NFL Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Az +4/Wash -4
Over/Under Total: 44
The Arizona Cardinals and Washington Redskins have a few things in common: They both have a new starting quarterback this year, they both don't have very high expectations this season, they both won at home in Week 1, and they face each other in Week 2.
The Cardinals have Kevin Kolb under center in 2011 and the Redskins are now sporting Rex Grossman as their offensive leader. In Week 1, the Cardinals survived 28-21 over the Carolina Panthers, while the Redskins beat the New York Giants, 28-14.
Kolb had a stellar start to his career in Arizona with 309 passing yards and two touchdowns on 18-of-27 passing. Kolb did lose a fumble but that was the team's only turnover. The Cardinals survived a monster effort by rookie QB Cam Newton. Trailing 21-14 entering the fourth quarter, Kolb threw a 70-yard TD strike to Early Doucet to tie the game up. Then, Patrick Peterson returned a punt 89 yards for a TD to give the Cardinals the victory.
The Cardinals allowed a modest 74 rushing yards but allowed Newton to throw for 422 yards while intercepting him just once. The Cardinals have to do a better job stopping the pass going forward. If they are allowing a rookie QB in his very first start to go off like that, imagine what some of the top QBs in the league may be able to do against the Cardinals pass defense.
Beanie Wells did a solid job running the ball for the Cardinals with 90 rushing yards and a TD on 18 carries. Doucet led the way with 105 receiving yards on three receptions but Kolb did a nice job spreading the ball around to eight different receivers. Larry Fitzgerald had three catches for 62 yards.
A tie game at halftime went the Redskins way in the second half as they pulled away from the Giants for a 28-14 win in Week 1. After Rex Grossman led the 'Skins on a scoring drive at the end of the first half that ended with a 6-yard strike to Anthony Armstrong to tie the game up, Ryan Kerrigan picked off Eli Manning for the go-ahead TD in the third quarter. Grossman threw a 4-yard TD to Jabar Gaffney in the fourth quarter to give the Redskins a 2-TD advantage.
The 'Skins defense did a terrific job against the Giants, holding them to 75 rushing yards, 268 passing yards and no points in the second half. They did allow Giants wide receiver Hakeem Nicks to 122 receiving yards on seven receptions.
Grossman had a very impressive outing with 305 passing yards and two TDs on 21-of-35 passing. Tim Hightower was the primary ball carrier, getting 25 of the team's 26 carries for 72 yards and a TD. Tight end Fred Davis was Grossman's top receiver with 105 yards on five catches. Santana Moss led the way in receptions with six of them for 76 yards.
One of these two teams will be very happy to be off to a 2-0 start, especially with a new quarterback under center. Both teams have the ability to move the ball through the air or on the ground. Hightower and Wells are solid running backs, and Fitzgerald and Moss provide their respective teams with solid No. 1 options through the air. The Cardinals have the better offense at each skill position (Kolb, Wells, Fitzgerald) but the Redskins have the advantage on defense. They put on a stellar performance against a very good Giants offense, while the Cardinals struggled to contain a less potent Panthers offensive attack.
This game will come down to which team's defense steps up more and controls the game. Whichever team is able to keep the opposing offense off the field more, that team will have more of an opportunity to control the ball on offense. Based on performances from Week 1, the Redskins will have that advantage, especially being at home. If they can limit their turnovers and Hightower is able to move the ball down the field consistently, the Redskins should be able to come up with enough offense to win the game. But if they turn the ball over and give Kolb extra opportunities, the Cardinals could steal one on the road.
Ryno's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Take the UNDER 44 points.
Preseason NFL Picks - There's a myth that pre-season NFL betting is a crapshoot. Many times a coach will divulge his gameplan (and stick with it). A handicappers dream!
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - (Coming Soon!) Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - (Coming Soon!) You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your office pool!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2014 NFL Predictions - Badger makes projections on each team's record and whether or not they'll go over or under their posted season win totals at the sportsbooks.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 49. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
Sportsbook - Deposit $100, make a $100 bet and get a $100 bet FREE! Your credit card WILL work here!
GTBets - You get to select 2 NFL teams and get a FREE half point every time you bet them! Offers a generous 100% bonus on deposits of $100 to $500! One of the best at accepting credit cards for deposits!
Football Bets - We explain all the different types of wagers that you can place on an NFL game and give advice on which ones good and which are sucker bets. We also explore the value of betting at reduce odds.
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.