Atlanta Falcons (6-7, 8-5 ATS) vs. New York Jets (7-6, 7-6 ATS), Week 15 NFL, The Meadowlands, New Jersey, Sunday, Dec. 20, 1 PM Eastern, Fox
By Z-Man of Predictem.com
Point Spread: No line
Over/under: Not available at time of print
Bet this game at an online sportsbook that offers a generous 20% sign up bonus, -105 reduced juice football betting when you place your wagers on Friday and free fantasy football contests! Your credit card will work there for deposits too! Find all this and more at BetUSA.
A couple of teams still clinging to playoff hopes hook up for what might be a loser-is-out interconference game as the Atlanta Falcons pay a visit on the New York Jets Sunday afternoon in New Jersey.
As of Wednesday afternoon few online sportsbooks had lined this game, mainly because of the uncertainty surrounding both starting quarterback situations.
After their surprising run to the playoffs last season, the Falcons started 4-1 this season. But Atlanta has come upon some hard times, and after falling last Sunday at home to undefeated New Orleans 26-23, has lost six of its last eight games.
So with the Saints already having clinched the NFC South, the Falcons' only hope, at 6-7, is to track down one of the NFC wild-card berths. And with just three games to go, Atlanta trails 8-5 Dallas by two games – and a tiebreaker – for that last NFC playoff slot.
New York is proving to be one of the streakier teams in the league this season. They began the Coach Ryan/QB Sanchez era with three straight wins, then lost three in a row, then, after a win at Oakland, lost three more in a row. But after winning in Tampa Sunday 26-3 the Jets have won three straight to pull themselves back into the AFC playoff situation.
So the Jets, at 7-6, are tied with Miami one game behind the first-place New England Patriots in the AFC East, and tied, essentially, with the Dolphins, Baltimore Ravens and Jacksonville Jaguars for the last AFC wild-card spot. Although if the playoffs started today, New York would be out, thanks to its 5-5 conference record.
Atlanta starting QB Matt Ryan has missed the last couple of games after suffering a foot injury. In his place, five-year pro Chris Redman has completed 58% of his throws, with four touchdowns and three interceptions, and a 78.4 passing rating.
Ryan is listed as questionable for Sunday's game hence why it's off the board at time of print.
New York rookie starter Matt Sanchez banged up his knee a couple of weeks ago, and missed last week's win over Tampa Bay. In his place, four-year vet Kellen Clemens went 12–for-23 passing vs. the Bucs, for just 111 yards.
But Sanchez, who's completed just 53% of his passes this year with an 11/17 TD/INT ratio, returned to practice this week, and is listed as probable for Sunday's game.
The Falcons are getting outgained this season, on average, by a 376-340 YPG margin, and outrushed 118-112.
Meanwhile, New York is outgaining opponents this season 324-265, and outrushing foes 169-104.
In fact, the Jets lead the league in rushing and in total defense.
Also, New York ranks 10th in the league in average time-of-possession at 30:59, while the Falcons rank 20th at 29:00.
These two teams have played five common opponents this season; the Falcons beat Miami and Tampa, lost to New England and twice to New Orleans, and split their season series with Carolina. The Jets beat the Panthers and Bucs, lost to the Saints and twice to the Dolphins, and split their two games with the Patriots. So Atlanta went 3-4 straight up vs. those five common foes, and 4-3 against the pointspreads, while New York went 3-4 both SU and ATS.
Also on the injury front, Atlanta RB Michael Turner is listed as questionable for Sunday's game with a sore ankle.
The totals are 7-6 in Falcons games this season, which have averaged 47 points, and 5-7-1 in Jets games, which have averaged 37 points.
These two teams last met in a game that mattered four seasons ago, when the Michael Vick-quarterbacked Falcons beat the Jets of Testaverde and Bollinger 27-14.
The Sagarin PURE POINTS ratings at USAToday.com rate the Jets at 25.5, the Falcons at 21.1. Toss in Sagarin's updated NFL home-field advantage figure of 2.7, and New York is a seven-point favorite over Atlanta on the Sagarin line.
Z-Man's Pick: Turnes and Ryan are still questionable. I can't give out an opinion until their status certain. I will TRY to get back here and update if a line comes out.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your pick'em league!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2016 NFL Predictions - Badger breaks down each division and gives his picks on which teams he thinks will win the AFC and NFC Conferneces (plus Super Bowl winner prediction).
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 50. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash!
Bookmaker - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! Yes! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $300 in FREE bonus cash OR take advantage of their enormous 15% bonus up to $2500 in free cash! The best sportsbook for highrollers!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.