Buffalo Bills (7-8 SU, 6-9 ATS) vs. New York Jets (4-11 SU, 5-10 ATS)
NFL Week 17
Date/Time: Sunday, January 1st, 2016 – 1:00 PM EDT
Where: MetLife Stadium - East Rutherford, NJ
by Keith, Expert Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: BUF -6/NYJ +6
Over/Under Total: 44
The Jets will continue forth on a very perilous season after they were crushed at the hands of the AFC’s top seed, the New England Patriots last week at Foxborough. Now the Jets will host their cross-state rivals the Buffalo Bills who also come in off a crushing overtime loss where they battled back against their nemesis the Miami Dolphins. The Jets defeated the Bills earlier this year in Buffalo in a thrilling shootout. Kick-off is scheduled at 1:00 PM with the festivities to be aired live from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey on CBS.
In the early going, we have seen a heavy lean on the BIlls, likely as a reaction to what was witnessed last week with New England laying the wood to the Jets in Foxboro. The two losses contrast greatly in terms of aesthetic. As we highlighted already Buffalo took Miami to overtime. The Bills battled back from 14 down to take their arch rival in to extra time. However, in spite of all of this, the Bills were favored in this one. Miami marched in to a hostile environment with a back-up quarterback and achieved success. Kudos should be given to the Fins without question. This Bills’ defense was once again exposed by a Miami offense that unleashed the J train, also known as Jay Ajayi on the Bills as he found a lot of success on the ground. The Bills are 2-8 ATS in their last ten, showcasing their proficiency for being overvalued.
The Jets have been a trainwreck all season long. As was indicated by a leading NFL analyst, this is a football team that has great talent on their defense yet New England found a way to pick them apart like meat left for vultures. The New York Jets defense still remains a shadow of years’ past and their offense is completely disenfranchised. The Jets continue to deal with injuries to key players, most notably their quarterback position. The advantage working to the Jets here is the fact Buffalo may be completely demoralized having been officially eliminated from playoff contention last week. It is likely the Bills will treat this contest as a dress rehearsal given the fact the game has no significance to them. However, Rex Ryan may come in to this contest looking for a moral victory and to finish 8-8 ultimately to alleviate any pressure on him from the front office. Ryan is currently sitting on the hot seat.
We are going to play the team with that has been the subject of scorn and stay clear of the team that is likely being smothered as a result of an overreaction. Some analytics have shown up to 95% of the consensus liking the Bills in this contest. Given the fact this team is spotting road points and coming off a bitter loss we can’t justify that position. Thus, the Jets are once again offered at a fantastic price given the fact they can probably even win in this contest. The Jets have beaten this team earlier this year on the road so they know how to attack and approach the Bills in particular. Assuredly the Jets are bottom feeders but at the same token they have played a very rigorous schedule this season. Coach Todd Bowles is also undoubtedly under the microscope in this one as a win against Buffalo for the second time this season would bolster his credentials and perhaps save his jobs in the Tri-State Area. Furthermore, there is a level of acrimony between Gang Green enthusiasts and Rex Ryan as he is the former coach of the Jets previous to Bowles arriving. A win for New York has emotional incentives.
The Bills will have their hands full traveling to MetLife Stadium, where the Gang Green faithful will be out in storms despite the season being tanked. Given what happened last week, the Jets are probably taking back more points than they should and they come in a perfect spot off the radar. In Over/Under markets, this game will likely be best played on the Under given the inconsistency found in both teams’ offensive units.
KEITH’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: NEW YORK JETS +6
Fast payouts, 19 and 20 point teasers, pleasers, 25 team parlays, progressive parlays, live betting, online poker and discounted odds on sides and totals! Find all this and more at the web's BEST bookmaker: 5Dimes!
Need some help with your handicapping? Our NFL betting tips will help the begineer to novice bettor improve their bottom line.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your pick'em league!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2016 NFL Predictions - Badger breaks down each division and gives his picks on which teams he thinks will win the AFC and NFC Conferneces (plus Super Bowl winner prediction).
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 50. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash!
Bookmaker - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! Yes! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $300 in FREE bonus cash OR take advantage of their enormous 15% bonus up to $2500 in free cash! The best sportsbook for highrollers!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.