Buffalo Bills (6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS) vs. Oakland Raiders (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS)
NFL Week 13
Date/Time: Sunday, December 4th 2016 at 4:05PM EST
Where: Oakland Coliseum Ė Oakland, CA
by Bob, Expert Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: BUF +3 / OAK -3
Over/Under Total: 49
Sunday at 4:05pm there is an intriguing game in my opinion between the Buffalo Bills and the Oakland Raiders. The Bills will be traveling west to Oakland in hopes of staying over .500 on the season and still alive in the AFC Playoff hunt. Oakland enters at 9-2, first place in the AFC West, and one of the hottest teams in all of the NFL.
Oakland comes into this game as a three point favorite at home over the Bills while the total points are set at 49 combined. To me, this spread is a little low. With Buffalo traveling into Oakland and the Raiders being as good as they have been, I would have guessed this spread was about 4-5 points in favor of Oakland. However, it sits at three. Against the spread this year, Oakland is 7-4 and Buffalo is 5-6. As of late Tuesday night, it appeared that a majority of the action was on the Raiders to get the home cover and the total points were predicted to go under by most gamblers.
The Oakland Raiders are looking good in 2016. They finally have a quarterback and they have just played good ball all around. Some even say that Oakland is the favorite to win the AFC Title now and no that is not just Raider Nation saying this, it is the experts who really believe this team is for real. Am I that high on them yet? No, but if they keep winning like they are, then you have no choice but to believe. Oakland on paper is the much better team in this game. The Raiders have the 4th best passing offense in the NFL led by Derek Carr, the 10th best run game anchored by Latavious Murray, and they are scoring an average of 28 points per game. The only glaring issue with this team is their defense that is allowing teams to score 25 points per game meaning that Carr and the offense has their work cut out for them week in and week out, but so far this season it has not caused any issues and I truly do not believe this Bills team has an offense that I would fear coming in.
The Buffalo Bills are 6-5 and sit on the outside looking in for the AFC Wildcard, but they are certainly not out of the mix just yet but every game from this point on is crucial. I mentioned their defense not being feared and I know that sounds crazy seeing as how the Bills are scoring almost 26 points per game, there is just something about this team I do not fear if I am Oakland. The Bills defense is the key in this game. Buffalo has a good defense and in order to get this win on the road, they must slow down the Raiders. If Tyrod Taylor can grind out drives and shorten this game and keep it low scoring, then I have a good feeling for the Bills. However, if this game reaches the upper 20s or 30s in score, Oakland has the upper hand.
I am very interested to see how these two teams match up. I could seriously see this going either way and a Buffalo upset would not be THAT much of an upset in my opinion. I just cannot get over the fact that this game is played in Oakland, the Raiders are the better team, and I simply have no faith that Buffalo can go into Oakland and win this game. I think the Raiders win a sloppy 23-17 game over the Bills getting them to 10-2 on the season and dropping the Bills to 6-6 and on the verge of playoff elimination.
Bobís Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Take the Oakland Raiders -3
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