Buffalo Bills (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Rams (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS)
NFL Week 5
Date/Time: Sunday, October 9, 2016 4:25 PM EDT
Where: L.A. Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California
by Keith, Expert Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: BUF +2.5/STL -2.5
Over/Under Total: 40
On the Week Five schedule, yet another cross-conference clash between the AFC’s Buffalo Bills and the NFC’s Los Angeles Rams at the L. A. Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, California with a 4:25 PM scheduled kick-off. The game is set to be aired on FOX with regional coverage. The Bills enter off an impressive 16-0 shutout victory in New England, improving to a record of 2-2. As for the Rams, they enter in off a win against Arizona on the road by a score of 17-13. The Rams have won three in a row after losing their opening game to San Francisco. The Rams own wins over Seattle and Tampa Bay as well. Buffalo also owns a victory over Arizona in Buffalo, two weeks ago.
Two weeks ago, the Buffalo Bills look destined on a course to mediocrity after they got off to an 0-2 start and their offense looked anemic. The Bills couldn’t find the end zone in Week One against Baltimore as the Ravens had their way with the Bills and dominated them at M&T Bank Field. The Bills would follow this up with a hideous loss against the New York Jets. The Jets should have blown out the Bills but the Jets’ theatrics kept the Bills around and gave them a chance to win when they were statistically overpowered. Since those moments, the Bills have continued on to win two big games against some of the NFL’s most prolific teams: the Arizona Cardinals and the New England Patriots. The Bills have improved to a record of 2-2, also covering in their last two as underdogs as well.
The Los Angeles Rams were discerned by many to be a dark horse for the playoffs in 2016. The emergence of Todd Gurley has been the prime mover for the Rams and has catalyzed their offense. Gurley came to the NFL by way of the University of Georgia. The powerful back put together an eyebrow-raising rookie season with the Rams as he eclipsed 1,000 yards and earned a ticket to Hawaii as a Pro Bowler. Gurley was in the running for Rookie of the Year and he has followed up those accolades marvelously in 2016, hitting the ground running in his usual dominant ways. To complement Gurley, the Rams drafted quarterback Jared Goff from California to foster a more balanced attack. Needless to say it has been the Rams defense which has catapulted them to three straight wins after looking abysmal against San Francisco to start off the 2016 season where they were shutout 28-0.
This situation is a bit of a quandary. The stock in both teams is through the ceiling. As we have highlighted previously, the Rams have won three in a row and this streak was yielded against the cream of the NFC West crop. Los Angeles looks like the hot team but Buffalo’s shutout of New England at home is historic and more likely to generate an overreaction in hindsight. Nevertheless, this has not actually been the case. The consensus remains divided more or less and thus this game seems to be a virtual toss-up. Buffalo has rattled off two wins in their own right and their stock is also through the ceiling. This game is a toss-up and the book has it right favoring the home team by the default three points. However, when we see point spreads of this nature they are designed often to lure action on the pooch, not the favorite. The dog looks more appealing as a field goal gets a win. Given the home field advantage combined with jet lag, the Bills are the more vulnerable party. We will lay the more impressive result of the two and stay clear of the potential overreaction on Buffalo and take the Rams against the spread.
From Over/Under market perspective, there is no saucy play as this game can go in any direction. Given the fact, both these teams are defense oriented do not be surprised if these two teams win games by virtue of field goals. Therefore the Under is the more seasonable play.
KEITH’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: LOS ANGELES -2.5
Fast payouts, 19 and 20 point teasers, pleasers, 25 team parlays, progressive parlays, live betting, online poker and discounted odds on sides and totals! Find all this and more at the web's BEST bookmaker: 5Dimes!
Need some help with your handicapping? Our NFL betting tips will help the begineer to novice bettor improve their bottom line.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your pick'em league!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2016 NFL Predictions - Badger breaks down each division and gives his picks on which teams he thinks will win the AFC and NFC Conferneces (plus Super Bowl winner prediction).
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 50. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash!
Bookmaker - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! Yes! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $300 in FREE bonus cash OR take advantage of their enormous 15% bonus up to $2500 in free cash! The best sportsbook for highrollers!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.