Cleveland Browns (0-6 SU, 2-4 ATS) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS)
NFL Week 7
October 23rd 2016 /Time: 1 PM EST
Where: Paul Brown Stadium Cincinnati, OH
by Jason Green, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Bengals -9.5
Over/Under Total: 46.5
While it is no surprise that the Browns are winless it is pretty surprising the Bengals are 2 games under .500. Nobody expected much from Cleveland this season and they are the last team in the NFL without a win. That is not that much of a shock, as they have used 3 starting QBís already and they have been weak on both sides of the ball, especially on D where they rank 29th in the league. Oh yeah, one more surprise is that the Browns are not double-digit underdog on the road only getting 9.5 points from the Bengals.
Last Sunday the Browns stayed in the winless column with a 28-26 loss to the Tennessee Titans. The Bengals lost their 2nd in a row falling 35-17 to the New England Patriots.
Cincy QB Andy Dalton canít be blamed for his teamís shortcomings, as he has put together a legit season so far and he not only has the 3rd most passing yards in the league, but he has not thrown an INT in the last 3 games. He does have one of the best WR;ís in the league in A.J. Green, but he has not gotten much more help. The rushing offense has struggled as of late and only had a grand total of 79 yards on the ground in the loss to the Pats. Also, the defense has not really pitched in only ranking 19th in defending the pass and 22nd defending the run.
If you look hard you can find a couple of positive things for the Browns. First in the loss to Tennessee QB Cody Kessler had a big game passing for 336 yards with a couple of TDís and no INT. Also, former Ohio State QB Terrelle Pryor has fashioned himself as a good WR leading Cleveland in receptions and receiving yards.
The Browns need to run the ball in this AFC North match up, as they canít count on rookie Kessler to shoulder the whole offensive load. In 2 of 3 games Cleveland RB Isaiah Crowell rushed for 120 yards, but since has rushed for only 38 yards in the last 2 games. I mean Kessler was lights out in the loss to the Titans and the Browns only lost by 2 even though they only had 40 yards on the ground.
Like the Browns the Bengals run game has been less than stellar. Jeremy Hill leads Cincy is yards on the ground with only 276 and he and 2nd leading rusher Giovani Bernard have failed to even average over 3.7 yards per carry for the season. However, they may be able to pad their stats in this division contest facing a Cleveland run D that only ranks 27th in the league.
While the Browns are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 games facing the Browns Cleveland is 4-3-1 ATS in their last 8 games facing them in Cincy.
Clevelandís defense is the main issue of the team and they are up against a struggling Bengalsí offense that has not scored over 17 points in 4 of 5 games. Are the Bengals better than a 2-win team? I would say yes, as their last 2 games, which were both losses, were on the road facing the Cowboys and Patriots, who are both 5-1. In their 4 losses all teams are currently over .500.
The Browns covered the spread in their loss to the Titans last week, but they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after covering. On top of that they have failed to cover in their last 6 division games. The Bengals have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games facing a team with a losing record.
I look for Dalton to have a strong game with the expected return of their star TE Tyler Eifert. Cincy will put a stop to their 2-game skid and send the Browns to their 7th loss of the season and I feel the margin will hit double digits covering the hefty spread.
Jasonís Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Bengals -9.5
Bet your pick for this game using your credit card at an online bookie where it WILL work for deposits and where you'll receive a generous 50% signup bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500! (Example: Deposit $500 and they'll give you an extra $250 FREE!) Find this great offer at Bovada Sportsbook.
Need some help with your handicapping? Our NFL betting tips will help the begineer to novice bettor improve their bottom line.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your pick'em league!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2016 NFL Predictions - Badger breaks down each division and gives his picks on which teams he thinks will win the AFC and NFC Conferneces (plus Super Bowl winner prediction).
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 50. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash!
Bookmaker - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! Yes! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $300 in FREE bonus cash OR take advantage of their enormous 15% bonus up to $2500 in free cash! The best sportsbook for highrollers!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.