More Sports Sections: Super Bowl College Football NBA Basketball College Basketball Baseball NHL Hockey Soccer MMA Boxing Nascar Golf Horse Racing

20 Point Football Teasers!


Types of Bets

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers Point Spread - Pick ATS

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-7 SU, 3-7-1 ATS) vs. Green Bay Packers (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS)
NFL Week 13
Date/Time: Sunday, December 3 at 1PM EST
Where: Lambeau Field
by Evergreen, Expert Football Handicapper,

Point Spread: TB -2/GB +2
Over/Under Total: 44

The playoffs are still a month away but every week is now a playoff game for the fringe contenders. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head to Lambeau this weekend to take on the Green Bay Packers with both teams essentially needing to win out to have any chance at the postseason. The Bucs have gotten a little good news as Jameis Winston appears on track to return from a shoulder injury. Ryan Fitzpatrick was serviceable as a backup over the last three games but Tampa will need Winston at his best if they are going to somehow salvage this season. Green Bay is desperately trying to keep their heads above water with the hopes that Aaron Rodgers can return in week 15 and save the day. Rodgers hasnít received an updated medical opinion yet but excitement is racing among the Packer faithful after video surfaced of #12 chucking it 50 yards from a standstill during a rehab session. Neither of these teams is likely going to mount a relevant charge through the last month but there is still plenty to play for.

This is the first meeting for these teams since Green Bay notched a 20-3 win in 2014. These teams are historically familiar foes having shared the NFC Central division prior to the 2002 realignment. With the uncertainty surrounding Winstonís status this game was listed as a pick Ďem by the few online betting sites that had it on their early week boards. The Bucs have moved to a two-point favorite now that Winston is slated to start and the over/under total has been set at 44 points. Tampa enters as the 20th ranked team by the Sagarin metrics with Green Bay at #15. The offense-defense modeling done by those same computers is calling for a 24-21 Packer win.

Despite missing Winston for the last three weeks, the Bucs have won two of the last three, matching their two wins in eight games prior. Tampa brings a bottom-five rush offense to Sunday but their passing game has been top-five all year no matter who has been under center. They should be able to use that 3rd ranked passing game to press the 25th ranked passing defense of Green Bay. The Packers are in desperate need of a #1 corner but have not found it with any of their defensive backs and opponents have been able to work to the outside quite easily. Damarious Randall, Kevin King and Davon House all rank outside the top-80 at DB according to Pro Football Focus and they will have their hands full with Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson. Getting pressure on the QB has been another weak spot for Green Bay with just 22 sacks in eleven games. The Bucs have allowed just 20 sacks and should be able to keep Winston upright, especially if Clay Matthews sits again due to a groin injury. Bottom line, the Tampa offense has the edge against the Green Bay defense.


Green Bay does have a similar edge, even though Brett Hundley has not been a consistent producer with Rodgers out. Tampa is dead last in passing yards and total yards allowed while surrendering 23.8 points per game. Hundley has thrown for five touchdowns against seven interceptions in relief but played his best game by far last week, finding the endzone three times against a good Steeler defense in Pittsburgh. The Bucs do not have the quality of defense that the Steelers possess and Green Bay looks to have a dual threat running back in the form of Jamaal Williams. Against Pittsburgh, Williams accounted for 66 rushing yards, 69 receiving yards and scored twice. That kind of effectiveness in the run game will take pressure off Hundley and Tampa is no better than league average at stopping the rush. The Bucs are also dead last in sacks generated this season so Hundley should have time to scan and find Davante Adams (7 TD) and Jordy Nelson (6 TD).

Watch the injury report regarding the status of Bucs running back Doug Martin. He left last week with a concussion and will have the clear the NFL protocol if he is to factor in on Sunday. Green Bay is 11th in rushing yards allowed but have been burned in the passing game by backs, giving up at least ten running back receptions in consecutive weeks. Jacquizz Rodgers would fill if Martin is shelved. Rodgers filled in nicely in that lead back role last season but did not have the same success in the first four games this season while Martin served his suspension. Charles Sims is the passing down back and he may wind up being the most useful if Martin sits. TE Cameron Brate is happy to see Winston back as he was a top-five tight end with Jameis in there but has caught only one pass in each of the last four weeks with Fitzpatrick under center. There are plenty of offensive options in Tampa and they should have no real issues reaching the 21-24 point range if they stay turnover-free.

I think Hundley took a legitimate step forward last week. Now, he may not reach that level this week as he is far from a finished product but he should be able to put together a positive effort against one of the worst defenses in the league. Tampa has multiple sacks in just two games this season and that lack of pass-rush does huge favors for Hundley. He will have time to pass and has quality options to use despite not being able to regularly find Jordy Nelson since taking over. Hundley also has shown solid scrambling skills so he can convert a third down with his legs or pose a threat in a goal-to-go situation. The Green Bay offense has found a few items to build on, they just canít bottom out the way they did against Baltimore a few weeks ago during a 23-0 shutout loss at home.

Mike McCarthy has slowly added a wrinkle or two since losing Rodgers. That, coupled with Hundleyís performance last week, gives me confidence Green Bay can move the ball regularly. The Bucs have allowed 30 points or more on five occasions this year and while they do lead the NFL in takeaways since the start of 2016, that has not led to a string of victories. The Packers should be able to get right in that 21-24 point range as well and I think this game is appropriately a pick Ďem as it was first published. Getting a few points for the home team makes this a relatively easy call in my mind and Green Bay is not a bad moneyline bet as well. I do think the Pack keep their slim playoff hopes alive with a 24-23 win.

Evergreenís Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Green Bay

- Bet your pick for this game using your credit card at an online bookie where it WILL work for deposits and where you'll receive a generous 50% signup bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $250! (Example: Deposit $250 and they'll give you an extra $250 FREE!) Find this great offer at Bovada Sportsbook.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!

Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.

Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.

Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!

NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.

Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.

NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.

NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!

Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden! Did we mention that their FREE?

2017 NFL Predictions - Jay breaks down each division and gives his picks on which teams he thinks will win the AFC and NFC Conferneces (plus Super Bowl winner prediction).

Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 50. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!


5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!

Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!

MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash!

Intertops - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! Yes! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $200 in FREE bonus cash! Regarded by many as the most trusted betting site on the web! (Online since 1996!)

Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!

Featured Articles

Statless NFL Handicapping - The quick, easy way and yes, it's effective!

Betting NFL Underdogs - It's the first thing you should consider every Sunday. We explain why.

Choosing an Online Sportsbook - We talk about things to consider before you commit to play at one.


Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!

Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!

Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.

The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!

Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.