Note: If you're looking for the 2014 Week 14 matchup between these teams, please go here: Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears Pick.
Dallas Cowboys (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS) vs. Chicago Bears (6-6 SU, 2-9-1 ATS)
NFL Week 14
Date and Time: Monday Night Football, December 9, 2013, 8:40 pm EST
Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, Ill.
TV: ESPN/DirecTV 206
by Badger, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: DAL. +1/CHI. -1
Over/Under Total: 50
Bet your Pokes/Bears pick at an online sportsbook where you only have to lay -105 odds, not the expensive -110 that your bookie is charging you. Making the switch to reduced vigorish betting will save you so much money that it's ridiculous! It's like receiving a bonus every time you bet and it lasts forever! Find this great offer as well as 20 point teasers, 25 team parlays and lightning fast payouts at the web's best sportsbook: 5Dimes.
The Dallas Cowboys would love to have their regular season finale with the rival Philadelphia Eagles be for all the marbles in the NFC East, but in order to get to that magic date they will run a gauntlet of desperate, dangerous teams along the way starting this week when they face the Chicago Bears in Soldier Field on Monday Night Football.
The Cowboys remained in a tie atop the NFC East with the Eagles by winning last week’s Thanksgiving Day traditional game at home over Oakland, 31-24. But with games against the Bears this week, followed by games against Green Bay and at Washington, Dallas has to remain focused on the task at hand and not get caught looking ahead to a showdown in the finale.
The Bears have lost two in a row and four of their last six to essentially fall into “must-win” mode from here on out. In last week’s 23-20 overtime loss at the Metrodome to the Vikings, the Bears blew a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter to add further frustration to an already maddening season. With QB Jay Cutler still listed as questionable it’s still unknown whether or not the Bears will be full strength against the Cowboys, but with the way Josh McCown has played it almost is a wash.
With questions about Cutler’s ankle lingering, oddsmakers cautiously set the opening point spread with the Bears as small 2-point favorites at home in Soldier Field. With most of the early money on the Cowboys, the line has moved down to minus -1 at most sportsbooks and as low as a pick em’ at some offshore sportsbooks.
The over/under total opened at 49.5 and has moved up slightly to 50 at some books, but there are still plenty of 49.5 listed on the board at a few houses.
The total is likely to move up more, especially if Cutler is cleared to play, because this game on paper looks like it could turn into an offensive shootout. Dallas with Tony Romo throwing to Dez Bryant, Jason Witten and DeMarco Murray out of the backfield (243 ypg passing) is a wicked combo that the now surprisingly weak Bears defense (28th overall 386 ypg; 32nd vs. run 153 ypg) will not be able to stop for four quarters and 60 minutes.
McCown has been solid and the Bears offense under new coach Marc Trestman has definitely been offensive-minded, to the tune of 382 yards a week (8th in NFL). Going against the Cowboys, their 32nd-ranked pass defense (295 ypg) and the 27th-ranked run defense (127 ypg) … Trestman and the Bears offense must be pinching themselves in their offensive game-plan meetings this week.
Chicago beat the Cowboys on the road last year, 34-18, in early October to make it two in a row over the self-proclaimed ‘America’s Team.” But historically the series has been in favor of the underdog, who has gone 4-1 ATS (dog is 3-0 SU in L3) dating back to the 1998 season.
The Bears are a miserable 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games though, and Dallas is 1-7 ATS in the last eight Monday Night Football appearances, so maybe it’s best to just play on the total.
If you play the total, the over is 10-4 in Chicago’s last 14 games overall, and 9-4-1 in Dallas MNF games.
Badger's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: DeMarco Murray runs wild opening up the passing game for Tony Romo and his crew of receivers and the Cowboys win straight up. The Bears defense is HORRIBLE. I like this play even more if Jay Cutler somehow starts.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your pick'em league!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2015 NFL Predictions - Bob makes projections on each team's record (plus Super Bowl winner prediction) and whether or not they'll go over or under their posted season win totals at the sportsbooks.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 49. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash!
Bookmaker - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! Yes! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $300 in FREE bonus cash OR take advantage of their enormous 15% bonus up to $2500 in free cash! The best sportsbook for highrollers!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.