More Sports Sections: Super Bowl College Football NBA Basketball College Basketball Baseball NHL Hockey Soccer MMA Boxing Nascar Golf Horse Racing

20 Point Football Teasers!

Handicapping

Types of Bets

Other Great Sites

Kansas City Chiefs vs.†Denver Broncos Betting Lines - Prediction ATS

Kansas City Chiefs†(7-3†SU,†4-6†ATS) vs.†Denver Broncos†(7-3†SU,†7-3†ATS)
NFL †Football Week†12
Date/Time:†Sunday, November 27 at 8:30pm ET†
Where:†Sports Authority Field
TV:†NBC
by†Evergreen,†Pro†Football†Handicapper,†Predictem.com

Point Spread:†KC +3/DEN -3
Over/Under Total: 39.5

Division games are the cornerstones of the NFL schedule and those late-season division tilts that decide who goes to the playoffs and who stays home are must-see TV. Denver hosts Kansas City this weekend in the Sunday Night Football slot with both teams looking to keep pace with the AFC West leading Oakland Raiders. This is the first meeting between these teams this season and the winner leaves Mile High feeling much better about the rest of slate while the loser might just have kissed their chances to win the division goodbye. The AFC West has some of the most hostile places to play a game as a visitor but each of these teams found a way to win in otherís building last season so KC should have plenty of confidence to pull off that trick again.

These teams have proven to be very evenly matched on paper through ten games so it is no surprise to see Denver giving just the standard three that comes with a home game. The Chiefs have been remarkable on the road of late, accumulating an 8-3 record against the spread in the last eleven as the visitor but the Broncos counter with a 6-1-1 ATS mark in the last eight at Mile High. The underdog is 4-0 against the spread in the last four between these teams and the road team is 5-0 ATS as well. The Sagarin computers have the 8th rated Broncos as 4.3 point favorites over the 14th ranked Chiefs and the offense-defense method is predicting a 20-15 Denver win.

After heading into the bye at 2-2, Kansas City managed to rip off five wins before dropping a 17-19 nail-biter at Tampa last week. There isnít much flash on either side of the ball but the Chiefs are one of the toughest teams to beat as they rarely beat themselves. The offense has found a way to do just enough despite never really having Jamaal Charles contribute and the defense is 7th in points allowed behind a bend-donít-break style. There is some concern on the injury front as Jeremy Maclin, Charcandrick West and Tyreek Hill are all questionable for the game. The Chiefs arenít a juggernaut on offense without the injuries and they could use all the playmakers they have as they challenge the 4th rated defense in total yards allowed.

GET A GENEROUS 50% SIGNUP BONUS UP TO $250 AT ONE OF THE WEB'S OLDEST AND MOST TRUSTED SPORTSBOOKS: BOVADA!

Denver is a no-nonsense squad as well, one that runs the ball to set up play-action and relies on one of the better overall defenses in the league. The Broncos are coming off a bye, which will certainly have helped Trevor Siemian heal up an injured shoulder. He is listed as probable for Sunday Night but CB Aqib Talib is a question mark with an ailing back. After a 4-0 start, Denver has gone 3-3 with losses to Oakland, Atlanta and San Diego. Those arenít the worst losses you could have but their win against New Orleans before the bye week came via a blocked extra point that was returned to give them 25-23 win. A 6-4 Bronco team welcoming the Chiefs would be in a much more desperate situation. Denverís big edge will come from their 2nd best pass defense that is allowing less than 200 yards per game. Alex Smith isnít a gunslinger so he should keep the turnovers low but KC has a major challenge ahead of them to simply move the ball against this secondary.

If KC has its way, there will be plenty of Spencer Ware runs that set up third and short situations. Ware has filled in well in the starterís role and contributes in the pass game along with averaging nearly five yards per carry. Denver is 29th against the run so you can bet the Chiefs gameplan will test that portion of the defense in hopes of controlling the ball and eventually throwing against eight man fronts. Denver allows less than a 40% conversion rate on third down and KC would do well to just avoid any third and long scenarios. Von Miller has 9.5 of the Broncos 29 total sacks.

Denver will likely run the ball first and often as well. There has been a step down in production after C.J. Andersonís injury but Devontae Booker should see running room against the 27th ranked run defense of the Chiefs. Siemian is an average thrower but bring an element with his legs that helps extend plays he can scramble for those key conversions. Demaryious Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders are talented receivers but they represent the only real targets in the pass game. Both receivers are over 50 catches but no other Bronco has more than 20. It could be a long day for the passing game if KC can bottle up Thomas and Sanders. The Chiefs do not have a dynamic overall pass rush but Dee Ford has gotten home for 10 sacks and pressure on Siemian doesnít necessarily need to lead to sacks to be a disruptive element.

About 62% of the public money is on Denver and that is understandable after seeing KC lay a bit of an egg against the Buccaneers. The sharp money is also on Denver in the early going and I think that is the right call as well. The injury toll on the KC offense is starting to look like it could be more than they can overcome now that Maclin and Hill are banged up. Alex Smith is a polished passer but only having Travis Kelce as a weapon is a pretty empty cupboard. Denver should have the resources to keep Kelce under wraps and that puts a lot of pressure on Wareís running as possibly the only method to move the ball. The home field advantage and the bye week will provide big edges for Denver on the emotional side of the coin and the playmaking edge is slightly with the Broncos as well. Lay the three and look for a 24-19 Denver win.

Evergreenís†Pick to Cover the Point Spread:†Denver

Bet your picks at an online sportsbook where you can bet on games at -105 odds instead of the more expensive -110 price tag that your bookie is sticking you with! Making the switch to betting at discounted odds will save you TONS of cash! Find this great offer as well as 20 point teasers and parlays up to 25 teams at the web's best bookmaker: 5Dimes.

Need some help with your handicapping? Our NFL betting tips will help the begineer to novice bettor improve their bottom line.

Free Picks

Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!

Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.

Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.

Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.

Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!

NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.

Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.

Office Pool Picks - You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your pick'em league!

NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.

NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!

Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?

2016 NFL Predictions - Badger breaks down each division and gives his picks on which teams he thinks will win the AFC and NFC Conferneces (plus Super Bowl winner prediction).

Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 50. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!

Betting

5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!

Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!

MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash!

Bookmaker - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! Yes! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $300 in FREE bonus cash OR take advantage of their enormous 15% bonus up to $2500 in free cash! The best sportsbook for highrollers!

Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!

Featured Articles

Statless NFL Handicapping - The quick, easy way and yes, it's effective!

Betting NFL Underdogs - It's the first thing you should consider every Sunday. We explain why.

Choosing an Online Sportsbook - We talk about things to consider before you commit to play at one.

FAQ and MISC

Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!

Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!

Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.

The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!

Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.