Indianapolis Colts (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) vs. Denver Broncos (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
NFL Week 2
Date/Time: Sunday, September 18, 2016, 4:25 pm EST
Where: Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, Co.
TV: CBS, DirecTV 715
by Badger, Expert Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: IND +6/DEN -6
Over/Under Total: 45
Two of the better teams in the AFC will meet in second-week National Football League action on Sunday when the Indianapolis Colts travel to Mile High to take on the defending champion Denver Broncos on CBS.
A lot of experts predicted correctly that Sundayís matchup between Indy and the Broncos would feature a 1-win team versus a 1-loss team, itís just that most of them erred on which team would be the winner and which the loser.
Not many expected Denver to win their opener, especially since the Broncos were opening Trevor Simemianís reign as the starting quarterback against the defending NFC Champion Carolina Panthers and Cam Newton. Siemian persevered through an up and down game and the Broncos defense took over late in the 4th quarter in an opening ,21-20, win when Carolina missed a last-second field goal.
Likewise, almost everyone expected the Colts with a healthy Andrew Luck back at QB to beat the Detroit Lions at home in the opener Ö and they should have won, but they blew it in a, 39-35, opening week stunner. Luck threw the go-ahead touchdown to Jack Doyle with only 37 second remaining in the game, but the Colts defense failed to hold in the final 37 ticks allowing Matthew Stafford to complete four passes for 50 yards and get the Lions in range for the game-winning 43-yard Matt Prater field goal with 4 seconds on the clock.
STOP WASTING YOUR MONEY FELLAS! DUMP YOUR OVER-PRICED BOOKIE TODAY AND START WAGERING ON GAMES AT ONLY -105 AT THE WEB'S BEST! --> 5DIMES!
What should make this game even more interesting is the fact that the Colts have been a major pain in the Broncos side in recent years, winning eight of the last nine meetings which includes the last time the Broncos lost in the AFC playoffs (Indy 24-13 in 2015).
But the Broncos defense reminded everyone that even with Siemian at QB they are still legit, which explains why oddsmakers set the opening point spread for this game with Denver as 6-point favorites. So far the number appears to be spot on, with both sides taken on enough money that the number continues to hold at minus -6.
The over/under total opened at 45, but true to form it can be found at almost any number within a point and a half, with most sportsbook and sitting at 45.5 or 46 currently.
The game will hinge on one facet Ö will the Colts defense show up to play and match the intensity from the Broncos defense. Iím pretty sure the Colts offensive line will have issues with the Broncos front-seven, so if the Colts defense doesnít at least find a way to consistently stop C.J. Anderson and force Siemian to win the game in the air, it could be a long flight back to Indianapolis for Luck and the Colts. One injury to watch as it gets later in the week is the hip condition of Demaryius Thomas, who is currently listed as questionable.
Iíve already mentioned the Colts recent run of dominance over Denver, but it also includes two wins in a row including a, 27-24, victory last November in Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts defense controlled the Broncos run game (only 35 yards on 14 carries), forced two interceptions on Peyton Manning in the game and held up when Manning tried to rally the Broncos on their last few 4th-quarter possessions.
Even more dominating has been the Colts at the betting window in this series. Indy is on a current 9-0 ATS covering streak including a 4-0 ATS record at Mile High (3-1 SU) which includes staright up victories when the Colts were listed as high as 9.5-point dogs (in the 2015 playoffs) and even an poetic and ironic 6-point dog in 2013.
Badger's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: The Colts defense is a huge question for me to get past in this game, but this is the NFL and you have to forget what happened last week really quickly. But at the same time Iím not so sure Denver with Siemian will score enough points offensively to pull 6 points away from anyone all year. Indy seems to have their number right now too, although you could argue the Broncos are due. Either way, Iím still going to take the points in this matchup. Iím taking the Colts plus the 6-points.
Bet this game at an online sportsbook where your credit card WILL work for deposits and where you'll receive a giant 100% sign-up bonus up to $1000 in FREE cash! --> MyBookie!
Need some help with your handicapping? Our NFL betting tips will help the begineer to novice bettor improve their bottom line.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your pick'em league!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2016 NFL Predictions - Badger breaks down each division and gives his picks on which teams he thinks will win the AFC and NFC Conferneces (plus Super Bowl winner prediction).
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 50. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash!
Bookmaker - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! Yes! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $300 in FREE bonus cash OR take advantage of their enormous 15% bonus up to $2500 in free cash! The best sportsbook for highrollers!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.