New England Patriots (13-4 SU, 9-8 ATS) vs. Denver Broncos (14-3 SU, 10-6-1) ATS)
AFC Championship Game
Date and Time: Sunday January 19th, 2014. 3:00PM Eastern
Where: Sports Authority Field at Mile High Denver, C.O.
by Jay, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: NE +4.5/DEN -4.5
Over/Under Total: 54.5
Bet your Patriots/Broncos pick at an online sportsbook where your credit card WILL work and where you'll receive a generous 50% signup bonus up to $250 in free cash: Bovada.
One of the most anticipated AFC Championship Games in NFL history will take place this Sunday when the New England Patriots meet the Denver Broncos at Sports Authority Field at Mile High Stadium. The storyline is rather simple but not to be undermined. Quarterbacks Tom Brady and Peyton Manning are undoubtedly the best quarterbacks of this generation and quite possibly the best of all-time. This Sunday’s match-up could be the final playoff meeting between both elite quarterbacks and it will take place on one of the biggest stages with a trip to Super Bowl XLVIII up for grabs.
In week 12, Brady rallied the Patriots from a 24-0 halftime deficit to comeback and steal a 34-31 victory in overtime. The game was one of the best of the entire NFL regular season and went down as another chapter in the Manning vs. Brady legacy. Brady leads that all-time series convincingly at 10-4 SU with a 2-1 SU playoff advantage. Nevertheless the stage has been set for another epic showdown between two of the best to play the game and the stakes are as high as ever. Obviously this game will be more about the Broncos and the Patriots rather than what some are claiming as Brady-Manning Bowl XV. Still if week 12 was any indicator of what to expect this Sunday, this should be another thrilling football game.
The Broncos overcame a late surge by the Chargers last week to hold onto a 24-17 victory to advance to this week’s AFC Championship Game. Manning was solid in windy conditions completing 25 of 36 passing for 230 yards with 2 touchdowns and just 1 pick. Of course Peyton Manning playing great has been a theme in the NFL this year. Manning set NFL season records with 55 touchdowns and 5,477 passing yards to help lead the Broncos to the single season best scoring mark in NFL history with 606 total team points. While Manning gets most of the credit and rightfully so, he is surrounded by a tremendous cast. Wide receivers Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker posted staggering numbers this season by combining for more than 2,700 receiving yards with 25 touchdowns. Not to mention both tight end Julius Thomas and wide out Wes Welker posted more than 700 receiving yards each along with 26 additional touchdowns despite both players missing some playing time with injuries.
Tip: Why are you still laying -110 odds on foots/hoops? Dump your over-priced bookie today and start laying only -105 odds at the web's best bookie: 5Dimes! They pay fast too!
Denver’s offense and the help of their home field advantage this weekend is the reason the Broncos opened as 4.5 point favorites at most online betting shops despite their loss to New England earlier this year. The Broncos will undoubtedly put pressure on New England’s defense and find ways to score. The biggest question is can the Denver defense hold off Tom Brady and the Patriots offense? In week 12, Brady destroyed the Broncos defense for 270 passing yards and 3 touchdowns in the 2nd half alone in the Patriots come from behind victory. Brady and the Patriots seem to be hitting their playoff form which has been rather common this time of year under head coach Bill Belichick.
The Patriots posted a dominating performance last week in their 43-22 thrashing over Indianapolis. Not only was Brady sharp by hooking up often with Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola, but the Patriots received an even bigger offensive boost from running back LeGarrette Blount. Blount rushed for 166 yards and a New England playoff record 4 touchdowns in their blowout victory over the Colts. The emergence of Blount in the running game should give Broncos defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio even more to worry about this week in prepping the Denver defense. Despite the enormous offensive numbers this season for Denver, the defense has been a struggle for most of the season giving up 24.9 points per game (22nd in the NFL). As much as Manning has resembled ‘Superman’ this season, the Denver defense has been the team’s Kryptonite. If Manning and the Broncos are going to keep their dream season alive, they must get a big performance from the defense this Sunday. Otherwise Lex Luthor, aka Tom Brady may steal the glory from Manning yet again in one of the most pivotal matches in both quarterback’s illustrious careers.
Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: In case you have not been paying attention, I am a perfect 4-0 thus far in the playoffs and I plan to carry that momentum right to the Super Bowl. In my opinion, the side may be too risky to pick in this game as I expect a close game just as the week 12 overtime thriller. A few big plays will be the difference in this game and that does not bode well for a side play. However expect scoring to meet expectations yet again. Both the Broncos and Patriot’s offenses will get the best of their opposing defenses in this game while keeping pressure to score on the opposition. In return, both Manning and Brady will take plenty of offensive strikes down the field and find ways to keep scoring. Take the best bet of the game and take the over 54.5!
Preseason NFL Picks - There's a myth that pre-season NFL betting is a crapshoot. Many times a coach will divulge his gameplan (and stick with it). A handicappers dream!
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - (Coming Soon!) You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your office pool!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2014 NFL Predictions - Badger makes projections on each team's record and whether or not they'll go over or under their posted season win totals at the sportsbooks.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 49. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
Sportsbook - Deposit $100, make a $100 bet and get a $100 bet FREE! Your credit card WILL work here!
GTBets - You get to select 2 NFL teams and get a FREE half point every time you bet them! Offers a generous 100% bonus on deposits of $100 to $500! One of the best at accepting credit cards for deposits!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.