Denver Broncos (6-0 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) vs. Indianapolis Colts (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS)
NFL Week 7
Date and Time: Sunday, October 20th, 2013, 8:30 pm EST
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Ind.
by Badger, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Den -6.5/IND +6.5
Bet your Denv/Indy pick at an online sportsbook where they let you bet on games at -105 instead of the more expensive -110 that your bookie is charging you. Pencil it out, see how many hundreds (or thousands) that you've be saving and make the switch today to discounted betting odds at the web's best sportsbook: 5Dimes.
Peyton Manning returns to state where he spent 13 years and won a Super Bowl, when the undefeated Denver Broncos travel to Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis to take on the Indianapolis Colts and their new face of the franchise Andrew Luck in this week’s Sunday Night Football in America game on NBC.
It what will sure to be talked about over and over until we puke, Manning will be coming back to the town and the team that let him go due to the uncertainty of the health of his neck back in 2011. While some fans will likely be in force in their old No. 18 jerseys on Sunday Night, there’s no denying that the Colts are now Luck’s team and the game goes on in both cities.
Everyone has watched the Broncos and Manning carve up the league so far this season, although they did struggle a little last week in a , 35-19, win over Jacksonville. Maybe it was overlooking, maybe for a day the Jaguars decided not to play like Jags, but whatever the reason you can bet the bankroll that Manning will be amped up for Sunday even if he says it’s just another game.
The Colts will be looking to get back in the win column with a huge upset, trying to rebound from last week’s dismal performance in primetime on Monday Night Football in a, 19-9, dud at San Diego. The Colts receivers had a contagious case of the drops on Monday in the loss, so maybe it’s good that they got it out of their system in order to try and pull off the stunner in primetime on Sunday.
The opening point spread for the game went up on the board with Indianapolis as a full touchdown 7-point favorite, but early betting dropped the number down to minus -6.5 at most sportsbooks even though the public is in love with Manning and the Broncos right now (67% of money on Denver so far).
Betting Tip: How many games have you lost by a half point? Probably more than you care to admit! End that problem today by getting a FREE 1/2 point every time you bet your (2) favorite college and pro teams at GTBets.
The over/under total opened at 56 at most sportsbooks, but it’s already dropped to as low as 55 in some books and as high as 57 in others, depending on how much risk and juice you’re willing to pay to move it up or down.
There will be one interesting development in Sunday’s game, as the Broncos will finally get LB Von Miller back after his six-game suspension. With Miller back and coming off the edge, the Colts will likely try and work the clock with a steady diet of the run game with Trent Richardson and Donald Brown.
Denver and Manning meanwhile will look to continue their torrid pace this season, which they’re currently ranked No. 1 is just about every offensive category imaginable (passing 360 ypg; scoring 44.2 ppg). Nobody has stopped the Broncos yet, and teams haven’t been able to outscore them either, so don’t expect too much from the Colts defense even though they are a much improved unit over last season.
These two teams last met back in 2010 ( a 27-13 win by Indy in Denver), and all told the Colts hold a five-game win streak against the Broncos going back to 2005. But those numbers all happened when Manning was in a Colts uniform, so they’re much less meaningful than most historical numbers in the league.
Something will have to give this week too, since the Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games, but the Colts are 7-2 ATS in their last nine at home in Lucas Oil Stadium. While Denver has practically gone over the total each week by themselves, this week they could have some help since the over is 4-0 in the last four head-to-head meetings between these two in games played in Indianapolis, and 6-1 when you take it out further and include the last seven games overall.
Badger's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Indy backdoors this game trying to rally late and beat their old teammate. Take Indianapolis and the 6.5 or 7 points if you can get the full touchdown.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
Superbowl Predictions - Our take before the season on who we think will win Superbowl XLVIII. We'll update with a final pick based on the actual remaining teams a week prior to the big game at MetLife Stadium on February 2nd, 2014.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 46. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too! Picks will be updated a 2nd and final time two weeks before the Super Bowl plays.
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits!
Sportsbook - Get a 25% signup bonus on deposits of $200 or more (up to $250 in bonus money). Your credit card WILL work here!
GTBets - You get to select 2 NFL teams and get a FREE half point every time you bet them! Offers a generous 100% bonus! One of the best at accepting credit cards for deposits too!
Football Bets - We explain all the different types of wagers that you can place on an NFL game and give advice on which ones good and which are sucker bets. We also explore the value of betting at reduce odds.
Superbowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.