Denver Broncos (5-0, 5-0 ATS) at San Diego Chargers (2-2, 1-3 ATS)
Qualcomm Stadium Monday October 19th, 8:30PM Eastern
By Jay Horne of Predictem.com
A week after the AFC East took center stage on Monday night, the AFC West gets their taste of the action this week. The battle marks a home stand from the San Diego Chargers who took down the conference one season ago as they will battle with the biggest surprise team in the NFL this season.
The Denver Broncos undefeated start did not get much respect through the opening weeks of the season. However after a big win against Dallas and even bigger win last week in overtime to New England, the Broncos are among the best in the AFC with an unblemished mark of 5-0. The Broncos may have not been given the title of the best in the AFC quite yet, but you can not deny the impressive start and they lead the Chargers by 2 games already in the AFC West.
Denver is fresh off their biggest win of the season last week a 20-17 thriller over the Patriots on overtime. The Broncos had caught the early deception as a defensive team, but racked up 424 yards of total offense. QB Kyle Orton keeps silencing all the Denver critics for that seemingly lucrative trade for Jay Cutler over the off-season. However, Orton had another solid performance completing 35 of 48 (72%) and 330 yards with 2 scores. The passing offense has been fueled by the help and re-emergence of WR Brandon Marshall. Marshall has been getting more passes thrown his way and the numbers are slowly coming around. All of Marshall's 4 touchdowns have come in the last 4 games. The passing offense also got a big lift last week from 2nd year youngster WR Eddie Royal. It was the performance the coaching staff had been waiting out of Royal who caught 10 passes for 90 yards and the young talent is a player they fill can really contribute on offense.
On the other side of the ball, the Broncos defense remains stellar. Denver held the Patriots to 305 total yards of offense and held Tom Brady to just 215 passing yards in last week's win. The Denver defense remains the best scoring defense in the NFL allowing just 8.6 points per game. Actually, the Patriots 17 points was the first time this season an opposing team has score over 10 points all year. The intense Denver defense now takes on another solid passing threat from Phillip Rivers and company. However if early indications are any signs of things to come, the Broncos defense should give them the opportunity to win every game this season if they keep playing well.
San Diego had some time off in their bye week this past Sunday after their last outing was that Sunday night scoring shootout loss with Pittsburgh 38-28. The Chargers running game has been flat pathetic this season. The Chargers have yet to have a tailback over 100 yards for the season through 4 games. Darren Sproles gave some preseason hope to fill in for the injury plagued LaDainian Tomlinson. However, neither tailback has been effective this season with just 160 yards combined on the season. The struggling running game has resulted in a lot of excess work for quarterback Phillip Rivers.
Rivers is averaging nearly 38 passing attempts per contest this season for the lack of ground game. However, they have been fairly strong despite the unbalanced offensive approach. Rivers is averaging a stout 311 yards per game and has 6 touchdowns on the season along with 3 interceptions. Wide outs Vincent Jackson and Antonio Gates have played well this season. Jackson leads the team with 373 yards while Gates follows close behind with 349 yards. Both wide outs have two scores a piece this season and will be the featured targets from Rivers again this Monday night.
The difference in this game will come down to the Denver offensive line against the San Diego defensive front. The Broncos could have the best offensive push up front in the league and now they will take on a Chargers unit that has struggled. The Chargers defensive front has allowed 151 yards per game from their run stop unit and 4.6 yards per attempt. Also, the Chargers have struggled to get to the quarterback this season with just 6 sacks in 4 games. The Broncos offensive line will dominate up front giving running backs Knowshon Moreno and Correll Buckhalter plenty of opportunities to make plays on the ground. If the line does indeed dominate it will also give Orton plenty of extra time and he has been playing very well as stated earlier. Those factors will keep Denver undefeated this week unless the Chargers defense steps up to the challenge in front of the home crowd.
Jay's Pick - Denver is perfect against the books here and they will control the trenches and improve that impressive run to 6-0 ATS this Monday. Take the Denver Broncos +3.5.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Call Danny NOW for this week's NFL BEST
BETS ABSOLUTELY FREE
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your pick'em league!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2015 NFL Predictions - Bob makes projections on each team's record (plus Super Bowl winner prediction) and whether or not they'll go over or under their posted season win totals at the sportsbooks.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 49. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash!
Bookmaker - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! Yes! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $300 in FREE bonus cash OR take advantage of their enormous 15% bonus up to $2500 in free cash! The best sportsbook for highrollers!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.