Philadelphia Eagles (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS) vs. Detroit Lions (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS)
NFL Week 5
Date/Time: Sunday, October 9, 2016, 1 pm EST
Where: Ford Field, Detroit, Mich.
TV: Fox, DirecTV 710
by Badger, Expert Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: PHI -3/DET +3
Over/Under Total: 46
The surprising Philadelphia Eagles and their rookie quarterback Carson Wentz will look to keep the early season momentum rolling following an early bye week when they travel to Ford Field in Detroit to take on the struggling 1-3 Lions in an early game Sunday on Fox
With a 3-0 start behind Wentz and rookie head coach Doug Pederson, the Eagles have been one of the feel good stories in the first four weeks of the NFL season. Emotions are riding high in Philly these days, especially since the last time out the Eagles laid a, 34-3, whoopin’ on the Pittsburgh Steelers at home in the Linc. With earlier wins over suspect teams in Cleveland and Chicago, the huge victory over the Steelers has suddenly legitimized the Eagles in many people’s minds.
With the exception of an opening season victory over the winless Colts, the Detroit Lions have struggled since with three losses in a row including last week’s, 17-14, defeat on the road against the rival Bears. An eerily similar early-season slide nearly cost head coach Jim Cadwell his job last season, so for his sake and the Lions they better hope the streak has hit the bottom and the Lions can turn around their fortunes against a rookie QB on the road.
However, not many are exactly feeling the love for Caldwell and the Lions. Oddsmakers opened the game with the visiting Eagles and the rookie Wentz as 2.5 point favorites, but that hasn’t swayed bettors from loading up on the Eagles, which has pushed the betting line up to Philly minus -3 at most sportsbooks.
The over/under total opened at 46 and hasn’t moved much at all, although you may find the hook attached to it at some sportsbooks to make it 46.5 and take away the push.
Fans of both teams will remember what happened when these two teams met on Thanksgiving Day last season, a 45-14 Lions victory. Philly fans, of course, will remember it as the beginning of the end of the Chip Kelly era with the Eagles. While Lions fans will remember it as the day Caldwell ensured himself of a job this season, putting 45 points up on the Eagles with millions watching as they prepared Thanksgiving Day dinner.
With nearly 70 percent of bettors taking the Eagles right now, it would be worth noting that the home team is actually 4-1 ATS in this series over the years. However, the Lions just haven’t been a great wager at Ford Field of late going just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 at home.
As far as betting trends go, if you’re a follower then you’ll like to know that the over is a perfect 5-0 in the last five head-to-head meetings. The over is also 6-2 for the Lions in their last 8 home games and 7-3 in the Eagles last 10 overall.
Badger's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I think everyone is getting a little too caught up in the Eagles big win over the Steelers. We all know the rookie Wentz is due for a rookie-like game sooner than later, you wouldn’t expect it coming off of a bye week, but that’s what makes the NFL the NFL. I’m not drinking the Wentz and Eagles kool aid just yet. I’ll take the home barking dog Lions plus the 3-points in this spot.
Bet your pick for this game using your credit card at an online bookie where it WILL work for deposits and where you'll receive a generous 50% signup bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500! (Example: Deposit $500 and they'll give you an extra $250 FREE!) Find this great offer at Bovada Sportsbook.
Need some help with your handicapping? Our NFL betting tips will help the begineer to novice bettor improve their bottom line.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your pick'em league!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2016 NFL Predictions - Badger breaks down each division and gives his picks on which teams he thinks will win the AFC and NFC Conferneces (plus Super Bowl winner prediction).
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 50. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash!
Bookmaker - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! Yes! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $300 in FREE bonus cash OR take advantage of their enormous 15% bonus up to $2500 in free cash! The best sportsbook for highrollers!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.