Indianapolis Colts (1-1, 1-1 ATS) vs. Denver Broncos (1-1, 1-1 ATS), Week 3 NFL Football, Investco Field at Mile High, (Natural Grass) Denver Colorado, Sunday, September 26th, 2010, 4:15 PM Eastern
By Jeff Hochman of JHSportsline.com
Betting Odds: Ind -6/Den +6
Over/Under Total: 48
Make Denver a +26 point underdog by placing them in a fat 20 point NFL teaser at 5Dimes.
The Indianapolis Colts travel to the Mile High city for a week three match-up with the Denver Broncos. When this game is over one of these teams will be 2-1 and feeling good, while the other team will be 1-2 and down in the dumps.
On Sunday night football, Peyton Manning and company had little trouble with his younger brother Eli, and the rest of the New York Giants. They won 38-14, easily covering the 4-point spread. Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis feasted on the Giants' troubled offensive line. They each had two sacks and were constantly harassing the Giants' backfield. Peyton was solid, if not spectacular with 255 passing yards and three touchdowns. Joseph Addi and Donald Brown combined to rush for 161 yards, providing the Colts with a solid one-two punch.
The Broncos picked up its first win of the young season with a 31-14 convincing victory over Seattle as 3.5-point chalk. Denver snapped a five-game losing streak that dated back to end of last season. The Sold-out Crowd at Investco Field saw the Broncos win their home opener for the 10th straight season. Denver is 23-3-1 all time in home openers.
Defense was the name of the game for Denver. They forced four turnovers and limited the Seahawks to a minuscule 22 1/2 minutes of possession time. Matt Hasselbeck threw three interceptions and looked completely lost. But that wasn't the big story from the game. Broncos first-round pick Demaryius Thomas had eight catches for 97 yards and a touchdown in his first career game, which is a Denver rookie record.
The Colts have won and covered three straight games vs. Denver. Last season, the Colts won 28-16 as 6.5-point favorites despite getting out-gained on the football field 357-312. What ever happened to the Broncos home field advantage! It's been a road team party as the Broncos are 9-21-1 against-the-spread in their last 31 home games. The Over is a perfect 7-0 when these two teams are matched-up since 2004.
Indianapolis has scored 62 points in their first two games of the season and will now play a road game. The Broncos are very good at defending the pass so far this season and that matches-up well against the Colts' passing attack. They are allowing only 197.5 passing yards thanks in part to lock-down cornerback Champ Baily. The Colts passing offense has not been as crisp on the road as it has been at home over the last two seasons. The Broncos will spread the Colts' defense and look to exploit a secondary that is missing All-Pro, Bob Sanders.
Weather could be a factor as the early forecast calls for 50% chance of rain. Keep checking the forecast as this game draws closer.
Jeff's Pick to Cover the Spread: Denver Broncos +6.
It's always scary to bet against Peyton Manning but this could be the right spot. He is 7-2 straight-up and against-the-spread and vs. Denver his career. Manning is coming off the Sunday Night game against his younger brother, where he looked really focused. Could be a bit of a letdown spot here. Kyle Orton is under-rated at the quarterback position and the Colts' offensive line still has some holes in it. The Broncos are 11-1 against-the-spread as non-division home underdogs when getting three or more points. I believe this game will be a lot closer than most people think.
Preseason Picks - Many don't realize that there's good value in NFL preseason picks! They claim "how can you bet on a game when you don't know who is going to play?" Truth be told, many head coaches tell you how much playing time key players will receive prior to the game!
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your pick'em league!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2016 NFL Predictions - Badger breaks down each division and gives his picks on which teams he thinks will win the AFC and NFC Conferneces (plus Super Bowl winner prediction).
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 50. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash!
Bookmaker - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! Yes! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $300 in FREE bonus cash OR take advantage of their enormous 15% bonus up to $2500 in free cash! The best sportsbook for highrollers!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.