Indianapolis Colts (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS) vs. Houston Texans (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Note: If you're looking for the 2014 Week 15 matchup between these two teams, please go here: Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts Pick.NFL Week 6
Point Spread: IND -3/HOU +3
Over/Under Total: 46
Bet your Indy/Houston pick at an online sportsbook where you get to bet on games at -105 discounted odds; not the expensive -110 that your bookie is sapping you with. Making the change to reduced odds sports betting will save you THOUSANDS of dollars over the long haul! This great bookie also offers teasers up to 20 points and parlays up to 25 teams! --> 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Tune into the NFL Network this Thursday night for an AFC South battle when the Indianapolis Colts travel south to take on the Houston Texans. Both teams come in at 3-2 overall, and tied atop the division. Indy started the season at 0-2, but has bounced back with three straight wins and two of those were against AFC South opponents. Houston started 2-0, just like last season, but since then have gone 1-2, however, one those losses was a hard fought overtime contest at Dallas, while the other was a road loss to the New York Giants. Houston is unbeaten at home, yet comes into this game as a three point underdog. The media and general public is in love with the skill set of Andrew Luck and much of that plays into why the Colts are favored on the road. Again, the Colts come in favored by a field goal, and the total points are set at 46.
This is a huge game for the landscape of the AFC. The winner of this game takes sole possession of the AFC South division lead, and will be in the drivers seat to make it to the postseason. Of course, the season is still early, but many times these inner division games are the difference between a wild card and sitting at home in January. This game is BIG. As for the injuries, both teams will come in pretty healthy. Houston has JJ Watt listed as questionable, along with Andre Johnson, but it appears both guys are going to be able to suit up and play at close to 100% On the Colts side, there also appear to be no major injuries. Running back, Ahmad Bradshaw, is listed as probable as well as wide out, Reggie Wayne, and linebacker, Bjoern Werner. This will be a fair fight with no excuses from either side.
Indianapolis was one of my favorites going into this season, and after the 0-2 start I began questioning myself. As the season has progressed, the Colts look good. Their two losses came against the defending AFC champs, the Denver Broncos, and a high flying Eagles team on the road. Not many NFL would survive that start. Since that time, Andrew Luck has led the Colts to three straight wins over the Jaguars, Titans, and Ravens. The Colts have played well on both sides of the ball all season. Andrew Luck leads the league in passing at about 320 yards a game, and the Indy defense ranks in the upper half of the league in both passing and rushing defense. This is a complete team. Like many teams now days, the Colts running game is "by committee" with Ahmad Bradshaw and Trent Richardson sharing the load. Bradshaw gets the most out of his carries, averaging about five a clip, while Richardson gets about 3.5 a carry. Richardson has a scoring carry and has handled most of the load, but this tandem has done well together and I see that continuing as the season goes on. To go on the road and win this game, the Colts just need to be the Colts. Let Luck run the offense, while the defense plays solid and forces the Houston offense to earn everything they get.
DEPOSIT $100 AND GET $100 FREE AT GTBETS
Houston sits at 3-2 just like Indy, but in my opinion it is much less impressive. Houston has not been flashy at all and two of their wins were against the worst teams in the NFL while the other came against Buffalo. The Houston offense is led by Arian Foster who has over 400 yards rushing and 3 rushing scores already this season. If not for Foster, I am not sure the offense would function at all. Quarterback, Ryan Fitzpatrick has done an okay job but he has more interceptions (6), than he does touchdown passes (5). If the Texans are going to be a legit playoff contender, division winner or wild card, the passing game MUST improve. On the defensive side of the ball, the Texans are not too stout. They are 25th in the NFL in rushing yards allowed (132 per game), and 21st in passing defense (253 per game). J.J. Watt has been the bright spot however, with an interception, fumble recovery, two sacks, and 19 combined tackles and assists. This guy is a one man wrecking crew on defense but he needs some help. In a few weeks, rookie sensation, Jadeveon Clowney is set to return, and that could very well be the spark the Texans need to close out the season. Until that time though, Houston needs some wins to make sure they are still in the hunt. To win this game, they will need to keep the score low. Run the ball effectively and keep Andrew Luck, Arian Foster, and Reggie Wayne off the field. If the Colts score in the mid to upper 20's, Houston is in for a long Thursday night.
These two teams have played twice a year for quite some time, the Colts have covered the spread in four of the last five contests including a sweep of the Texans just last season. Houston wants to move on from the 2-14 season of 2013 and prove it was just a fluke. There is no better way to get that taste out of their mouth than to move to 4-2 and take the division lead away from the Colts. The three point spread for the road team should also be a slap in the face to the Texans. I predict a game that goes down to the very end and potentially the first close Thursday night game we have had in a few weeks.
Bob's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Houston is playing some good ball and nobody is taking notice. This game should be a pick'em at worst. It won't come easy, but I believe the Texan's knock off Andrew Luck and the Colts who had to travel on a short week. Look for J.J. Watt to come up with a big play that ends up being the gamechanger. This guy is PRIME-TIME!. PICK: Houston plus the points!
Preseason Picks - Many don't realize that there's good value in NFL preseason picks! They claim "how can you bet on a game when you don't know who is going to play?" Truth be told, many head coaches tell you how much playing time key players will receive prior to the game!
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your pick'em league!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2015 NFL Predictions - Bob makes projections on each team's record (plus Super Bowl winner prediction) and whether or not they'll go over or under their posted season win totals at the sportsbooks.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 49. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash!
Bookmaker - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! Yes! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $300 in FREE bonus cash OR take advantage of their enormous 15% bonus up to $2500 in free cash! The best sportsbook for highrollers!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.