Kansas City Chiefs (1-7) 3-5 ATS, 4-2 O/U at Oakland Raiders (2-6) 4-4 ATS, 3-5 O/U, Week 10 NFL, Sunday November 15, 2009 4:05 p.m. EST TV: CBS
By Wilson of Predictem.com
Point Spread: Kansas City +1/Oakland -1
Over/Under: 36.5
Bet this game at the sportsbook with the biggest teasers online: 5Dimes.
The last time these two teams tangled was in week 3 in KC when the Raiders won 13-10. There are just three wins between the two squads which should make for another close battle. Kansas City lost their seventh game of the year last week to the Jaguars 24-21. KC QB Matt Cassel was 23 of 39 for 262 yards and 2 touchdowns. He connected with Chris Chambers three times for 70 yards and two touchdowns in Chamber’s debut as a Chief. But it was not enough as the Jaguars recovered a kick and held onto the lead for the win.
The Chiefs have struggled this year with the running game as they only had 60 yards rushing against the Jaguars and average 96 per game. Offensively, KC is averaging just 15 points per game while they allow 25 to their opponents. They are only gaining 3 yards per carry and 5 yards per pass attempt. It’s tough to move the ball with those kinds of numbers.
KC gives up 136 yards on the ground per game and 252 through the air. The Chiefs have not been shutout but they can’t seem to finish off most teams.
The Raiders are coming into this game after a 24-16 loss at San Diego last weekend. Oakland only has two wins on the season and one of those is against the Chiefs 13-10. Oakland is even more pathetic on offense than Kansas City as they only average 9.8 points per contest. The Raiders also allow 25 points per game to the opposition.
JaMarcus Russell continues to struggle as he has zero touchdowns in four road trips and his turnovers keep mounting up. He was 14 of 22 for 109 yards but the Raiders finished the day with just 81 yards passing. Russell had a fumble and one interception in the game. The big question around the league is how long will the Raiders continue to give Russell the pigskin? Russell was also sacked five times to add to his already dismal outing. I don’t see the Raiders making great leaps of improvement anytime soon. Coach Cable remains optimistic regarding Russell.
Raiders coach, Tom Cable said that “Russell seemed to be in control during this game today, and gave us a chance to win.” Maybe Russell is maturing and understanding how things work, but I doubt it.
BET OAKLAND RAIDERS GAMES USING YOUR CHECKING ACCOUNT AND TO GET A HEFTY 50% SIGN UP BONUS AT BETED SPORTSBOOK
KC is 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games, and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The under is 12-3-1 in Oakland the last 16 games in November. Under is 7-3 in Oakland’s last 10 games overall.
Head to head, the under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. The road team in this series is 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
The QB matchup in this game is a no-brainer as JaMarcus Russell has a QB rating of 48.3 compared to Matt Cassel’s 77.2 rating. Cassel has 10 TDs on the season to Russell’s 2. Cassel’s completion rate is 55.7 percent while Russell’s is 48.35. Oakland has won 6 of the last 10 meetings. The last two meetings have been decided by 7 points or less.
The line on this game opened at Oakland -1.5 with a total of 36.5 but most online casinos are posting Oakland at -2 and the total also 36.5.
Combined, these two teams have only won 3 of the last 20 games that they have played. It should lean towards Kansas City but the Raiders can put together random runs which will make this game a tricky bet.
Wilson’s Pick: KC 21, Oakland 10. Luck to ya.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
The Armchair Quarterback Predictions - ACQ makes an appearance at Predictem to give out his much coveted troika of free weekly NFL picks. Put your helmet on and tackle your bookie with these sick picks. He is simply FLAT NASTY!
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move.
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
Superbowl Predictions - Our take before the season on who we think will win Superbowl XLVI. We'll update with a final pick based on the actual remaining teams a week prior to the big game at Lucas Oil Stadium on February 5th, 2012.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 46. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too! Picks will be updated a 2nd and final time two weeks before the Super Bowl plays.
Free UFL Picks - Point spread predictions for the United Football League each week of their season (starting in October).
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Intertops - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits!
SBG Global - Best parlays odds online! Get paid 12-1 on 4 team parlays! Best at accepting credit cards for deposits too!
Football Bets - We explain all the different types of wagers that you can place on an NFL game and give advice on which ones good and which are sucker bets. We also explore the value of betting at reduce odds.
Superbowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets.
Statless NFL Handicapping - The quick, easy way and yes, it's effective!
Betting NFL Underdogs - It's the first thing you should consider every Sunday. We explain why.
Choosing an Online Sportsbook - We talk about things to consider before you commit to play at one.
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.