Minnesota Vikings (2-7 SU, 4-5 ATS) @ Seattle Seahawks ( 9-1 SU, 6-4 ATS)
NFL Week 11
Date and Time: November 17, 2013 1:25 p.m. EST.
Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, WA.
by Wilson, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Min +13.5/SEA -13.5
Over/Under Total: 45.5
Bet your Vikes/Hawks pick at an online sportsbook where your credit card WILL work and where you'll receive a generous 100% bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500: GTBets.
Welcome back NFL fans! I’d like to thank the Seattle Seahawks for proving me wrong last week—finally! The Hawks flew into Atlanta and quieted the critics (myself included) who suggested they still struggle on the road. Granted, they did play a pretty weak Falcons team that only has two wins over other losing teams. But regardless of their opponent, Seattle put together probably their most complete game of the season. How? They established the run early and often behind the legs of Beast Mode (RB Marshawn Lynch) and the excellent play of QB Russell Wilson. Lynch is simply the toughest back in the NFL—period. He continues to run even when he’s done running and then he continues to run some more. The guy is a throwback to the Earl Campbell, Walter Payton and other 9 to 5ers era who rushed as if they didn’t get a first-down their family would starve, literally. A guy like Marshawn Lynch in the backfield is like having Cal Ripken Jr. at short stop—always dependable. Then the Seahawks call on Russell Wilson to pinpoint a perfect pass to the super-athletic WR Golden Tate (who has grown up since his 5th grade taunting episode) to pull in a miraculous catch in the corner of the end zone! Championship stuff is what’s happening to this Seattle team right now.< /p>
If you’re looking for the magic formula on how to bet this game it is pretty safe to say Seattle will win at home as they haven’t lost a home game in about 100 years, okay maybe not 100 years but it’s been a long time. In fact, Russell Wilson is still undefeated as a starting QB at home. The question remains can the Hawks win minus the bookmakers spread? As of this writing the Hawks are favored by 13.5 which is fair considering their potential to put points on the board but which team will we see at this home game? The team that nearly gave Tampa Bay their first win on the season and let the Bucs run all over them or the team we saw last week in Atlanta, that had a balanced offensive attack and a plethora of defensive stops and turnovers?
The Minnesota Vikings come into Seattle licking their chops and trying to salvage an already disappointing season—they have two wins on the season: one of those not even in the United States but in London against the deflated Steelers and the other win just last week versus the Washington Redskins 34-27, ironically the same exact score in the win over the Steelers. Maybe 34 points is the magic number for the Vikings but unfortunately they have to put those numbers up at Seattle which is arguably the toughest place to play in the NFL. Perhaps last week’s win over a respectable opponent in the Redskins will spark some hope in the Vikings that they can play with teams even if they are a bit depleted in position areas. RB Adrian Peterson continues to get stronger and is currently averaging 4.5 yards per carry with just over 750 yards rushing so far on the season—he will be interesting to watch as he will certainly test the Seahawk’s so-so run defense and may be the deciding factor in this contest at least for the Vikings offensive attack.
Betting Tip: Almost all bookies charge their clients -110 odds on sides and totals. Stop paying that expensive rate and make the switch to -105 reduced betting odds at 5Dimes! You'll be so glad that you did!
The Seahawks are playing at a level they’ve never quite reached before in Seattle which is to say, they are accomplishing a lot of “first” in Seahawk’s franchise history; first time they’ve been 9-1 as a team, and most road wins in team franchise history as well. I’m not an NFL coach but if I had to choose a coach to come in and turn a team around I believe Pete Carroll would be high on my list—whatever behind the scenes work he is doing certainly shows on game days. It may not always be pretty but this Seattle team knows how to finish games and they never seem to lose their composure especially behind whom many are referring too as a natural born leader in 2nd year QB sensation Russell Wilson.
The Hawks still have a laundry list of injuries with the newest coming after the Atlanta game to CB Brandon Browner (groin), DE Red Bryant (concussion), and DT Jordan Hill (bicep). Offensively, the Hawks are hoping for the return of WR Percy Harvin to add more weapons to their passing arsenal. O-lineman, Okung, Unger and Giacomini are questionable as well.
Wilson’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: There's a reason that a fairly weak TB team was able to stick with Seattle a couple weeks ago. Sure, the Hawks went into Atlanta and beat up the Falcons, but the Falcons are a bad team right now with a defense that was depleted by injuries and vulernable. The Vikings can be helter skelter. Seattle has too many question marks. There's one consistent variable here. Both defenses are vulnerable. I'm betting the OVER. I could see 60+ points being scored in this game. Luck to ya
Preseason NFL Picks - There's a myth that pre-season NFL betting is a crapshoot. Many times a coach will divulge his gameplan (and stick with it). A handicappers dream!
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - (Coming Soon!) Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - (Coming Soon!) You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your office pool!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2014 NFL Predictions - Badger makes projections on each team's record and whether or not they'll go over or under their posted season win totals at the sportsbooks.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 49. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
Sportsbook - Deposit $100, make a $100 bet and get a $100 bet FREE! Your credit card WILL work here!
GTBets - You get to select 2 NFL teams and get a FREE half point every time you bet them! Offers a generous 100% bonus on deposits of $100 to $500! One of the best at accepting credit cards for deposits!
Football Bets - We explain all the different types of wagers that you can place on an NFL game and give advice on which ones good and which are sucker bets. We also explore the value of betting at reduce odds.
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.