Minnesota Vikings (2-12 SU 5-7-2 ATS) vs. Washington Redskins (5-9 SU 7-7 ATS) Week 16 NFL FedEx Field, Landover, MD, 1 PM ET Saturday December 24, 2011 on FOX
by Jason Green, Sports Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: MIN +6.5/WASH -6.5
The Washington Redskins snapped their 2-game losing streak with a great road win last week over the New York Giants and there is a good chance they will win their 2nd straight facing a reeling Minnesota Vikings team that has lost 6 in a row. The Minnesota defense has really struggled on the season and in their last 3 games they have given up at least 34 points per game.
Another thing the Redskins have going for them in this game is that Vikings' RB Adrian Peterson is coming off a hurt ankle and he has failed to rush for over 100 yards in his last 4 games.
Last Sunday the Redskins beat the New York Giants and the Vikings lost badly 42-20 to the New Orleans Saints.
Rex Grossman did not have the best game against the Giants, but was 15/24 for 185 yards with 1 TD even though he did throw 2 INT. The Vikings and their decimated pass defense rank 30th in the league and while Grossman will not have a huge game he will play well and limit his mistakes. Grossman has been plagued by the INT this season, but luckily in this game that will not be a problem with a Minnesota secondary that ranks dead last in the league with only 6 picks on the season.
Jared Allen is the main guy the Redskins' offensive line has to worry about, as he ranks 2nd in the league in sacks. I don't think he will be shut out in the sack department, but the Washington offensive line will keep him in check and give Grossman time in the pocket.
The Redskins have really struggled to run the ball this season and I think that trend will continue in this game facing the Vikings and their 10th ranked run defense. Rookie RB Roy Helu Jr. had his streak of 3 games rushing for at least 100 yards snapped last week and he will not break the 100-yard barrier in this game. He's also banged up, so that should slow him down as well.
The way Christian Ponder has played under center for the last 2 games the Vikes may want to use a high draft pick on another QB when the draft rolls around. In his last 2 games he has failed to pass for over 120 yards and in those 2 games he does have 4 TD, but also has 4 INT.
The Redskins' pass defense ranks 14th in the league and gave up 257 passing yards last week to the Giants, but they came up with 3 picks. Look for Ponder to have more than 120 passing yards, but he will not have a big game.
The Redskins and their 15th ranked run defense hope that Peterson is still not 100% and there is a good chance of that. The Vikes' RB has not looked like himself in the past few games, but I think he will have a big game. If he does not the Vikes are in trouble, as it has been shown that Ponder cannot carry the team with his arm.
The Vikings only have 1 road win on the season, but out of the Redskins 5 wins only 2 have come at FedEx Field.
This season the Redskins have an Over/Under record of 6-8 and the Vikings have an Over/Under record of 9-5.
The Vikings are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10 points, and they have an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
The Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Jason's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I see this being a very close game throughout with the Skins getting the win, but the Vikings getting the cover. Bet the Vikes plus the points.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - (Coming Soon!) You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your office pool!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2014 NFL Predictions - Badger makes projections on each team's record and whether or not they'll go over or under their posted season win totals at the sportsbooks.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 49. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
Sportsbook - Deposit $100, make a $100 bet and get a $100 bet FREE! Your credit card WILL work here!
GTBets - You get to select 2 NFL teams and get a FREE half point every time you bet them! Offers a generous 100% bonus on deposits of $100 to $500! One of the best at accepting credit cards for deposits!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.