Missouri Tigers (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) vs. No. 6 Georgia Bulldogs (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS)
College Football Week 2
Date/Time: Saturday September 8th, 2012. 7:45PM Eastern
Where: Faurot Field Columbia, M.O
by Jay, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Missouri Tigers +3.5/Georgia Bulldogs -3.5
Over/Under Total: 55
The Missouri Tigers will begin life in the SEC in a big way this Saturday night when they welcome the no. 6 Georgia Bulldogs into Columbia, Missouri. The Tigers thrashed Southeastern Louisiana 62-10 last week in a confidence boosting style season opener. Now Missouri will entertain a nationally televised audience in their SEC debut with a chance to knock off one of the top teams in the nation.
The no. 6 Bulldogs captured a rather ugly 45-23 victory over Buffalo last week. Georgia's offense appeared solid, but the Bulldogs' defense was gashed for 199 yards on the ground. The completely less talented Buffalo squad managed to put together 347 total yards along with 23 points against that talented Georgia defense. Georgia's defense had several missed tackles and assignments throughout the game which resulted in a sloppy performance. This week the Bulldogs defense will need to be much sharper when they travel to Columbia and battle a Missouri offense that can make big plays.
Offensively, Georgia will be a force to be reckoned with in 2012. QB Aaron Murray is an excellent signal caller who can make all the throws on the field. Additionally, Murray has a big time target in WR Tavarres King that is able to make big catches which is always a benefit to any good quarterback. Last week Murray completed 15 of 26 passing for 258 yards and 3 touchdowns. King brought in 6 catches for 117 yards and clearly separated his self as the go to guy in the receiving game. Still the passing attack was not the only production for the Bulldogs this past week. Freshman tailback Todd Gurley stepped up and rushed for 100 yards on 8 carries including two scores. Gurley was a highly touted recruit out of high school and the Bulldogs need big things out of him in the running game due to the losses at running back over the offseason. If Gurley can remain effective, the Bulldogs have the remaining ingredients to be an offensive power.
On the other side of the field, Missouri does not exactly lack any playmaking talent. QB James Franklin is a dual threat style quarterback that can make plays with his arm and feet. Franklin rushed for 981 yards in 2011 while throwing for just less than 3,000 yards. This season the Tigers hope Franklin is able to throw the ball a bit more rather than take off with his feet. In 2011, Franklin struggled at times with accuracy and that will be a concern going forward. Last week, Franklin was solid completing 13 of 21 passing for 131 yards but it's hard to give much praise against the likes of Southeastern Louisiana. Therefore, it will be interesting to see how Franklin performs in his first big test this Saturday night.
Outside of Franklin, the Tigers have more talent at the skill positions as well. Senior running back Kendial Lawrence has a lot of potential in his first season as the primary tailback. Lawrence rushed for 121 yards on just 10 carries last week and will get plenty of opportunities this Saturday against the Bulldogs rush defense. Luckily last week the Tigers' got help from some of the 'unknown' characters. Backup running back Marcus Murphy returned not one but two 70 yard punts for touchdowns to tie a Missouri school record. Not only was the special teams' play great but the Missouri defense also produced a pair of defensive touchdowns to spur their cause. Surely things will be more difficult this week against the mighty Bulldogs, but Missouri could use a few more of those big plays to help pull off a mild upset.
Jay's Pick to Cover the Point Spread:I have said all summer that I expect Missouri to upset Georgia in the 2nd week of college football and I am standing by that statement still. Georgia is over rated. The question is how much over rated are they? The Bulldogs have tons of concerns all over the field and I just do not see this team playing extremely well until the 2nd half of the season. Additionally, Columbia, Missouri will be amped for their first taste of big time SEC football and that gives the home team a bigger edge that most realize. Road wins are tough in the SEC as we know and I think Missouri's offense will be up for the challenge. Take the Tigers +3.5
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - (Coming in 2015!) You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your office pool!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2014 NFL Predictions - Badger makes projections on each team's record and whether or not they'll go over or under their posted season win totals at the sportsbooks.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 49. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
Sportsbook - Deposit $100, make a $100 bet and get a $100 bet FREE! Your credit card WILL work here!
GTBets - You get to select 2 NFL teams and get a FREE half point every time you bet them! Offers a generous 100% bonus on deposits of $100 to $500! One of the best at accepting credit cards for deposits!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.