Buffalo Bills (6-9 SU, 8-7 ATS) vs. New England Patriots (11-4 SU, 7-8 ATS)
NFL Week 17
Date and Time: Sunday, December 29, 4:25pm
Where: Gillette Stadium - Foxboro, MA
by Bob, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: BUF +10/NE -10
Over/Under Total: 47
Bet your Bills/Pats pick at an online sportsbook where you can deposit $100, make a $100 bet and get a $100 bet FREE: Sportsbook.
This weekend we will have the final AFC East contest of the 2013 season when the Buffalo Bills travel to Foxboro to take on the New England Patriots. Buffalo is last in the division while the Patriots have won the AFC East title yet again and are primed for a first round BYE in the AFC playoffs. The Patriots are huge 10 point favorites at home, and the total points have been set at 47. Buffalo really has nothing to play for, while New England has an outside shot to be the number one seed in the AFC postseason. The easy choice is to take New England to blow this game away, but this Patriots team isn't as high powered as years past.
Coming into this season, I actually expected the Patriots to not even get to 10 wins. With Wes Welker gone, Gronkowski injured, and Aaron Hernandez living the thug life, I had no faith in this offense. The Patriots proved my doubts wrong, and Tom Brady and Bill Belichick have probably done their best job ever this season. I am in awe of how they handled all the adversity and once again positioned themselves to be one of the top teams in all of the NFL. During the offseason and early in this season, a Super Bowl run seemed way out of the question for the Pats....not anymore.
STOP LAYING -110 ODDS! YOU'RE WASTING MONEY! START SAVING TODAY BY LAYING -105 AT 5DIMES
This matchup between Buffalo and New England is nothing to write home about. Yea, they played in week one and the Patriots needed a last second field goal to win the game, but that was 16 weeks ago. These teams are very different. Brady has the Patriots offense clicking better than they did that day, and Buffalo really hasn't improved all that much...if at all. New England has gone from struggling to put up points, to being the 7th best passing team in the NFL and averaging over 34 points per game. If New England keeps this up, I can see them not only winning this game, but covering this spread with ease. Covering a double digit spread in pro football is never easy, but I think New England could in this case...if they play Patriots football.
The Bills have their hands full this Sunday. New England is actually playing for something, therefore, they will not be resting any starters. Buffalo runs the ball well, and they defend the pass pretty well, but I just don't see how they will be able to hang with New England. The Patriots confidence is only getting stronger and stronger, and this is the time of year, they tend to shine. If Buffalo plans to win this game, and cover the 10 points, they will need to run the ball and control time. They did a good job of this in week one, which is why they were able to nearly pull off the win.
Bob's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Tough one to call here. These same two teams battled to the very end in week one, but now that Buffalo has nothing to play for, and New England is hitting their groove, I don't see this game going the same way. I like New England big this time around. Look for a 31-13 type game here. PICK NEW ENGLAND -10
Preseason NFL Picks - There's a myth that pre-season NFL betting is a crapshoot. Many times a coach will divulge his gameplan (and stick with it). A handicappers dream!
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - (Coming Soon!) Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - (Coming Soon!) You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your office pool!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2014 NFL Predictions - Badger makes projections on each team's record and whether or not they'll go over or under their posted season win totals at the sportsbooks.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 49. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
Sportsbook - Deposit $100, make a $100 bet and get a $100 bet FREE! Your credit card WILL work here!
GTBets - You get to select 2 NFL teams and get a FREE half point every time you bet them! Offers a generous 100% bonus on deposits of $100 to $500! One of the best at accepting credit cards for deposits!
Football Bets - We explain all the different types of wagers that you can place on an NFL game and give advice on which ones good and which are sucker bets. We also explore the value of betting at reduce odds.
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.