New York Giants (0-0 SU 0-0 ATS) vs. Washington Redskins (0-0 SU 0-0 ATS) Week 1 NFL Football, FedEx Field, Landover Maryland 4:15 PM ET, September 11, 2011 on FOX
by Jason Green, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: NYG -3 / WAS +3
Over/Under Total: 37.5
Be the Gmen/Skins game using your credit card at an online sportsbook where it WILL work for deposits: Bodog.
The New York Giants have not lost to the Washington Redskins since the 2007 season, but that streak may be in jeopardy in this game with all the issues on D the Giants have. First round pick CB Prince Amukamara and 2nd round pick DE Marvin Austin and DE Osi Umenyiora and CB Terrell Thomas are all out due to injuries. However, can the Redskins, who named Rex Grossman the starting QB and have a suspect rushing offense, take advantage of it? Big question baby.
The Over/Under for this game is only 37.5 and I think that is low since the Giants have a banged up defense and while the Redskins have high hopes on defense this season they were terrible on that side of the ball last season.
The Redskins made some great free agent moves, especially on defense, but they have question marks not only at the QB and RB positions but also on the O-line and with their WR corps. Still, the Redskins went 3-1 in the preseason beating the Steelers, Colts, and Bucs and losing a close one to the Ravens.
Grossman has looked good in the preseason and he will up against a secondary of the Giants that is missing some key pieces. The line will protect Grossman and give him time to throw, which is key in this game. Still, with Mike Shanahan at the helm and a banged up and thin D line of the Giants the Skins will pound the ball on the ground. Free agent addiction RB Tim Hightower and the young RB duo of Ryan Torain and Roy Helu will get it done in this game.
The main weakness for the Giants' defense last season was giving up the big play. However, with Grossman under center the Redskins will not take a lot of shots down the field, so the Giants will not get burned deep.
The Redskins will need last season's #4 overall draft pick LT Trent Williams to step up and play well and the line has to keep the solid pass rush of the Giants from getting to the QB. Grossman is not nimble and will be taken down a few times, but he will have his chances to make some plays.
GET A 50% REAL CASH BONUS WHEN YOU DEPOSIT $500+ AT BETREVOLUTION SPORTSBOOK
The one strength for the Redskins this season may be their defense. Yeah, they ranked 26th against the run and 31st against the pass last season, but that was last season. They have a 3-4 D with a young and talented front line and stud OLB Brian Orakpo and rookie OLB Ryan Kerrigan. Along with LB London Fletcher and the safety tandem of LaRon Landry and O.J. Atogwe things are looking up on defense.
The Giants' RB duo of Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs will get a lot of touches in this game, but they will not light up the Redskins on the ground. Eli Manning threw 25 picks last season and he will miss the WR tandem of Steve Smith and Kevin Boss. The Giants still have WR's Mario Manningham and Hakeem Nicks and they will give the DB's of the Redskins fits in this game.
In some betting trends dating back to last season Washington is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games and has an Under record of 6-1 in their last 7 games.
New York is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3 and is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games.
The Giants are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games facing the Redskins.
Jason's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Nobody is giving the Redskins much of a chance this season and with good reason, but I think they will be better than last season, especially on defense. Last season the Skins won and covered the spread against Dallas at home in the season opener and they will do the same in this game with a win, snapping their losing streak against the Giants.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
The Armchair Quarterback Predictions - ACQ makes an appearance at Predictem to give out his much coveted troika of free weekly NFL picks. Put your helmet on and tackle your bookie with these sick picks. He is simply FLAT NASTY!
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move.
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
Superbowl Predictions - Our take before the season on who we think will win Superbowl XLVI. We'll update with a final pick based on the actual remaining teams a week prior to the big game at Lucas Oil Stadium on February 5th, 2012.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 46. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too! Picks will be updated a 2nd and final time two weeks before the Super Bowl plays.
Free UFL Picks - Point spread predictions for the United Football League each week of their season (starting in October).
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Intertops - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits!
SBG Global - Best parlays odds online! Get paid 12-1 on 4 team parlays! Best at accepting credit cards for deposits too!
Football Bets - We explain all the different types of wagers that you can place on an NFL game and give advice on which ones good and which are sucker bets. We also explore the value of betting at reduce odds.
Superbowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets.
Statless NFL Handicapping - The quick, easy way and yes, it's effective!
Betting NFL Underdogs - It's the first thing you should consider every Sunday. We explain why.
Choosing an Online Sportsbook - We talk about things to consider before you commit to play at one.
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.