Oakland Raiders (4-11 SU, 4-11 ATS) vs. San Diego Chargers (6-9 SU, 7-8 ATS)
NFL Week 17
Date and Time: Sunday December 30th, 2012 4:25 p.m. EST
Where: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California
by Timmieb, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: OAK. OFF /SD. OFF
Over/Under Total: OFF
Actually, this is a probably the most fascinating game of WEEK 17! Why? Well, most assumed that Matt Leinart would fill in for the injured Carson Palmer (cracked ribs/bruised lung) at QB this week but Oakland sent Holiday Cheer to San Diego when they suggested that Terrelle Pryor might be the starter! What happened next? The ODDS Makers took the game OFF the board! Initially the Chargers were -4.5, but now…Holy Lord! There is no telling how high that spread will go if Pryor is the starting QB! Leinart will only get you beat…sort of. But with Pryor, if you thought Tebow had a bad throwing motion…Holy Lord!
Chargers met the Raiders in Oakland on Monday Night Football last September, 2012. They, evidently did, in fact, meet and did a musical number called “DC United vs The L.A. Galaxy” that provided us with seven (7) magnificent field goals…and two touchdowns. The Bolts won 22-14 and truly, the Raiders were already ‘playing out the string’ and making plans to purchase Super Bowl tickets. I guess the difference in the two teams is Philip Rivers? Rivers seems to be a competitor; sometimes? I mean: He yelled at Jay Cutler from the sidelines once or twice when Cutler was with the Broncos? Okay, to the numbers: The Raiders are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 and 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road. Oakland is 1-6 S/U in their last 7 on the road. The O/U has gone under in the Raiders’ last five. San Diego is 1-5 S/U in their last 6 at home (Holy Lord!). SD is 1-5 ATS in their last six at home (Holy Lord!). SD has won two straight on the road against Pittsburgh and the other NY team (Looking for a positive here…). AH! Here it is! San Diego is 15-3 S/U in their last 18 versus the Raiders. Let’s get some more insight into this game…
Antonio Gates. Since Gates had 81 receiving yards against a very good Denver Broncos team, Gates has one game over 50 receiving yards (51 receiving yards against TB in a 34-24 loss) and 33 of that total came on one play. Antonio Gates will drop balls (he dropped two last week---One for a TD) but he is a Beast. Look for Rivers to go to Gates more often this Sunday since, hopefully, Norv is packing his stuff and preparing for a life as, perhaps, Owner of a Mulch Company and NOT using his offensive genius in another offensive way. Where’s Drew Brees at again? And, ummm, Darren Sproles?
Darren McFadden. McFadden has been hurt…how badly is anyone’s guess, but “C’Mon”! McFadden is an incredible talent and each time we watch the Raiders, we seemingly wait for McFadden to do something extraordinary. But what we get when McFadden is in the game is 3rd and long or Janikowski warming up with a cheeseburger in both hands. Palmer was ‘Done’ long before the cracked ribs. Leinart is Leinart and no real threat except to his own team. If McFadden can stop thinking about his future free-agency (and the money…Allegedly) and finding the Superior Contender he wants to play for (only excuse I can provide?), the Raiders…well, the Raiders will still be kinda’ bad. They have cool uniforms though!
Timmieb’s key to the game. Just ‘Throw Out’ the Defensive Rank or Offensive Rank in this battle. Both teams have tried to show us ‘Lunchtime with a Librarian’ at $80 a pop! Both teams are under regarded and usually play that way. Picking a ‘Winner’ from this group is like polishing a tur…turtle. I did find what I believe is the most interesting piece of information for how to rate this game. The Raiders promoted Chimdi Chekwa this week to the ‘Game’ roster for this San Diego meeting. This move by the Raiders signals two very important things. 1) The Raiders do not have anyone better than Chekwa to play at corner (Nickel). 2) We can all stop calling former NY Giant’s DB Elvis Patterson “Toast” for getting beat deep so many times as an active player. If Patterson is “Toast” then Chekwa must be considered “E squared B squared R” or “Everything Else Burned Beyond Recognition”. Chekwa has been burned more times than a schizophrenic at a magic show. And to boot: Chekwa has been flagged more than a cemetery around Memorial Day! I caught his act starting at Ohio State. If anyone else in the Chargers organization has even the slightest interest in winning this game or an ounce of football knowledge, look for Gates to get mismatched with Chekwa. If Chekwa is in the “Nickel” at all, drop a “Dime” on the Chargers to roll! Timmieb is seein’ it and sayin’ it.
Timmieb’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Chargers by a lot!
Need some help with your handicapping? Our NFL betting tips will help the begineer to novice bettor improve their bottom line.
Preseason Picks - Many don't realize that there's good value in NFL preseason picks! They claim "how can you bet on a game when you don't know who is going to play?" Truth be told, many head coaches tell you how much playing time key players will receive prior to the game!
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your pick'em league!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2015 NFL Predictions - Bob makes projections on each team's record (plus Super Bowl winner prediction) and whether or not they'll go over or under their posted season win totals at the sportsbooks.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 49. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash!
Bookmaker - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! Yes! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $300 in FREE bonus cash OR take advantage of their enormous 15% bonus up to $2500 in free cash! The best sportsbook for highrollers!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.