Philadelphia Eagles (9-6 SU, 8-7 ATS) vs. Dallas Cowboys (8-7 SU, 8-7 ATS)
NFL Week 17
Date and Time: Sunday, December 29, 2013, 8:30 pm EST
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
by Badger, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: PHI -6.5/DAL +6.5
Over/Under Total: 53
Bet your Eagles/Cowboys pick at one of the oldest, most trusted and fastest paying sportsbooks who also happens to be giving out a 50% signup bonus up to $250 on your first deposit: Bovada.
The NFC East has been a season-long struggle for the four teams in the division, so I guess itís only appropriate that the division title will come down to a week 17 matchup of the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys inside JerryDome or AT&T Stadium on Sunday Night Football in America on NBC.
And if thatís not enough drama to put on the NFLís final regular season game for 2013, add into the equation that Cowboys maligned QB Tony Romo is highly questionable with a back injury (many have reported him out, but the team medical staff is still insisting heís day-to-day) and you have the potential for a memorable and historic finale on Sunday.
The Eagles have gotten to the winner-take-all final by winning six of their last seven games including a straight-out pasting of the Chicago Bears on last weekís Sunday night telecast, 54-11. It finally looks like the Eagles have officially ďtakenĒ to new coach Chip Kellyís offensive scheme, so the Eagles have to like their chances Sunday against the Cowboys and their 31st-ranked defense.
After bringing in retreads like David Carr, Tyler Thigpen, Caleb Hanie and John Skelton for tryouts this week, the Cowboys signed Jon Kitna out of retirement to be the third QB on Sunday behind Romo and backup Kyle Orton. But again, the Cowboys and their offense is not whatís stopping this team from being playoff-caliber Ö itís the defense that canít stop a Pop Warner team from amassing huge chunks of yardage on every play that will be their downfall.
Did you know that there is a sportsbook out there that offers 21 point NFL teasers? They also offer some generous signup bonuses: Wagerweb.
When oddsmakers opened this game late last Sunday the Eagles were set as small 2-point favorites on the road. Then news broke Monday of Romo and his back, and the Eagle rocketed up 6-point favorites and are currently sitting as -6.5 or -7 at most sportsbooks.
The over/under total opened at high number of 55.5, but it has since dropped a little due to the Romo news and can now be found at either 53 or 52.5.
Itís hard to handicap a game when the starting quarterback is questionable, but with everyone outside of the Dallas locker room expecting Romo to be done for the year, the Eagles and bettors will be best served to prepare for Orton to get the start.
Orton is solid and, even though he hasnít taken snaps in a few years, he should be able to move the Cowboys offense. Itís simple really, hand the ball off to DeMarco Murray and get out of the way. When itís third-and-long, toss a jump ball to Dez Bryant, or try and find Jason Witten down a seam if the Eagles roll their coverage toward Bryant too much. Bryant was targeted 16 times in their first meeting (ended w/ 8 rec. for 110 yards), so itís not like the Eagles secondary doesnít know whatís going to happen.
What is going to be hard for Cowboys fans to stomach is how ugly it could get when the Eagles have the ball. Nick Foles didnít play in the first meeting between these two, and since then heís only become one of the most efficient QB in the game today leading the Eagles top-ranked offense (162 ypg rushing Ė 1st) and the second-ranked offense in scoring (27.9 ppg).
Dallas has won three straight over the Eagles, and seven of the last 10, but those were under totally different circumstances than whatís at stake on Sunday night. The underdog is also a solid 5-2 ATS in this series lately, with a lot of that damage coming as the road team (road team is 4-0 ATS in last four).
The best wager on the board for this game could turn out to be the over. Not only is the number dropping because of doubts over Orton running the Cowboys effectively, but the over is 7-1 in Eagles road games this year and the over is also 8-3 in Dallasí last 11 home games.
Badgerís Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Orton and Dallas should still be able to score some points, and I do think the Cowboys are much more dangerous as a big dog in this spot with nobody giving them a chance. Iím just convinced the Cowboys canít stop the Eagles, which means Orton will have to OUTSCORE the Eagles. That is a tall task. Iím staying away from a side in this one. If I play, Iím going to play on the over and hope the Eagles go over 53 on their own again this week. Take the over of 53.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
Superbowl Predictions - Our take before the season on who we think will win Superbowl XLVIII. We'll update with a final pick based on the actual remaining teams a week prior to the big game at MetLife Stadium on February 2nd, 2014.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 48. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits!
Sportsbook - Get a 25% signup bonus on deposits of $200 or more (up to $250 in bonus money). Your credit card WILL work here!
GTBets - You get to select 2 NFL teams and get a FREE half point every time you bet them! Offers a generous 100% bonus! One of the best at accepting credit cards for deposits too!
Football Bets - We explain all the different types of wagers that you can place on an NFL game and give advice on which ones good and which are sucker bets. We also explore the value of betting at reduce odds.
Superbowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.