Betting NFL Props
by Predictem.com Staff
Betting NFL Props may appear to be kind of corny at first glance, but some sharp handicappers make a living doing believe it or not. They do so by utilizing good-solid handicapping and statistical analysis. There are of course some hocus-pokus bets to avoid though too.
Each week the bookies offer wagering opportunities on worthless bets like heads or tails on the coin flip, who will score first, team to score last, will there be a score in the first 7.5 minutes of the game and will the first score be a TD, FG or a safety.
With all due respect, unless you've got a crystal ball, you simply can't answer those questions and expect to win on a long term basis. These bets are a shot in the dark. You should really should be looking for the type of bets that are more like shooting fish in a barrel (easy pickings).
Often times the most beatable prop bets are ones in which "look" easy, but then you fade them (Go the other way). Avoid the sucker bet at all costs (bets that appear easy to beat). One thing can be said for sure in sports betting, if it looks too good to be true, it is! These Cadillac driving bookies do not give away free money when they don't have to.
Despite this being the NFL section of the site, we're going to use a basketball example to explain the biggest sucker bet play we've ever been duped into betting.
It was the mid-nineties and the Suns were playing the Utah Jazz. Back in that day Charles Barkley was a stud and scored a fair amount of points per game. There was a prop that asked whether Barkley or Jazz backup point guard Howard Eisley would score more points in the game. We couldn't help ourselves, we took Barkley and are still smarting from one of our worst losses ever. The books had the inside track somehow, put out a "more than shady" line and we bit, hook, line and sinker!
It looked too good to be true and it was. Lesson learned. Beware of the bet that looks "too easy." You'll be glad you did!
Prop bets worthwhile include a player to get over a certain amount of yards as that's "handicappable," QB to throw for over/under a certain amount of yards, matchups such as running back vs. running back with regards to who will have the most yards (sometimes spreads are offered on these) or quarterbacks to have the most yards in a head to head format and last but not least we like props that involve longest field goal and longest reception type of theme. These are easily beatable and frankly we can't understand why the book offers them, their that easy to cash if you do your homework!
A great sportsbook offering oodles of NFL football proposition bets is 5Dimes. You can also bet on football games at -105 reduced odds there! (Both college AND pro!)
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - (Coming Soon!) You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your office pool!
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Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2014 NFL Predictions - Badger makes projections on each team's record and whether or not they'll go over or under their posted season win totals at the sportsbooks.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 49. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
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