Washington Redskins (6-3-1 SU,7-3 ATS) vs. Dallas Cowboys (9-1 SU, 9-1 ATS)
NFL Week 12
Date/Time:Thursday, November 24th 2016, at 4:30pm EST
Where: AT&T Stadium - Arlington, Texas
by Bob, Expert Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: WAS +7 / DAL -7
Over/Under Total: 50
Happy Holidays everyone! I hope you all have a great Thanksgiving not only with your family and friends, but with your NFL "investments." I am excited about some of the Turkey Day games and to be honest, this is the first time in a few years that I feel this way. One of the better games of the day is the NFC East showdown with the Dallas Cowboys and the Washington Redskins. Dallas comes into this game at 9-1, the top seed at this time in the NFC, and the hottest team in all of the NFL. Dallas has been on cruise control since week two led by rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott while Washington in surprising fashion finds themselves in the midst of the NFC Playoff hunt as well.
As of Monday night, the Dallas Cowboys are a seven point home favorite over the Redskins and the over under is set at 50 points combined between the two. Not only do both teams have legit winning records overall, both teams have also covered more spreads than not in 2016. Shockingly, a number of bettors have the Redskins as their pick to cover on the road this Thanksgiving. 67% of the early action has Washington to keep this game within the seven and when it comes to the total points, 55% like this game to go over the 50 point total.
Dallas has been a major surprise in 2016. Many thought the Cowboys would have a decent year but no one would have predicted a 9-1 start, especially with a rookie starting QB and another rookie at the running back spot. Since week two, Dak Prescott has been the starter after another Tony Romo injury, and Dak has done nothing but impress. Early on I thought it was just dumb luck, then I kept saying to give it time and the NFL would catch up to him, well here we are in week ten and Prescott has yet to lose a game as a starter. Now, this cannot all be placed on the shoulders of Prescott. The Dallas offensive line has played well and the running game of Ezekiel Elliott has allowed some pressure to be take off Dak Prescott. Oh, lets also not forget that Dallas also has the 5th best scoring defense in the NFL allowing just 18.7 points a game. The Cowboys in all seriousness is just a damn good team...and I just threw up in my mouth saying that, but, facts are facts.
Although this game is being played in Jerry World, the Cowboys will have their hands full. Washington has been clicking offensively and if you missed the game this past Sunday night, man did you miss one heck of an offensive display. Kurt Cousins went ham on the Green Bay defense passing for 375 yards and three touchdowns. Cousins has elevated his game and it has Washington right in the middle of the NFC Wild Card hunt. The Cowboys this weekend do not want to get in a shootout with Washington. Yes, Dak Prescott has played well, but I do not think he is designed to play in a game where both teams are in the 30s. Dallas must pressure Cousins and force him into some mistakes and Dallas needs to use that 2nd best rushing offense to grind out drives to keep Washington's defense on the field.
Washington, in order to get this cover and potentially win the game outright, must stop the Dallas run game. The Cowboys are averaging 157 yards a game on the ground and if the Washington defense, which is pretty average, allows this to happen, it will be a long day for the Skins. The Redskins have the 3rd best passing game in the league, but if the Dallas defense causes some three and outs, it would play right into the Cowboys favor. Washington needs a balanced attack this Thursday. If they can keep the Dallas defense honest and use their run game to create some playaction chances for Cousins, Washington will have some success and I think the game would come down to the very end.
This is a tough one to pick. Both of these teams have played well as of late and this is also an inner division game. There is a little more pressure on Washington seeing as how they are technically in third place in the NFC East and a loss to Dallas would make their playoff hopes a tad less likely. Dallas is only a win or so away from clinching a post season berth so therefore there is no pressure, however, I see Dallas showing up and playing their game this week. With that said, I think we are in for a good game. I am not saying the Redskins will go into AT&T Stadium and get the win, but I think they can keep it close and cover the seven. I predict a 23-17 Dallas win.
Bob's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: TAKE THE WASHINGTON REDSKINS +7 AND UNDER THE POSTED TOTAL OF 50 POINTS
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