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Washington Redskins vs. Philadelphia Eagles Point Spread - Pick ATS

Washington Redskins (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS)
NFL Week 7
Date/Time: Monday, October 23, 2017 at 8:30PM ET
Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
TV: ESPN
by Jerbeek, Expert Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Point Spread: Was +4.5/Phil -4.5
Over/Under Total: 48.5

The Washington Redskins go on the road to take on their divisional rival Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field for Monday Night Football. The last 3 Monday night games have been very exciting right up to the final gun as 3 weeks ago there was the miracle in Kansas City, 2 weeks ago Minnesota kicked a last second field goal and last week we had the late long touchdown run by Derrick Henry to cover the spread for the Titans. Will this week provide excitement like that? This is a pivotal game in the NFC East as the Eagles lead the division with a 5-1 record and can really put themselves in a great position with a win as they would have a 3 game lead on other division foes. Both teams come into Monday night playing well as the Redskins have won 3 of their last 4 games and the Eagles are on a 4 game winning streak. The Eagles are currently the betting favorite to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl.

Washington is lead by QB Kirk Cousins who has completed 66.5% of his passes for 1,334 yards, 9 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. RB Chris Thompson has been the leading rusher for the Redskins averaging 4.9 yards per carry for a total of 175 yards. Rookie Samaje Perine seems to be getting more involved in the offense as he had 9 carries and 3 receptions in last week’s win. Chris Thompson is also the leading receiver on the team with 18 receptions for 340 yards. The WRs have struggled so far as TE Vernon Davis is the next highest receiver with 225 yards.

The Eagles are led by 2nd year QB Carson Wentz who has really elevated his game this year. Wentz has completed 60.1% of his passes for 1,584 yards, 13 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Injuries to Darren Sproles and Wendell Smallwood opened the door for LeGarrette Blount and he has responded with 390 yards rushing and an average of 5.9 yards per carry. Smallwood may be back for the week 7 matchup. TE Zach Ertz is have a great season so far with 34 receptions for 405 yards and 4 touchdowns. WR Nelson Agholor and Alshon Jeffery are also having fine seasons with Agholor contributing 321 yards and 4 touchdowns and Jeffery with 317 yards and 2 touchdowns.

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The Redskins are averaging 4.1 yards per rush against teams that average giving up 4.1 yards per play. The Redskins have averaged 8.0 yards per attempt against teams who average giving up 7.1 yards per attempt. Overall the Redskins are averaging 6.1 yards per play against teams that average 5.8 yards per play.

The Eagles have averaged 4.4 yards per rush against teams that average 4.3 yards. In the passing game they have averaged 7.3 per attempt against teams that average 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Overall they have averaged 5.9 per play against teams that average 5.4 yards per play.

On defense, Washington has given up 4.0 yards per rush against teams that average 4.4 yards per rush. In the passing game they have given up 6.4 yards per attempt against teams that average 6.9 yards. Overall they have given up 5.5 yards per play against teams that average 5.8 yards per play.

Philadelphia has given up 3.8 yards per rush against teams that average 3.9 yards per rush. The Eagles have allowed 6.6 yards per pass attempt against teams that average 7.1 yards per attempt. Overall they have given up 5.7 yards per play against teams that average 5.8 yards per play.

Jerbeek’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: This game is a rematch of week 1 when the Eagles beat the Redskins in Washington by a score of 30-17. Both of these teams like to throw the ball so I look for this game to be high scoring with the Eagles winning 28-24. My recommendation is to play over the total of 48.5.

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