Seattle Seahawks (4-1-1 SU, 3-3) ATS at New Orleans Saints (2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS)
NFL Week 8
Date/Time: Sunday, October 30, 2016 1:00 PM EST
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans
by WILSON, NFL Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: NO +2.5/SEA -2.5
Over/Under Total: 47.5
The Seattle Seahawks are on the road this week after an epic game at Arizona last weekend where the game ended in a 6-6 tie. I’ve watched a lot of football at the Westgate Super Book in Las Vegas, and I was their last Sunday night watching the Seahawks versus Cardinals and I have to admit, I’ve never seen an entire room full of sports fans jump up, then down, up, then down, and finally stand up in a zombie-like haze wondering how in the world both kickers missed essentially chip-shot field goals? But, it happened and the teams now have a tie attached to their records. Seattle also limped home because they suffered a ton of injuries with the most prevalent being the loss of OT Bradley Sowell, who will likely not play this weekend against the Saints—Pete Carroll says they have options and will spend the week evaluating who in fact will fill in for Sowell who has 5 years under his belt. Adding to the Hawk’s damage are seven other players who did not practice Wednesday which include, Russell Wilson (limited), Luke Wilson, Richard Sherman, Michael Bennett, Bobby Wagner, Thomas Rawls, Kam Chancellor, DeAndre Elliot, Jimmy Graham, and Kevin Pierre-Louis. Needless to say, the Seahawks are banged up a bit and this might be good timing for the Saints to host as their fans will definitely be a part of the squad this week coupled with the injuries for Seattle.
New Orleans comes into this home game after a loss at Kansas City last week 27-21. Saints QB, Drew Brees finished the game with 367 yards and 3 touchdowns, but that was in a rally that came up short, getting as close as 24-21. Brees has been on and off as of late but he is a veteran who, if given the opportunity and he cleans up time management (the Saints wasted some valuable clock last week at KC) is capable of winning games down the stretch. The Saints are currently 3rd in the NFC South and really can’t afford to drop too many more games if they want a shot at a wild card berth. However, playing at home will definitely help their cause.
The Sports books are posting this line between 2.5 and 3 in favor of Seattle on the road. Westgate Super Book has Seattle at -145 and New Orleans at +125. The under might be the best play in this contest with Seattle’s O-Line in a funk and Russell Wilson still nursing the knee as well as all the other Seattle injuries. In addition, the Saints and Brees have been inconsistent and sputter at times throughout games. I don’t see the total going over 47.5 or 48 depending on which book you go through. The defense for Seattle is strong enough even with injuries to keep this Saints team in check (only allow 14 points per game to the Saints 32). Teams step up at on the road and given Seattle’s reputation of getting it done on the road I would not be surprised if the Saints are held to less than 14 points.
Seattle leads the series 6-3, and 5-4 ATS. The Under is my play for this game. This week’s injuries considered (cut into point production) and the level of play on defense makes me lean towards the under 47.5. The Saints will find it hard to get into the RedZone and Seattle will too if they don’t get some guys healthy by Sunday morning. This game should be won by Seattle although it might be another ugly game (not as ugly as last week in Arizona) but both teams may struggle to get 6 and the kicking game once again will come into play—Seattle wins in another road grinder 16-13. Take the under.
I’m taking the under. Luck to ya.
WILSON’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Seahawks under.
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