Seattle Seahawks (1-2) 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U at Indianapolis Colts (3-0) 2-1 ATS, 1-2 O/U Sunday October 4, 2009 Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana 1:00 p.m. EST
By Wilson of Predictem.com
Point Spread: Seattle +10.5/Indianapolis -10.5
The Seattle Seahawks lost another heartbreaker last weekend at Quest Field to Chicago Bears 25-19. The Seahawks were missing key players including their starting QB Matt Hasslebeck, and left guard Rob Simms who left the game in the second quarter with a side injury. Even though Seattle was missing some of their regulars they still positioned themselves to win the game.
Hawk’s backup QB Seneca Wallace made some risky passes but overall he had a decent outing. Wallace was 26 of 44 for 261 yards, one touchdown and one INT. Wide receiver Nate Burleson pulled in 9 catches for 109 yards while running back Julius Jones rushed for 98 yards on 19 touches behind a suspect offensive line.
Defensively, the Seahawks had three newbies playing in the game and all were linebackers. LB David Hawthorne was making his first NFL start and he took full advantage of the opportunity by having a career day with 16 tackles, an interception, and a forced fumble. The 16 tackles tied a record for third most in Seahawks history. But with game on the line the Hawks couldn’t get the stop they needed and the Bears made them pay.
Seattle Field goal kicker Olindo Mare missed two kicks that put the Hawks in a tough spot and possibly cost them the game. Head coach Jim Mora was furious and blasted his opinion of Mare but then he revised his comments shortly after his rant. Either way, Mare may be watching from the sidelines if he can’t get the pigskin through the toothpicks. Mare agreed that he made some poor kicks but vowed that he would be back and get past the blunders.
Peyton Manning will be waiting for that band-aid Seattle defense to show up Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts are coming off of a huge win at Arizona last week where Manning and company picked apart the Cardinal defense in a 31-10 route at University of Phoenix Stadium.
Indianapolis appears to be on cruise control once again, and Peyton Manning is a familiar piece to the Colt’s success. Manning has the savvy to read defenses so well that even the Cardinals were trying to hide their packages by jumping in and out of sets in an attempt to fool the veteran QB- yeah, that didn’t work out too well. I can only imagine how much fun Manning is going to have versus a young, backup scattered defense. The Hawks are missing Pro Bowl corner Marcus Trufant as well as CB Josh Wilson, and oh yeah, LB Lofa Tatupu is questionable with a pulled hammy. Overall, the Seahawks have 10 players on the IR.
The question from most Colt’s fans remains the same; will we win when it matters most? The Colts have had plenty of seasons where they run through teams on their way to the playoffs to only fall short of expectations. I don’t think that’s fair for fans to be so spoiled as to expect a Superbowl every year, but rather, appreciate the fact that Indianapolis is “in it” every season. Somehow Mr. Manning keeps finding ways to win and he does it with new clientele as he is basically coaching them up as they go.
Seahawk’s Matt Hasselbeck will not play against the Colts, according to coach Mora he will be out at least another week with a broken rib. Seneca Wallace will get his second start in as many weeks. Seattle will need to find the endzone more frequently as they have scored 6 TDs in 6 quarters with Hasselbeck and one TD in 6 quarters with Wallace.
The Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in week 4. Seattle is 1-6 in their last 7 road games against a team with a home winning record.
The over is 4-1 in the Seahawks last 5 games in week 4. The under is 7-2 in Seattle’s last 9 games versus a team with a winning record. The under is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games overall.
This game opened at Indianapolis -11 but has moved to -10.5 in favor of the Colts.
Wilson's Pick: This very well could be a blowout, but on the other hand, NFL teams laying double digits has always been a less than desirable proposition. I hate to say it, but this game has zero value betting-wise so I'm recommending a pass.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Get tonight's NFL winner ABSOLUTELY FREE from PlaybyPlay Sports! Call 1-877-768-2925 now!
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - (Coming in 2015!) You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your office pool!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2014 NFL Predictions - Badger makes projections on each team's record and whether or not they'll go over or under their posted season win totals at the sportsbooks.
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 49. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $2000 in free cash!
GTBets - You get to select 2 NFL teams and get a FREE half point every time you bet them! Offers a generous 100% bonus on deposits of $100 to $500! One of the best at accepting credit cards for deposits!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.