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Super Bowl 51 Props - Best Bets

NFL Super Bowl LI Proposition Bets
Date/Time: Sunday February 5th, 2017. 6:30PM (EST)
Where: NRG Stadium Houston, T.X.
TV: FOX
By Jay, NFL Handicapper for Predictem.com

The biggest sporting event in the world will take place on February 5th when over 100 million people convene to witness Super Bowl LI between the New England Patriots and the Atlanta Falcons. Along with the unparalleled popularity of the Super Bowl, odds makers take advantage of Super Sunday’s platform by providing more betting options than you could ever imagine for a single sports event. Outside of your normal betting lines regarding the spread and totals, sportsbooks offer hundreds of side bets for the Super Bowl.

These “propositional” bets range from who will win the coin toss?, to how it will take to sing the National Anthem?, to just about everything you can think of that surrounds the Super Bowl. With so many betting options for this grand event, it is hard to pass on the opportunity to spread some extra bets around to make your viewing of Super Bowl LI even more entertaining. Whether you are just wanting to throw out some extra bets for entertainment reasons or you are wanting to take advantage of a few sharp plays due to the numerous prop bets available, we have you covered. Take a look at some of our best props bets as we provide a few sharp plays and undeniable trends to think about for Super Bowl Sunday.

New England wins the coin toss (-105)
Atlanta wins the coin toss (-105)

In theory, this bet should be 50/50 and I will be the first to admit that this suggestion does not have any true “edge” behind its reasoning. However if you are wanting a strong trend that keeps defying the odds, then consider taking Atlanta for the coin toss victory. The reason for that suggestion is an eerie trend that has featured the NFC team winning 17 of the last 19 coin tosses in the Super Bowl. If there is one rule of betting that I stand by, it is never bet against the streak!

Pick - Atlanta (-105)

National Anthem over 130 seconds (-120)
National Anthem under 130 seconds (-120)

Another prop bet that has nothing to do with any on-field action, is the amount of time it will take Country Music star Luke Bryan to sing the National Anthem. This proposition bet is listed every year by sportsbooks for the Super Bowl and I can say I have been burned by this bet in the past. The reason is that performers usually put a few extra high notes in for the grand viewing audience and typically go well past the normal time it takes them to sing the National Anthem. However if you review some of Luke Bryan’s National Anthem performances, he nails each performance at almost 2 minutes (120 seconds) each time. To make matters more reliable, he has sang at some very prestigious sporting events in the past including the MLB All-Star Game which he still completed in 121 seconds. In all the performances that I have reviewed, Bryan is very standard with every rendition and that adds serious value for the under!

Pick - Under 130 seconds (-120)

Dion Lewis Total Receiving Yards over 17.5 (-125)
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If you were finally waiting for a propositional bet that has to do with on-field action, consider my advice for the Patriots usage of Dion Lewis in Super Bowl LI. If you saw my prediction for Super Bowl LI, I picked the Atlanta Falcons to win this game mainly because of their offensive prowess and their ability to get pressure on Brady from the defensive side of the football. I am not backing down from that prediction. In fact, I believe the Patriots’ game flow will be forced to use Dion Lewis in a heavier capacity because they will likely be playing from behind and/or not have much success with LeGarrette Blount between the tackles. Additionally, Lewis may stay on the field more often as a result of Atlanta’s pass rush to give Brady a reliable check down outlet. If you look at previous game stats, Lewis has only eclipsed 17.5 yards once in the last 6 games so this will not be a popular bet. However, take my advice and go with the sharp play based on predicted game script!

Pick - Over 17.5 (-125)

Will a Special Teams or Defensive Touchdown be scored? Yes (+170)
Will a Special Teams or Defensive Touchdown be scored? No (-210)

This may be a rather surprising trend but a defensive/special teams touchdown has occurred in 6 of the last 8 Super Bowl games. For that reason, what was once extremely uncommon has now become somewhat unsurprising. However, in reality a defensive/special teams touchdown should still be considered a very improbable occurrence. For Super Bowl LI, I believe we have a matchup that will change the trend. Let’s face the facts, this is going to be an offensively driven Super Bowl with Atlanta and New England’s scoring potential which is far different from the dynamic defenses like the Broncos, Seahawks, and Ravens that have taken the stage in recent years. More importantly, we have two of the best quarterbacks in the game that will be leading both offenses making the likelihood of a “Pick 6” extremely low.

Therefore, you are basically banking on a special teams touchdown or a fumble recovery to go the distance for this bet to cash. To make matters worse, neither defense/special teams for either side has produced enough touchdowns this season to make this bet seem probable. New England has not scored any defensive touchdowns and has just 1 Dion Lewis kick return for a touchdown for the entire season. Atlanta does have 5 defensive touchdowns on the year but the majority of those come during the first few weeks of the season and they have not had any returns for scores all year. Therefore, I just think this is a bet that many will want to hit for the plus money action but the odds are still advantageous even at -210 that this bet does not hit.

Pick - No (-210)

Matt Ryan Total Interceptions Thrown over ½ (-130)
Matt Ryan Total Interceptions Thrown under ½ (Even)

Matt Ryan has posted an incredible season this year combining for 5,674 yards between the regular and postseason for 38 touchdowns and just 7 picks. He has posted MVP numbers and he will likely be the NFL’s MVP once the award is announced. Ryan has not thrown an interception in the last 6 games and is hitting an incredible completion rate of over 70% during that stretch. He is not making mistakes and Atlanta has so many weapons he does not have to force the ball like he has done in the past. I don’t think enough respect has been given to Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman for their roles in the passing game to help alleviate that pressure. However, the results are undeniable and I don’t see it changing for the Super Bowl. I actually would not be surprised if both quarterbacks avoided interceptions in this game. For Ryan, I like the even money odds and the hot arm.

Pick - Under ½ (Even)

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