Tennessee Titans (3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS) vs. San Diego Chargers (3-5 SU, 5-3 ATS)
NFL Week 9
Date/Time: Sunday, November 6, 2016 at 4:25PM EST
Where: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California
by Scott, Expert Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: TEN +5/SD -5
Over/Under Total: 47
At Qualcomm Stadium on Sunday afternoon, the Tennessee Titans take on the San Diego Chargers in week 9 AFC action between two teams peeking in and still trying to break through. The Titans have moved their record to 4-4 on the heels of three wins in four games. For a team with five wins in the past two seasons, that counts as a victory and they look to take it up another notch with a good road win this week. San Diego will be eager to make up for a difficult week where they fell to the Broncos at home on Sunday, 27-19. The Chargers had won two in a row and look to resume that momentum at home.
Tennessee handled the Jaguars with greater ease than last Thursday’s 36-22 score indicates. They were in firm control throughout with a 27-0 halftime lead. You have to make the extra consideration with the Titans and their route to this point. It wasn’t easy, with a lot of knocks along the way. But after years of hard work with the coaches and players, things are starting to click. They have a good young quarterback with diverse skills in Marcus Mariota. He was 18-for-22 on Thursday with 270 yards and a pair of touchdowns. He’s becoming a more mature presence and continues to improve. He can move with his legs and make plays, while his aerial decision-making has gotten more on-point.
Mariota is getting a big boost from first-year Titans back DeMarco Murray, who is leading the way with big rushing numbers, while catching a ton of balls along the way. Murray hurt his toe on Sunday and is listed as day-to-day, which is a concern with him being such a big part of the defense. Mariota is also handy with his legs, as is last year’s Heisman winner Derrick Henry, who has flashed some impressive potential this season. Through the air, Mariota works with dependable tight end Delanie Walker, with rising receiver talent like Tajae Sharpe, Rishard Matthews, and others. But the run is what the Titans rely on, with the passing-game often fairly tepid. In recent games, we’ve seen the Titans’ point-totals spike, with an average of 30 or more points in their last four games. They’re starting to position themselves for a nice run in what is shaping up to be a wide-open AFC South.
Key to the Titans’ success this season thus far has been their defense. It’s hard not to like what is being seen up-front, with the Titans stuffing the run and applying a consistent pass-rush. They’ve been consistently keeping opponents in the teens and twenties when it comes to scoring and with a burgeoning offense, that’s going to have the Titans in a lot of games this season, as it has through half a season this year.
The Chargers came up on the wrong side of it on Sunday, but they ended up splitting the series with Denver, which isn’t all that bad. After two straight wins, it would have been nice if they had chopped away more at their bad start. Still, the loss might not end up being that bad of a setback in the big picture. Granted, they were given ample chances to go for the win, with the Denver “D” eventually holding the Chargers down sufficiently for the win. With the Chargers, one must look beyond the record. They’ve been in each and every game and should have won most of them. They didn’t. That’s the bottom-line in a results-driven business. But they’re at least a 3-5 team with a twist.
If one can look beyond the late-game collapses, which is difficult, there are a lot of positive signs for a team that hasn’t caught a ton of breaks. The injury bug cost the Chargers a big chunk of their offensive production early in the season. Philip Rivers has made the most of what he has. Melvin Gordon has become a legitimate contributor and was over 100 against Denver on Sunday. Injuries have allowed guys like Dontrelle Inman and Tyrell Williams to get a shot and they haven’t disappointed. Antonio Gates still factors into the equation, with Hunter Henry giving the Chargers another option at tight end. Rivers was hung out to dry by his receivers and line on Sunday and as a result, couldn’t really hone in the way he likes.
On defense, the Chargers are also dealing with a vast number of injuries, with as many projected starters on the injured list as there are on the active roster. Still, it’s as promising a unit as we’ve seen in recent seasons out of San Diego. Injuries have ensured they will only be so good, but they’ve been getting standout play from Melvin Ingram, Brandon Mebane, rookie Joey Bosa, Denzel Perryman, Corey Liuget, Jatavis Brown, and Casey Hayward, who had a pick-six on Sunday. The secondary will get Brandon Flowers back, as he resurfaced on Sunday. Bosa has given the line a big boost immediately upon getting on the field.
The Chargers have shown some resilience in getting to this spot even at 3-5. They can be pretty tough at home and though Tennessee is coming off the long week, this isn’t an easy cross-country road spot for them. In a lot of ways, the Chargers match up well against the Titans. It’s not hard envisioning Mariota catching more than his fair share of problems from the SD defense. But the Chargers are somehow more appealing as an underdog and not needing to cover a number against a team on the rise. We’re taking the Titans.
Scott's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I’m betting on the Tennessee Titans plus 5 points.
Fast payouts, 19 and 20 point teasers, pleasers, 25 team parlays, progressive parlays, live betting, online poker and discounted odds on sides and totals! Find all this and more at the web's BEST bookmaker: 5Dimes!
Need some help with your handicapping? Our NFL betting tips will help the begineer to novice bettor improve their bottom line.
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
Expert NFL Picks - Free premium plays from the "real" expert football handicappers from around the web. Don't fall for second rate picks from ESPN, the NFL Network, Hank Goldberg or the screaming touts on TV.
Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
Office Pool Picks - You asked for it and you got it! Each week, we'll post our predictions to win each game straight up so that you can RULE your pick'em league!
NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
NFL Computer Picks - We enter the statistics into the database and the computer crunches the numbers and gives final score predictions. These should be used for entertainment only!
Monday Night Football Picks - The ultimate bailout play. Our MNF picks are golden and have hit 62% or better 3 out of the past 4 years. (Last season was a disaster!) Did we mention that their FREE?
2016 NFL Predictions - Badger breaks down each division and gives his picks on which teams he thinks will win the AFC and NFC Conferneces (plus Super Bowl winner prediction).
Super Bowl Picks - Everybody here in the Predictem office takes their best preseason shot at predicting the winner Superbowl 50. Pride is on the line here! Oh, and LOOT too!
5Dimes - Bet your NFL football picks at -105 odds every day of the week! 15 team parlays! 20 point teasers! Pleasers and huge point buying opportunities as well!
Bovada - Tired of deposit hassles? Bet on football using your credit card at a sportsbook where your Visa CAN and WILL work for deposits! Offers a 50% sign-up bonus up to $250 FREE!
MyBookie - Credit cards work GREAT here! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $1000 in free cash!
Bookmaker - Watch the game for a bit THEN make a wager! Yes! You can jump in after the action has started using their awesome live betting feature! Get a massive 50% bonus up to $300 in FREE bonus cash OR take advantage of their enormous 15% bonus up to $2500 in free cash! The best sportsbook for highrollers!
Super Bowl Betting - We explain all the different types of wagers you can making including point spread bets, totals, moneylines and prop bets. No need to go to Vegas! You can bet the big game online!
Weekly Fantasy Football - If you drafted a crappy team or the injury bug has bit you and wrecked your season, we've got something really cool to turn you on to that will change the way you play fantasy sports forever!
Famous Football Quotes - From the inspirational to the greatest touchdown calls of all time. We've got them!
Pro Football Hall of Fame - A full list of NFL players who have been inducted into the NFL HOF.
The Spread - Offers free NFL football predictions, matchups, stats including both offensive and defensive and more!
Fantasy Football Sites - Get recommendations on where to find weekly updated player news, depth charts and legit websites that offer the best stat and record tracking for your fantasy football league.