Each week during the NFL football season we'll post trends that SOUND like they make a game look like it's a winner. We actually fade (go against) these trends though because it's our opinion that what happened in the past is no indication of what will happen in the future and too much weight is put into these "trends".
There's an old saying "let the trend be your friend" but it's B.S. How can you put much weight into something that includes info from years, past, many times from many years past when different players and coaches were around? Nonetheless, we'll sift through it all and post any decent angles and situational stats we can find relative to past trends. Look for these trends to be posted by late Friday afternoon each week during the Pro football season. Enjoy!
For more great trends and NFL information check out ArmChairAnalysis.com.
Week 10: (11/12/09 through 11/16/09)
1. The Washington Redskins are 2-11-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall. (Take Washington +3.5)(pending)
2. The Under is 13-3 in Bills last 16 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. (Take OVER 41)(pending)
3. The Cincinnati Bengals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. (Take Pittsburgh at -7)(pending)
4. The Dallas Cowboys are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games in November. (Take Green Bay +3)(pending)
5. The SD Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. (Take Philly +1)(pending)
Previous Week's Trends:
Week 9: (11/8/09 through 11/9/09)
1. The Green Bay are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite. (Take TB at +9.5)(win)
2. The Baltimore Ravens are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following a S.U. win. (Take Cinci +3)(win)
3. The Detroit Lions are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. (Take Detroit +10)(loss)
4. The Denver Broncos are 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 home games. (Take Denver +3)(loss)
5. The Tennessee Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. (Take Tennessee +4)(win)
Week 8: (11/1/09 through 11/2/09)
1.The SF 49ers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. (Take SF +13)(win)
2. The St. Louis Rams are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. (Take STL +4)(win)
3. The Denver Broncos are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. (Take Baltimore -3.5)(win)
4. The Tennessee Titans are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. (Take Jacksonville +3)(loss)
5. The Minnesota Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. (Take GB -3)(loss)
Week 7: (10/25/09 through 10/26/09)
1. The Green Bay Packers are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 road games. (Take Cleveland +9.5)(loss)
2. The Minnesota Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. (Take Pitt -6)(win)
3. The Over is 20-6 in Cardinals last 26 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. (Take UNDER 46)(win)
Week 6: (10/18/09 through 10/19/09) These plays did very well last week going 4-0. We look to keep it rolling in Week 6!
1. The Carolina Panthers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
(Take TB +3)(loss)
2. The Green Bay Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC North.
(Take Detroit +14)(loss)
3. The Cincinnati Bengals are 5-16-2 ATS in their last 23 games in October.
(Take Cinci -5)(loss).
Week 5: (10/11/09 through 10/12/09) Coming off an uneventful 2-2 last week. These WILL turn around soon!
1. The Kansas City Chiefs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. (Take the Chiefs at +7.5) (win)
2. The Carolina Panthers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. (Take Washington +4)(win)
3. The Seattle Seahawks are 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 games in October. (Take Seattle -1.5)(win)
4. The New England Patriots are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games in October. (Take Denver +3)(win)
Week 4: (10/4/09 through 10/5/09) The trend plays have been holding true through the first few weeks of the 2009 season. Fading these has proven to be absolutely brutal. Unbelievable.
1. The Washington Redskins are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. (Take Washington -9)(loss)
2. The New York Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite. (Take KC +9)(loss)
3. The Buffalo Bills are 25-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. (Take Miami +1)(win)
4. The Dallas Cowboys are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0. (Take Denver +3)(win)
Week 3: (9/27/09 through 9/28/09)
1. The New England Patriots are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. loss. (Take Atlanta +4.5)(loss)
2. The Green Bay Packers are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 road games.
(Take STL +6.5 (loss)
3. The Seattle Seahawks are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0. (Take Seattle +2.5)(loss)
4. The New Orleans Saints are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. (Take Buffalo +6)(loss)
Week 2: (9/20/09 through 9/21/09)
1. The Kansas City Chiefs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games. (Take KC -3)(loss)
2. The New England are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. (Take NYJ +3.5)(win)
3. The New Orleans Saints are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0. (Take Philly +1)(loss)
4. The SF 49ers are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 vs. NFC. (Take SF -1)(win)
5. The Miami Dolphins are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 home games. (Take Miami +3)(loss)
Week 1: (9/10/09 through 9/14/09)
1: The New Orleans Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. (Take Detroit +13)(loss)
2: The Houston Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1. (Take Houston -4.5)(loss)
3: The Cleveland Browns are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass. (Take Clevleand +4)(loss)
4: The Baltimore Ravens are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
(Take KC +13)(loss)
5: The New York Giants are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall. (Take Washington +6.5)(win)
6. The San Diego Over is 7-0 in Chargers last 7 games in September.
(Take UNDER 43)(loss)
Previous Year's Performances
Super Bowl XLII:
Trend #1: TBA
PREVIOUS WEEK'S TRENDS:
Super Bowl XLII:
Trend #1: Passed!
NFL Divisional Playoff Trends:
Trend #1: The Baltimore Ravens are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on grass.(Take Tennessee -3)(loss)
Trend 2: The Arizona Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games.(Take Carolina -9.5)(loss)
NFL Wildcard Weekend Trends:
Trend #1: The Arizona Cardinals are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. (Take Arizona +1)(winner)
Week 17 Trends:
Trend #1: The Chicago Bears are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December. (Take the Texans -3)(win)
Trend #2: The Indianapolis Colts are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of a half point to plus 3. (Take Tennessee -3)(loss)
Trend #3: The Carolina Panthers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss. (Take the Saints +1.5)(winner)
Week 16 Trends:
Trend #1: The Seattle Seahawks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. (Take Seattle at +3.5)(winner)
Trend #2: The Buffalo Bills are 1-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. (Take Buff +6.5(winner)
Trend #3: The San Francisco 49ers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf. (Take STL +5.5)(winner)
Week 13-15: Passed.
Week 12: Passing.
Week 11: Passing.
Week 10 Trends:
Trend #1: The New Orleans Saints are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 10. (Take ATL -1)(winner)
Trend #2: The New York Giants are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall. (Take Phil -3)(loss)
Trend #3: The New England Patriots are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 vs. AFC East. (Take Buff +4)(loss)
Week 9 Trends:
Trend #1: The Buffalo Bills are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games. (Take Jets +5).(Win)
Trend #2: The Houston Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. (Take Houston +6)(loss)
Trends #3: The Philadelphia Eagles are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. (Take Seattle +7)(loss)
Week 8 Trends:
Trend #1: Passed.
Trend #2: Passed.
Trends #3: Passed.
Week 7 Trends:
Trend #1: The St. Louis Rams are 5-17 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. (Play the Rams at +7) (Winner)
Trend #2: The Baltimore Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. (Play Miami -3) (loss)
Trends #3: The Chicago Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. (Play the Vikings +3)(loss)
Week 6 NFL Trends: Passing.
Week 5 Trends:
Trend #1: The Tennessee Titans are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games. (Play Balt. +3 pushed)
Trend #2: The Miami Dolphins are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS win and the SD Chargers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win. (Play Miami at +6.5 winner)
Trends #3: The Indianapolis Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5. (Play Houston +3 loss)
Trend #4: The Buffalo Bills are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win. (Play Arizona -1 winner)
Trend #5: The New England Patriots are 17-4-1 ATS in their last 22 games in October. (Play SF +3) (loss)
Week 4 Trends:
Trend #1: The Atlanta Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on grass (Take Carolina -6.5) (win)
Trend #2: The New Orleans Saints are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games.(Take N.O. -4.5) (win).
Trends #3: The Tennessee Titans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in September. (Take Minny +3) (loss)
Trend #4: The Philadelphia Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games. (Play Chicago +3) (win).
Week 3 Trends:
Trend #1: The Washington Redskins are 20-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. This means we're on Arizona at +3. (loss)
Trend #2: The Indianapolis Colts are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games in September. This makes our play Jacksonville at +5.5. (win)
Trends #3: Cowboys are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. This makes our play Green Bay at +3. (loss)
Trend #4: The New York Jets are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss. This makes our play on the Chargers at -9.5. (win)
Week 2: Passed.
Week 1:
Trend #1: The Houston Texans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. After fading the trend, this makes our play Houston at +6.5. (loss)
Trend #2: The San Francisco 49ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC. This makes our play on the Niners at +2.5. (loss)
Trend #3: The San Diego Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games. This makes our fade play Carolina at +9.5. (winner)
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