Each week during the NFL football season we'll post trends that SOUND like they make a game look like it's a winner. We actually fade (go against) these trends though because it's our opinion that what happened in the past is no indication of what will happen in the future and too much weight is put into these "trends".
There's an old saying "let the trend be your friend" but it's B.S. How can you put much weight into something that includes info from years, past, many times from many years past when different players and coaches were around? Nonetheless, we'll sift through it all and post any decent angles and situational stats we can find relative to past trends. Look for these trends to be posted by late Friday afternoon each week during the Pro football season. Enjoy!
Week 3: (9/18 through 9/22)
1. The Atlanta Falcons are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. (Take TB +6.5)(loss)
2. The Washington Redskins are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. (Take Wash +6)(win)
3. The Houston Texans are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. (Take NYG -2)(win)
4. The Miami Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. (Take KC +3.5)(win)
5. The Chicago Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Monday games (Take NYJ -2)(pending).
Week 2: (9/11 through 9/15)
1. The Baltimore Ravens are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games. (Take Balt -2.5)(win)
2. The New England Patriots are 32-13-1 ATS in their last 46 games following a S.U. loss. (Take Min +5.5)(loss)
3. The Detroit Lions are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. (Take CAR -2.5)(win)
4. The Green Bay Packers are 20-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. (Take NYJ +7.5)(win)
5. The Indianapolis Colts are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. loss. (Take Phil +3)(win).
Week 1: (9/4 through 9/8)
1. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. (Take Sea -5.5)(win)
2. The Jacksonville Jaguars are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. (Take Jax +10.5)(loss)
3. The Buffalo Bills are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. (Take Buf +7)(win)
Editor's Picks - Each week our in house pro's tackle the week's card and make predictions on the week's games ATS! Best bets, top plays, premium selections, etc. FREE!
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Underdog of the Week Pick - We forecast the loudest barking dog of the week. Expect a 60% winning percentage with these plays.
Favorite of the Week Play - We examine "the chalk" and determine the safest bet in which who you should lay the points with. Forecasting winning favorites long term isn't easy, but we've had some pretty good luck with it over the years.
Line Movement Plays - We report all the major line moves from the gridiron and forecast whether it's public money or sharp action causing the move. Who will cover the spread this week? Our line move plays!
NFL Consensus Picks - See what the general public is betting on. We use this info to fade the public to the tune of big profits over the course of the season.
Bookies Picks - Each week, we'll post which side the bookies are on. Please note: These are not OUR picks. We're simply reporting the teams the bookies need to cover the spread in order for them to win. Games receiving equal action on both sides will not be factored into these records.
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NFL Trends - Don't ever let anybody tell you that the trend is your friend. These picks make great fades which is exactly what we do with them.
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