Bournemouth vs. Manchester City and Pick to Win
Date:Saturday, September 17th 2016
Where: English Premier League – Manchester, UK
by Keith, Professional Soccer/Football Handicapper, Predictem
Match Odds: Bournemouth 12/1, Draw 22/5, Manchester City 3/10
Moneyline: Bournemouth +1200, Draw +540, Manchester City -300
Over/Under Best Market: OVER 3.5 11/8 (+137)
After winning the most anticipated match-up in all of Europe, dubbed “The Battle of Manchester”. The Citizens of Manchester City stock has risen through the ceiling. Man City’s powder blue now sits alone atop the English Premier League table with 12 points, playing host to a newcomer in the EPL, Bournemouth who has just four points to their name. After Manchester City pulled off a stunning win at Old Trafford, some books and experts have already penciled the Citizens in as 2016-17 League Champions. With these lofty considerations, the Citizens are set up to be a classic bankroll crusher as a huge proportion of the population has laid the juice and taken City off the reactionary angle.
Bournemouth on paper looks to be a sacrificial lamb but let us not forget to recall a poignant result the Southern England club endured midway through the 2015/16 campaign against would be champion Leicester City. Bournemouth would take a 2-0 lead against the Foxes before they would surrender three goals in a dramatic come-from-behind victory by the future EPL Champions. Bournemouth knows how to play with the big dogs of the English Premier League and that is a handsome amount of backers have opted in on the Bournemouth market because the price is certainly worth the plunge. Nevertheless, we are going to tackle this one like we did when Sunderland came to town, Manchester City’s propensity to yield a draw in spite of coveted home pitch advantage.
Manchester City has since demolished any opponents they have encountered after dramatics of against Sunderland to mark the beginning Pep Guardiola era. City has scored at will and their personnel have lit up the opposition in the most captivating of methods each and every week. Most notably, forward Sergio Aguero has assumed his role as the Citizen’s lead offensive weapon. In addition, City has also had some excellent output from John Stones and All-English midfielder Raheem Stirling. City has a plethora of weapons in their arsenal and they are certainly relishing the opportunity to exert their will and continue their dominance. However, it is worth mentioning that a thrashing of Manchester from a slew of strong thunderstorms resulted in a postponement of City’s European Champions League tournament on Wednesday where the city saw some severe flooding. While this may seem trivial it may in fact throw off the chemistry and flow of the Citizens as they had more rest and time than they anticipated.
You know our stance, laying juice is always a dangerous move especially when the expectations are through the ceiling. Manchester City has never been set up greater for a let-down than now. While Manchester City may go on to win this league, they will lose along the way but we won’t be so brash to call for the upset at Etihad Stadium. Nevertheless, it is not inconceivable that a draw may occur and Bournemouth comes away with a point. Typically teams that pull off big wins are all the more prone to lay an egg in their follow up. With the amount of action and steam coming in on City after their huge win, this situation sets up perfectly for such an event. In the event, City continues to cruise they will likely thrash Bournemouth with a scourge of goals. For this reason, it is safe to conclude that over three games will be scored in this contest whether all by City or a combination of Bournemouth with Manchester City in an inexplicable combination. If we cannot get the draw, we can at least break even with the bet and a little extra in our unit bank if City goes to town on Bournemouth. Thus, the over 3.5 market is a great play at 11/8.
Bournemouth Recent Form
W – West Bromwich Albion 1-0
D – Crystal Palace 1-1
W – Morecambe 2-1
L – West Ham United 1-0
L – Manchester United 1-3
Manchester City Recent Form
W – Manchester United 2-1
W – West Ham United 3-1
W – Steaua 1-0
W – Stoke 4-1
W – Steaua 5-0
Keith's Prediction for the Game: Draw 22/5 (+540) and OVER 3.5 11/8 (+137)
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