https://www.predictem.com/forums/ Share your NBA and WNBA Basketball picks and analysis with others in our quest to beat the bookie! en Sun, 03 May 2026 17:37:25 GMT vBulletin 60 https://www.predictem.com/forums/images/misc/rss.png https://www.predictem.com/forums/ https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550295-nba-playoffs-saturday Sat, 02 May 2026 19:10:20 GMT Philadelphia - Boston under 205 -105 3* GL
GL]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks BoilerBacker https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550295-nba-playoffs-saturday https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550292-nba-info-for-saturday-may-2 Sat, 02 May 2026 12:49:25 GMT
I'll share some numbers here though, for anyone looking for info and angles on the game.

Phil/Bos qualifies for one of my models for picking totals, T2 (no surprise there, almost every game in round one has qualified, too.)

The record for this play is 18-27, a very solid 60% Fade telling me to take the Under.

I also have a look back of undetermined length (can't read my own handwriting to see how many years the record covers) which says that elimination games when it's a game six or seven are about 60% to the Under. So, another stat pointing me to the Under.

So what's the problem?
Those are all league-wide stats for all teams.
The team specific stats tell a different story.

Tonight's total is at 205'.
The previous six games in the series have seen totals of:
214, 208, 208, 224, 210, and 199.
FIVE of the six are Over tonight's number.
AND . . . all three of the games played in Boston, like tonight, have gone Over.

Like I said, conflicting stats.
I'm not seeing a clear path so no bets for me.

I was looking at a play on the Birmingham Stallions team total Over tomorrow, was halfway through my write-up when I went to check the numbers and was disappointed to find not a single book offering team totals for UFL. Pussy Boys.

If I have a play for this morning's game I'll post it in the UFL section. Hope to have an NBA spot for tomorrow.

Good luck with your play today.]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks RBD https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550292-nba-info-for-saturday-may-2 https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550291-saturday-may-2nd-philadelphia-76ers-vs-boston-celtics-prediction Sat, 02 May 2026 08:01:22 GMT YTD: 42-24-0 +16.04 Units Phi/Bos UNDER 206.5
Phi/Bos UNDER 206.5]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks Kevin https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550291-saturday-may-2nd-philadelphia-76ers-vs-boston-celtics-prediction https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550286-nba-playoffs-friday Fri, 01 May 2026 20:26:08 GMT Detroit -3.5 -105 3* Cleveland -4.5 3* GL
Cleveland -4.5 3*

GL ]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks BoilerBacker https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550286-nba-playoffs-friday https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550285-friday-may-1st-nba-picks Fri, 01 May 2026 19:59:48 GMT YTD: 41-24-0 +15.04 Units Detroit Pistons ML -160
Detroit Pistons ML -160]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks Kevin https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550285-friday-may-1st-nba-picks https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550283-thursday-april-30th-nba-picks Thu, 30 Apr 2026 21:28:13 GMT YTD: 40-24-0 +14.04 Units New York Knicks ML -140
New York Knicks ML -140]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks Kevin https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550283-thursday-april-30th-nba-picks https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550280-nba-playoffs-wednesday Wed, 29 Apr 2026 22:16:36 GMT Detroit -10.5 3* GL
GL]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks BoilerBacker https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550280-nba-playoffs-wednesday https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550270-tuesday-april-28th-nba-picks Tue, 28 Apr 2026 09:33:38 GMT YTD: 40-23-0 +15.14 Units Boston Celtics -11.5
Boston Celtics -11.5]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks Kevin https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550270-tuesday-april-28th-nba-picks https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550265-sunday-notes-april-26th-late-play Sun, 26 Apr 2026 17:50:21 GMT
It'll pick up, but only 31 points in Q1, a run rate of 124.]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks RBD https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550265-sunday-notes-april-26th-late-play https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550262-saturday-april-25th-nba-playoff-picks Sat, 25 Apr 2026 21:57:13 GMT YTD: 39-23-0 +14.14 Units Minnesota T-Wolves +1.5
Minnesota T-Wolves +1.5]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks Kevin https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550262-saturday-april-25th-nba-playoff-picks https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550260-nba-playoffs-saturday Sat, 25 Apr 2026 17:34:38 GMT Oklahoma City - Phoenix under 213.5 3* GL
GL]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks BoilerBacker https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550260-nba-playoffs-saturday https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550255-nba-playoffs-friday Fri, 24 Apr 2026 18:21:43 GMT Houston -8.5 -105 3* GL
GL ]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks BoilerBacker https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550255-nba-playoffs-friday https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550253-nba-thursday Thu, 23 Apr 2026 23:01:43 GMT Minnesota +1.5 3* GL
GL]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks BoilerBacker https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550253-nba-thursday https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550250-friday-april-24th-nba-playoffs-picks Thu, 23 Apr 2026 07:33:47 GMT YTD: 39-22-0 +15.24 Units Portland Trail Blazers +2
Portland Trail Blazers +2]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks Kevin https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550250-friday-april-24th-nba-playoffs-picks https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550247-nba-info-for-wed-4-22 Wed, 22 Apr 2026 12:31:44 GMT So did the other T2 qualifying games I shared in yesterday's thread.

T2 is now 3-16 on Overs.
And matches with T1 are now at 0-3 on the Over.

Likely not going to buy anything today but in case anyone is interested in what qualifies on my models here's what I have.

T1 says Orlando/Det stays Under.
T1 has a record of 2-0 on Unders this postseason.

T2 says both games go Over.
T2 record is 3-16 on the Over.
That record is overdue for some course correction via Reversion Towards the Mean. I've banked a couple units on it and I'm leery of riding it again.

Unfortunately, not getting any Wrong Favorites to play.
Since I don't have any game action I'm going to spend some time this morning handicapping player props.
If I see something I like I'll buy it and post it.

Good luck with your play today.]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks RBD https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550247-nba-info-for-wed-4-22