https://www.predictem.com/forums/ Share your NBA and WNBA Basketball picks and analysis with others in our quest to beat the bookie! en Fri, 19 Jun 2026 03:04:17 GMT vBulletin 60 https://www.predictem.com/forums/images/misc/rss.png https://www.predictem.com/forums/ https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550429-saturday-nba-finals-pick Sat, 13 Jun 2026 17:57:39 GMT YTD: 49-31-0 +14.24 Units Taking: Spurs -5.5
Taking:

Spurs -5.5]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks Kevin https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550429-saturday-nba-finals-pick https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550421-tonight-s-number Wed, 10 Jun 2026 23:22:40 GMT 217 now at a couple houses, going to wait a little bit longer... 217 now at a couple houses, going to wait a little bit longer... NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks RBD https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550421-tonight-s-number https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550419-nba-finals-game-4-wednesday Wed, 10 Jun 2026 20:24:37 GMT San Antonio - New York under 216.5 -105 3* GL
GL]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks BoilerBacker https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550419-nba-finals-game-4-wednesday https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550413-nba-finals-game-3-monday Mon, 08 Jun 2026 22:55:16 GMT San Antonio - New York under 216 3* GL
GL]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks BoilerBacker https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550413-nba-finals-game-3-monday https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550405-wnba-info-for-saturday Sat, 06 Jun 2026 19:05:33 GMT
"We’ve had two Commissioners Cup Double Digit Hm Favs this season.
On June 1st, Dallas was -12′ at Hm against Seattle. They won by 23.

On June 2nd, Atlanta was -12′ at Hm versus Connecticut.
They won by 16.

That’s 2-0 this season, making it 12-3 over the last 3 years now."

There were two spots today, plays ON Minnesota and Atlanta.
I took the Minnesota game and said I'd make a decision on Atlanta after the early game was over.

Minnesota won by 20 points, laying 13'.

If I was up on the season I'd let it ride but today I'm just going to bank a much needed unit and take the rest of the night off.

FYI for anyone looking at tonight's games.
CC DD Hm Favs are now 3-0 this season 13-3 of the last three.
(And if you want to know why points matter more in CC games, check the article from June 2nd.)

Also tonight, Indiana qualifies for my WF1 model.
WF1 has a record of 4-2 on Rd teams, which points to a play ON Indiana.]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks RBD https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550405-wnba-info-for-saturday https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550399-friday-june-5th-nba-finals-pick-nyk-vs-sa Fri, 05 Jun 2026 21:18:35 GMT YTD: 49-30-0 +16.44 Units Taking: San Antonio Spurs -6.5 (2.2 to win 2)
Taking:

San Antonio Spurs -6.5 (2.2 to win 2)]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks Kevin https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550399-friday-june-5th-nba-finals-pick-nyk-vs-sa https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550386-saturday-may-30th-nba-pick Sat, 30 May 2026 03:35:37 GMT YTD: 48-30-0 +15.44 Units San Antonio Spurs +3.5 Updating after big win straight up: YTD: 49-30-0 +16.44 Units
San Antonio Spurs +3.5

Updating after big win straight up:

YTD: 49-30-0 +16.44 Units]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks Kevin https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550386-saturday-may-30th-nba-pick https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550382-wnba-play-friday-5-29 Fri, 29 May 2026 20:29:02 GMT
T1 says the Phoenix/NY game goes Over tonight.
T1 is 11-6 overall, 6-3 on Overs, good for 67%.

Game also qualifies for a subcategory I track, record 4-1.

So, like I said, not crazy about going back to them tonight but sooner or later they have to break out of the scoring slump, no?

The Atlanta game also qualifies for the same spot (but not the subcategory.) I may add it later.


Phx/NY opened at 171', now down to 170'/170.
Moving in the right direction so I'm going to wait a little bit longer for buying this, going to need every point I can the way the Liberty have been scoring lately.


My play:
Phx/NY Ov (wait to buy)


Recap: 0-1
Record: 4-6]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks RBD https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550382-wnba-play-friday-5-29 https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550379-thursday-may-28th-nba-pick Thu, 28 May 2026 22:50:11 GMT YTD: 47-30-0 +14.44 Units San Antonio Spurs Money Line -160
San Antonio Spurs Money Line -160]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks Kevin https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550379-thursday-may-28th-nba-pick https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550373-wnba-article-for-today-wed-5-27 Wed, 27 May 2026 20:56:58 GMT Connecticut and Portland Prediction, Play, and Analysis on the Total I like choices, but too many choices makes my handicapping head hurt. There... Connecticut and Portland Prediction, Play, and Analysis on the Total

I like choices, but too many choices makes my handicapping head hurt. There are five games on the card and I have EIGHT spots that qualify for plays using my unique handicapping systems.

Not exactly sure which one(s?) I'll play, but I'll take you along as I go through my handicapping thought process.

Let's look at all eight spots.

Phoenix (Rd at NY) qualifies for a WF1 play.
WF1 is 2-1, 0-1 on Hm teams, 2-0 Rd teams.

Not a lot of data at 2-0, but undefeated is undefeated, 100% is 100%, so Phoenix looks like a possible today.
But New York is in an offensive slump lately and any one of these days they're going to break out and go back to scoring again.
Could tonight be the tonight?

Toronto (Rd) and Seattle (Hm) qualify for WF2 plays.
WF2 is 6-5, 1-3 on Hm teams, 5-2 on Rd teams.
Looks like a solid Fade of Seattle and a good spot to play ON Toronto.

Looking at my two models for choosing totals, I have nothing for T2, which is 13-8 on the season, strangely all Unders.

And for more strangeness, ALL five games today qualify for my T1 model.
ATL/Min, Phx/NY and Washington/Sea qualify as Overs, Chi/Tor and Con/Port qualify as Unders.
T1 has a record of 8-3, a combined 73%.
The breakdown is 4-1 Ov, 4-2 Un, so both models are hitting at 67% or better early this season.

So what to do, which spots to play?
All the records above are league-wide stats, based on all teams.
Maybe I can find some help choosing what to play by checking the team specific stats - how have these teams performed in these spots if they've been in them already this season?

Starting with the WF spots.
Phoenix at New York - no games qualified.
Toronto at Chicago - no games qualified.
Washington at Seattle - no games qualified.
Well, it looked good in theory anyhow, but in application it was no help at all.

Maybe I'll have better luck on the totals.
Atl/Min - no games qualified.
Phx/NY - no games qualified.

I'm beginning to think this is an exercise in futility.

Chi/Tor - Hah! I finally have one.
On 5/13, Toronto qualified for a T1 Under spot.
The total was 168, the game landed on 159.
That makes Toronto 1-0 in this spot.
But wait, there's more.
I found another one.
On 5/21, Toronto qualified as a T1 Under.
The total on the game was 174.
The game landed on 172.
Toronto is 2-0 in this spot.

Con/Port - on 5/22 Con qualified as a T1 Under.
The total was 166.
The game landed on 136.
That's a whopping 30 points fewer than the number the books offered on the game.
And on 5/25 Portland qualified as a T1 Under.
The total was 178.
The game landed on 155.
That's 23 points fewer than the number the books offered on the game.

Wash/Sea - no games qualified.

With both teams at 1-0, and by wide margins, Con/Port Un looks like my best candidate for a play tonight.

The game opened at 169.
The common number is now 166'.
One of my general rules on betting totals is if I miss the opening line and the new number is a movement of three points or more in the wrong direction, I lay off the game.
This one barely squeezes by with a differential of 2'.
I'm on it.

My play:
Con/Port Un 166'

Recap: 0-1
Record: 4-6
Review: On Monday 5/25, I used the Over in the Liberty's game because they were in the B2B spot.
I dropped by The PredictEm Forum to leave a note.
"There's been a 6' line move on the total.
A 6' drop is not the norm. I'm going to check the injury report to see if there's late news."

There was no late injury. Word leaked out that New York head coach Krista DeMarco was going to rest Ionescu because she recently returned from an injury, and he was going to reduce the minutes of some of his starters because they played the night before.

Going into the game, New York was averaging 92 PPG.
On Monday they scored just 74.
That's 18 points fewer than their norm.

And that's why I add notes in my database and on my calendar.
On July 12th, New York will be in Game Two of B2B's again. And my notes will remind me that Demarco is likely to rest his starters again, so factor that into the total if I'm going to bet it.

Keep a database of your plays.
Make notes.
As the saying goes, "Those who don't learn from history are doomed to repeat it."]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks RBD https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550373-wnba-article-for-today-wed-5-27 https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550370-wnba-notes-5-25 Mon, 25 May 2026 19:45:34 GMT Opening 178' who's down to 176' when I wrote up today's article.
Down to 174 now, going to wait a little longer but we'll jump if I see a buy back coming.

Update: 172 now.
A 6' point line move is not the norm.
I'm going to check the injury report to see if there's a late scratch.]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks RBD https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550370-wnba-notes-5-25 https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550364-wnba-info-pick-for-friday-5-22 Fri, 22 May 2026 14:42:06 GMT
I have a few other spots that qualify, thought I'd stop by and share them here.

Some stats for anyone looking at tonight's games:

GS qualifies for my WF2 model for identifying Wrong Favs.
WF2 is 6-3 overall but 5-0 on Rd teams.

With a perfect record of 5-0 how come I'm not riding with the Valkyries tonight?
Because they also qualified last night and I didn't play it.
And they kicked the crap out of New York.
I hate jumping on plays I stayed off of the night before.

The Valkyries also qualify as the first Asterisk Spot of the season.
Traditionally these have been a solid Fade for me but were just 3-3 last season in the WNBA.

With conflicting data I'll probably lay off playing a side in this game but I do have a play on the total with some strong stats to back it up.

Con/Sea qualifies as an Under in my T1 model but these are just 2-2 on the season, no edge. And I'd avoid playing an Under on a Friday night right now, check the article for the reason why.

Good luck with your play today.

Side note, just an FYI - I have a very rare NBA Asterisk Spot tonight that says OKC should be the Fav.
Rd teams were 4-8 in this spot during the regular season, a solid 67% Fade that says take San Antonio.

I've watched a bit of both of the first two games and it seems to me that San Antonio has an edge in this series.]]> NBA Basketball - WNBA Picks RBD https://www.predictem.com/forums/nba-basketball-wnba/550364-wnba-info-pick-for-friday-5-22