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~~ BIFF'S 1 PLAY - MAR. 24th ~~

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  • ~~ BIFF'S 1 PLAY - MAR. 24th ~~

    The Warriors play these back to back games against the same team once away and once at home 2-3 times a year, the Lakers play 1 every other year just about. Here's how the Warriors done recently...


    05-06 Season

    01/23/06 L.A. Clippers L 93-96 -- L -4 -- U 202
    01/22/06 @ L.A. Clippers L 92-105 -- L +3 -- U 202

    (7 Point swing off a ATS loss in game 1... loss in game 2)
    ( Point increase in total after 5 point Under in game 1... Under in game 2.


    04/17/06 Portland W 93-79 -- W -8 -- U 196
    04/15/06 @ Portland W 86-81 -- W -3 -- U 200

    (5 Point swing off a ATS win in game 1... win in game 2)
    (4 Point drop in total after 33 point Under in game 1.... Under in game 2.)



    06-07 Season

    11/09/06 New Orleans W 121-116 -- W -1 -- O 196.5
    11/07/06 @ New Orleans L 93-97 -- W +7 -- U 198.5

    (8 Point swing off a ATS win in game 1... win in game 2)
    (2 Point drop in total after 8 point Under in game 1.... Over in game 2.)


    11/24/06 @ Denver L 129-140 -- L +4 -- O 220
    11/22/06 Denver L 112-115 -- L -4 -- O 217

    (9 Point swing off a ATS loss in game 1... loss in game 2)
    (3 Point increase in total after 10 point Over in game 1.... Over in game 2.)


    01/17/07 @ L.A. Clippers L 109-115 -- P +6 -- O 205
    01/15/07 L.A. Clippers W 108-93 -- W -2 -- U 210

    (8 Point swing off a 12 ATS win in game 1... Push in game 2)
    (5 Point drop in total after 9 point Under in game 1.... Over in game 2.)



    07-08 Season

    12/30/07 @ Denver W 105-95 -- W +4 -- U 229
    12/28/07 Denver L 120-124 -- L -5 -- O 227

    (9 Point swing off a 1 point ATS loss in game 1... win in game 2)
    (2 Point increase in total after 17 point Over in game 1.... Under in game 2.)


    03/24/08 L.A. Lakers (+2 -- O/U 228)
    03/23/08 @ L.A. Lakers W 115-111 -- W +8 -- U 233

    (5 Point swing off a 12 point ATS win in game 1...)
    (4 Point drop in total after 7 point Under in game 1...)


    Some good data here. Past two years, the Warriors seem to either pull a double loss or double win, the only exception being the push against the Clippers. Tonight there was a low 5 point swing in the spread after winning last night outright as an 8 point dog. The line opened at 1, but money has been flowing on the Lakers like always does. We all know Gasol is out til Wednesday, and they already split the first series this year. With the Nuggets at their heels and with the Dirk-less Mavs in striking distance, I think the Warriors will be looking to make a push so they aren't sitting in the #8 seed. The Warriors remaining schedule is pretty tough minus a game against Memphis and one against Seattle. Seems likely they'll get back to form tonight and do their usual double cover in back to back against the same team. I think many people think it's impossible to beat the Lakers on back to back games, but I've found the best thing to expect with the Warriors is the unexpected. Not sure if this is my POD, just thinking outloud since I had some free time. Comments always welcome.



    --

    March Starting Bankroll = $5,000

    March Current Bankroll = $7,250

    --


    March Past Results (17-8)

    MARCH 1st = GONZAGA BULLDOGS (BB) -6 = WIN +$250
    MARCH 2nd = NEW JERSEY NETS +5 = LOSS -$550
    MARCH 3rd = LOYOLA MARYMOUNT/SAN DIEGO - UNDER 130 = LOSS -$275
    MARCH 4th = SUNS/TRAILBLAZERS - UNDER 208 = WIN +$500
    MARCH 5th = OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS (1H) -2 = LOSS -$275
    MARCH 6th = OREGON DUCKS (BB) -5 = WIN +$250
    MARCH 7th = DENVER NUGGETS -1 = WIN +$500
    MARCH 8th = PEPPERDINE/SAN DIEGO - UNDER 137 = WIN +$250
    MARCH 9th = ST. MARY'S GAELS (BB) -4 = LOSS -$275
    MARCH 10th = GONZAGA/SAN DIEGO - OVER 127 = WIN +$250
    MARCH 11th = MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES +14 = LOSS -$550
    MARCH 12th = CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS (BB) -1 = WIN +$250
    MARCH 13th = SACRAMENTO KINGS -2 = WIN +$500
    MARCH 14th = NO PLAY POSTED
    MARCH 15th = NEW MEXICO ST. AGGIES (BB) -6 = LOSS -$275
    MARCH 16th = SACRAMENTO KINGS -4 = WIN +$500
    MARCH 17th = NO PLAY POSTED
    MARCH 18th = NO PLAY POSTED
    MARCH 19th
    >PLAY #1 = MORGAN ST. GOLDEN BEARS +6 [2ND HALF] = LOSE -$275
    >PLAY #2 = WASHINGTON WIZARDS +2 [2ND HALF] = WIN +$250
    MARCH 20th
    >PLAY #1 = PURDUE BOILERMAKERS ML (-140) = WIN +$250
    >PLAY #2 = WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS -7 (-150) = WIN +$250
    >PLAY #3 = MISS. VALLEY ST./UCLA - UNDER 128 (-150) = WIN +$150
    MARCH 21st
    >PLAY #1 = SAN DIEGO/UCONN - OVER 131 (-130) = WIN +$250
    >PLAY #2 = OREGON DUCKS +4 (-130) = LOSS -$325
    >PLAY #3 = BOISE ST./LOUISVILLE - UNDER 149 (-130) = WIN +$150
    MARCH 22nd = WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS ML (-140) = WIN +$250
    MARCH 23rd = OKLAHOMA/LOUISVILLE - UNDER 128 (-140) = WIN +$250
    Last edited by Biff_Tannen; 03-24-2008, 07:55 PM.
    "Half of life is luck... the other half is discipline..."

  • #2
    Big road favorite Denver just covered... got no reason to not make this play, especially with this nice inflated line. I think this is as close as it gets to a Pick'em game, so I'll gladly take the points with the home team who won outright last night as a big dog.


    MARCH 24th = GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS +4 (-125)

    *RISKING $500 to win $400



    ** BET CHANGES MADE @ 7:30... decided to put this one in offshore so I can cash out before baseball starts.

    Also, +4.... not +4 my bad...
    Last edited by Biff_Tannen; 03-24-2008, 09:38 PM. Reason: got a point for -125... and lowered the bet a little.
    "Half of life is luck... the other half is discipline..."

    Comment


    • #3
      GL tonigth Biff.

      Go Warriors.

      Comment


      • #4
        Thanks Almost... Good Luck. :thumbs:


        *Note changes made above.
        "Half of life is luck... the other half is discipline..."

        Comment


        • #5
          Wow, only half time and what a game.... 2nd half should be just as good. :thumbs:
          "Half of life is luck... the other half is discipline..."

          Comment


          • #6
            Any suggestions for 2H action Biff?

            Comment


            • #7
              Halfway Home

              Biff,

              I tailed your play, but could only get 3 pts. Hopefully it won't matter.

              Good luck tonight. :thumbs:

              Murph
              Last edited by NIU Murph; 03-25-2008, 12:00 AM. Reason: I was wrong on my spread. Changed from 3.5 to 3

              Comment


              • #8
                Here we go again :bang: Why do the Warriors stop running whenever they get up big..:puke:

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by emv01 View Post
                  Here we go again :bang: Why do the Warriors stop running whenever they get up big..:puke:
                  Warriors went on a 10-1 run to close out the game... not sure what you mean. They blew the lead, but it's the Lakers.... not a chump team. I think they're leaving it all out there tonight. :thumbs:
                  "Half of life is luck... the other half is discipline..."

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Deal or no deal?

                    Biff,

                    Did you end up closing that Deal a week or so ago?

                    Murph

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      If you want to puke on something... puke on that last call to decide the game. Delaney what a joke! :puke:
                      "Half of life is luck... the other half is discipline..."

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Yeah I closed the deal Murph. Got a nice commission on a cabin in Tahoe. :thumbs:

                        About this game though, I'm sick to my stomach. I just pushed a bet because of a moron referee's call on Ellis. I feel worse for the Warriors, in such a pivotal game. Fisher yanks Ellis down on the ground and he draws the foul somehow. What a load of ****.


                        --

                        March Starting Bankroll = $5,000

                        March Current Bankroll = $7,250

                        --


                        March Past Results (17-8-1)

                        MARCH 1st = GONZAGA BULLDOGS (BB) -6 = WIN +$250
                        MARCH 2nd = NEW JERSEY NETS +5 = LOSS -$550
                        MARCH 3rd = LOYOLA MARYMOUNT/SAN DIEGO - UNDER 130 = LOSS -$275
                        MARCH 4th = SUNS/TRAILBLAZERS - UNDER 208 = WIN +$500
                        MARCH 5th = OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS (1H) -2 = LOSS -$275
                        MARCH 6th = OREGON DUCKS (BB) -5 = WIN +$250
                        MARCH 7th = DENVER NUGGETS -1 = WIN +$500
                        MARCH 8th = PEPPERDINE/SAN DIEGO - UNDER 137 = WIN +$250
                        MARCH 9th = ST. MARY'S GAELS (BB) -4 = LOSS -$275
                        MARCH 10th = GONZAGA/SAN DIEGO - OVER 127 = WIN +$250
                        MARCH 11th = MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES +14 = LOSS -$550
                        MARCH 12th = CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS (BB) -1 = WIN +$250
                        MARCH 13th = SACRAMENTO KINGS -2 = WIN +$500
                        MARCH 14th = NO PLAY POSTED
                        MARCH 15th = NEW MEXICO ST. AGGIES (BB) -6 = LOSS -$275
                        MARCH 16th = SACRAMENTO KINGS -4 = WIN +$500
                        MARCH 17th = NO PLAY POSTED
                        MARCH 18th = NO PLAY POSTED
                        MARCH 19th
                        >PLAY #1 = MORGAN ST. GOLDEN BEARS +6 [2ND HALF] = LOSE -$275
                        >PLAY #2 = WASHINGTON WIZARDS +2 [2ND HALF] = WIN +$250
                        MARCH 20th
                        >PLAY #1 = PURDUE BOILERMAKERS ML (-140) = WIN +$250
                        >PLAY #2 = WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS -7 (-150) = WIN +$250
                        >PLAY #3 = MISS. VALLEY ST./UCLA - UNDER 128 (-150) = WIN +$150
                        MARCH 21st
                        >PLAY #1 = SAN DIEGO/UCONN - OVER 131 (-130) = WIN +$250
                        >PLAY #2 = OREGON DUCKS +4 (-130) = LOSS -$325
                        >PLAY #3 = BOISE ST./LOUISVILLE - UNDER 149 (-130) = WIN +$150
                        MARCH 22nd = WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS ML (-140) = WIN +$250
                        MARCH 23rd = OKLAHOMA/LOUISVILLE - UNDER 128 (-140) = WIN +$250
                        MARCH 24th = GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS +4 (-125) = PUSH
                        "Half of life is luck... the other half is discipline..."

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          That post was from back in the 3rd qtr...That call was bull****, what a joke the ******* NBA refs are :puke:...I mean if anything that is a no call, it had no effect on the play they hadnt inbounded it yet...Just a joke

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Biff,

                            I feel your pain. You pushed, but I ate it because I only had 3.5.

                            Oh, well. Strange call.

                            Murph

                            Comment

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