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Finals game 1

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  • Stifler's Mom
    started a topic Finals game 1

    Finals game 1

    37-31 (+8.30 units)

    Orlando +6 for gm
    Orlando/LA under 102.5 1st half

    2 units each

    Orlando ml +240 for gm
    Orlando +3.5 -105 1st half

    1 unit each

  • TheCaymanIslands
    replied
    I think I'm going with the Magic ML tonight, they should win. The only thing I worry about with these guys is whether they are mentally tough enough to come back knowing that they should have won Game 2. They are still a fairly young team who may think the series is over already.

    Leave a comment:


  • Stifler's Mom
    replied
    39-35 (+9 units)

    Pending: Magic +400 to win the series for 1 unit

    Tonight:

    Magic -4

    2 units


    Actually, from a line perspective, I don't like this one as much as I did the +7 in game 2, but still it's good enough of a line for me to make it a regular sized play.

    As stupid as it sounds, if this had been -6 or so i would have put 4+ units on it with confidence that the books felt Orlando would win going away....and had it been like -1 or -2, i would have avoided it, thinking the books were looking to sucker in Magic money as a small fave.

    Good teams in must win home games are normally good plays in the NBA playoffs though, so I am still playing the -4.

    I also still feel like the books think Orlando has a shot to win this series. Even after they lost game 2, the series price went from +400 to +500 for Orlando at sportsbook.com, where I made my original series wager. If the books felt like LA was a sure thing, they wouldn't be still giving them away at anything less than -1500, imho....yet I could get the Lakers to win the series at just -655 at 5 Dimes right this minute?

    I mean seriously, they could jack this series price as high as they wanted right now to avoid any further beating on the Lakers. Who would get down big on Orlando at just +1000 or so if they made the Lakers -1500?

    But they didn't, so that must mean either they like Orlando's chances, or, are afraid someone would get down big, not referring to public players.

    Who knows, but to me it seems awful cheap for a play that, according to the NBA, will historically win 94.1 percent of the time.....
    Last edited by Stifler's Mom; 06-09-2009, 02:39 PM.

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  • Stifler's Mom
    replied
    Yea, the game loss hurt. Not only did i miss out on the +265 winner, but also the +400 series price is going to be nearly impossible to cash now too.

    Glad to cash the +7 though :beerbang:

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  • Daws1089
    replied
    nice hit on the magic in game 2. I see they are -4 for game 3 in orlando. Vegas is really telling us who they like there:thumbs:

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  • Thor24
    replied
    Congrats on Cover of Magic in a Game they Should have One...Shoulda...Coulda...Woulda...BOL Rest of the Way..STIF...!!

    Leave a comment:


  • Stifler's Mom
    replied
    38-34 (+6 units)

    Game 2:

    Orlando +7

    4 units

    Orlando ml +265
    Orlando series +400

    1 unit each

    Leave a comment:


  • GKL68
    replied
    Have the same picks. GL! :thumbs:

    Leave a comment:

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