Dallas Cowboys (2-0) +3, o/u 41 at Chicago Bears (1-1), 8:15 pm Eastern Sunday, NBC
by Jerald of Predictem.com
NFC title contenders clash when the Dallas Cowboys visit the Chicago Bears on NBC Sunday night at Soldier Field.
Dallas is 2-0 this season after outscoring the New York Giants 45-35 as seven-point home favorites in week one and then beating the Dolphins in Miami last week 37-20 as 3 1/2-point road chalk. Both games went comfortably over their totals.
Chicago is 1-1 after losing to the Chargers 14-3 as seven-point road underdogs in week one and beating the Kansas City Chiefs last week in Chicago 20-10 as 11-point home chalk. Both games stayed under their totals.
The Cowboys outrushed the Giants in week one 142-124, then outgrounded the Dolphins last week 166-61. Dallas also held a 35-25 time-of-possession advantage over Miami.
The Bears held San Diego to 263 total yards in week one, but garnered only 202 themselves and committed four turnovers. And last week, Chicago got lucky on a rinky-dink penalty on a K.C. flea-flicker that went for a TD that would have made the score 20-17 in the third quarter, and held on from there.
The Bears have two touchdowns this season, one on another of Devin Hester’s kick returns. Dallas may be considering kicking away from Hester, but he and his teammates seem to be trying to goad the Cowboys into man-ning up and taking on the second-year speedster.
Cowboys QB Tony Romo seems to be doing just fine in his sophomore season, hitting 55% of his throws through the first two games for a 6/1 TD/INT ratio and a 119.3 passing rating, which ranks second in the league behind only that Brady guy for New England.
Bears QB Rex Grossman, on the other hand, has completed 56% of his passes this season for a 1/3 TD/INT ratio and a 55.1 passing rating, which ranks second-worst among the 33 quarterbacks on the list. All of which leads us to wonder how loud the boos could get Sunday night on national TV, and how much better the team would be with Brian Griese at the helm.
Dallas went 5-3 straight up on the road last season, 4-4 against the spread, while Chicago went 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS at home.
The last time these two teams met, the Pokes beat the Bears 21-7 on Thanksgiving, 2004. To demonstrate how long ago that was, four quarterbacks threw passes in that game; J. Quinn and C. Krenzel for Chicago and V. Testaverde and D. Henson for Dallas.
The Bears opened up as three-point home favorites at most sportsbooks, with a total of 43. While the line has held steady in early betting action, the total has been bet down two points to 41. Also, Chicago is listed at around -165 on the moneyline, with the Cowboys getting +145.
The Predictem Pick: Lay the three points and take the Chicago Bears. Dallas should have a hard time scoring at Soldier Field.