Pittsburgh Steelers (4-1) -3.5, o/u 39.5 at Denver Broncos (2-3) 8:15 p.m. Eastern Sunday, October 21, NBC
by Jerald of Predictem.com
The Pittsburgh Steelers and Denver Broncos meet at Invesco field in the Sunday night primetime game on NBC. The Steelers will try to continue winning with their dominant defense who shutout Seattle last week in a 21-0 win. The Steelers are only giving up an average of 9.4 points per game. The Broncos started the season with 2 close wins but have since lost 3 staight games going in to last week’s bye week.
The Steelers are 4-1 against the spread this season; they are 1-1 straight up and 1-1 ATS on the road.
The Broncos are 0-5 ATS this season, and they are 1-1 SU and 1-1 vs. the number at home.
Pittsburgh’s starting QB Ben Roethlisberger has adjusted well to the new offense as he has thrown for 1,013 yards, 9 touchdown and 3 interceptions. His QB rating is 99.2 with a completion rate of 61.8%. The rushing attack is led by Willie Parker who has 507 yards but only 1 touchdown.
Denver is led by QB Jay Cutler who has thrown for 1,158 yards, 4 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. His QB rating is 79.9 and he has completed 64.5% of his passes. The Broncos ground attack is led by Travis Henry who has rushed for 498 yards (4.9 yards per carry) and 1 touchdown.
The Steelers are outrushing their opponents this season by a 167-73 yards-per-game average, while the Broncos are being outrushed by their opponents by a 139-188 YPG margin.
Pittsburgh is averaging 5.7 yards per play on the season while Denver is averaging 6.2 yards per play. The Steelers defense has given up an average of 4.5 yards per play while the Broncos have given up an average of 5.8 yards per play.
Pittsburgh ranks 10th in total offense averaging 351.8 yards per game. Denver ranks 5th with 365.2.
In scoring offense, the Steelers rank 5th averaging 26.4 points per game and the Broncos rank 27th averaging 15.0 points per game.
On the defensive side of the ball the Steelers rank 1st in total defense giving up 235.6 yards per game while the Broncos rank 18th giving up an average of 333.2 yards per game.
In scoring defense Pittsburgh ranks 1st and Denver ranks 27th giving up 9.4 and 27.2 points per game, respectively.
These teams met last year with Denver winning 31-20.
The Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings at USAToday.com ranks Pittsburgh #2 at 30.01, Denver is #22 at 17.01.
The Over/Under is 2-3 in Steelers games this season, 4-1 in Broncos games.
Pittsburgh opened up as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 39. The line has stayed at Pittsburgh -3.5 and the total has stayed at 39. At the time of this writing, the betting public was backing the Broncos 81%-19%.
The Jer’s Pick: In this game we have another situation where nobody is giving Denver a chance to win as the public is backing Pittsburgh by a wide margin. Denver is a difficult place for opponents to play and we feel that a desperate Bronco team will rally for an upset. Take the points!
Denver 21 Pittsburgh 17