San Diego Chargers (1-3) at Denver Broncos (2-2) -1 o/u 43, 4:15 p.m. Eastern Sunday, October 7, CBS
by Jerald of Predictem.com
The San Diego Chargers and Denver Broncos meet Sunday in a pivotal early season game featuring 2 struggling teams that need a win. San Diego has struggled to a 13 start after last season’s 14-2 record. Denver has dropped their last 2 games by a combined score of 34-61.
The Chargers are 1-3 against the spread this season; they are 0-2 straight up and 0-2 ATS on the road.
The Broncos are 0-4 ATS this season, and they are 1-1 SU and 0-2 vs. the number at home.
San Diego’s starting QB, Phillip Rivers, has thrown for 886 yards, 5 touchdowns and 6 interception. His QB rating is 76.0 with a completion rate of 64.0%. The ground game is led by LaDanian Tomlinson who has rushed for 262 yards (3.4 yards per carry) and 2 touchdowns.
Denver is led by QB Jay Cutler. Cutler has thrown for 926 yards, 4 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. His QB rating is 82.8 and he has completed 64.7% of his passes. The Broncos starting RB Travis Henry may not play in this game pending the the result of his appeal of his Marijuana arrest. If he is unable to play he will be replaced by Selvin Young.
The Chargers are being outrushed by their opponents this season by a 84-98 yards-per-game average, while the Broncos are being outrushed by their opponents by a 156-181 YPG margin.
San Diego is averaging 4.7 yards per play on the season while Denver is averaging 6.4 yards per play. The Chargers defense has given up an average of 6.2 yards per play while the Broncos have given up an average of 5.1 yards per play.
San Diego ranks 26th in total offense averaging 290.2 yards per game. Denver ranks 5th with 382.5 yards per game.
In scoring offense, the Chargers rank 23rd averaging 17.0 points per game and the Broncos rank 20th averaging 18.0 points per game.
On the defensive side of the ball the Chargers rank 25th in total defense giving up 351.0 yards per game while the Broncos rank 6th giving up an average of 295.5 yards per game.
In scoring defense San Diego ranks 25th and Denver ranks 22nd giving up 25.5 and 23.8 points per game, respectively.
San Diego swept the season series last year by scores of 48-20 and 35-27.
The Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings at USAToday.com ranks San Diego #12 at 21.50, Denver is #21 at 17.29.
The Over/Under is 3-1 in Chargers games this season, 3-1 in Broncos games.
Denver opened up as a 1 point favorite with a total of 41.5. The line has stayed at Denver -1 and the total has risen to 43 at most online bookies. At the time of this writing, the betting public was backing the Chargers 62%-38%.
The Predictem Pick: The Broncos have had difficulty stopping the run this year and we think that San Diego will pound the ball with LT and run to a much needed victory. Play the Chargers!
San Diego 27 Denver 20