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UFC 162: SILVA VS. WEIDMAN, July 6th, Las Vegas, Nevada
Fight Card
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Anderson Silva vs. Chris Weidman
Frankie Edgar vs. Charles Oliveira
Roger Gracie vs. Tim Kennedy
Tim Boetsch vs. Mark Munoz
Dennis Siver vs. Cub Swanson
Andrew Craig vs. Chris Leben
Norman Parke vs. Kazuki Tokudome
Gabriel Gonzaga vs. Dave Herman
Edson Barboza vs. Rafaello Oliveira
Seth Baczynski vs. Brian Melancon
David Mitchell vs. Mike Pierce
Silva vs Weidman - lots of pros and people on Weidman shortening the line on Silva. I cannot just place a bet on that line for Weidman. He indeed telegraphs his punches, and Silva's smart enough to counter that especially. Ever since he was tested by Chael in the first meeting between the two, Silva has had a fire under his butt. Weidman might be a future champion, but he just hasn't been tested enough to face up to Silva. I like Silva by any way he wants (not an original pick, I know). But I just cannot take Weidman here.
Edgar vs Oliviera - Edgar has lost three in a row, and hasn't done much here. He has the heart, grit, chin, and pace to win this fight, but I just wonder if he's lost his value. He's a huge favorite here, and I like the +400 here that Du Bronx is getting. He poses some BJJ and striking issues to keep Edgar off balance. However, Du Bronx tends to get caught when backing up because he doesn't keep his hands up. If Edgar recognizes that and bum rushes Charles straight, it will be a quick night.
Boetsch vs Munoz - both have fared alright the last couple of years, but Munoz has some health concerns with those bone spurs. Boetsch has a chin and will outwork you if you're not careful. Munoz is not impressive at much unfortunately, so the thin line here is justifiable. In this case, I see Boetsch at +105 and will take it.
I'm interested in Siver vs Swanson as Cub is on a roll and has looked impressive, but Siver presents a lot of challenges as a high level kickboxer. However, he does tend to get caught a lot (reminds me of Cro Cop), and does get finished. With Swanson at almost 3-1, I don't want that price yet.
Interested in seeing how Leben/Craig goes, Gonzaga/Herman, Barboza and Pierce fare in their fights.
Right now:
Oliviera +400 over Edgar
Boetsch +105 over Munoz
Both for one unit.
Fight Card
-------------------------------------------------------
Anderson Silva vs. Chris Weidman
Frankie Edgar vs. Charles Oliveira
Roger Gracie vs. Tim Kennedy
Tim Boetsch vs. Mark Munoz
Dennis Siver vs. Cub Swanson
Andrew Craig vs. Chris Leben
Norman Parke vs. Kazuki Tokudome
Gabriel Gonzaga vs. Dave Herman
Edson Barboza vs. Rafaello Oliveira
Seth Baczynski vs. Brian Melancon
David Mitchell vs. Mike Pierce
Silva vs Weidman - lots of pros and people on Weidman shortening the line on Silva. I cannot just place a bet on that line for Weidman. He indeed telegraphs his punches, and Silva's smart enough to counter that especially. Ever since he was tested by Chael in the first meeting between the two, Silva has had a fire under his butt. Weidman might be a future champion, but he just hasn't been tested enough to face up to Silva. I like Silva by any way he wants (not an original pick, I know). But I just cannot take Weidman here.
Edgar vs Oliviera - Edgar has lost three in a row, and hasn't done much here. He has the heart, grit, chin, and pace to win this fight, but I just wonder if he's lost his value. He's a huge favorite here, and I like the +400 here that Du Bronx is getting. He poses some BJJ and striking issues to keep Edgar off balance. However, Du Bronx tends to get caught when backing up because he doesn't keep his hands up. If Edgar recognizes that and bum rushes Charles straight, it will be a quick night.
Boetsch vs Munoz - both have fared alright the last couple of years, but Munoz has some health concerns with those bone spurs. Boetsch has a chin and will outwork you if you're not careful. Munoz is not impressive at much unfortunately, so the thin line here is justifiable. In this case, I see Boetsch at +105 and will take it.
I'm interested in Siver vs Swanson as Cub is on a roll and has looked impressive, but Siver presents a lot of challenges as a high level kickboxer. However, he does tend to get caught a lot (reminds me of Cro Cop), and does get finished. With Swanson at almost 3-1, I don't want that price yet.
Interested in seeing how Leben/Craig goes, Gonzaga/Herman, Barboza and Pierce fare in their fights.
Right now:
Oliviera +400 over Edgar
Boetsch +105 over Munoz
Both for one unit.